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SPENGLER
Dumbing it away
Why We Lost: A General's Inside Account of the Iraq and Afghanistan Wars, by Daniel P Bolger

A current of Russian and Chinese opinion, including some foreign-policy specialists, holds that the US chose to destabilize the Middle East intentionally. That is paranoid nonsense. How could the Americans be so stupid? We could, and were. Lieutenant-General Daniel Bolger's insider explanation of the blunders that led to the present situation in the region is convincing and should be circulated as an antidote to the paranoia. (Nov 21, '14)

THE ROVING EYE
Washington plays
Russian roulette

Washington loaded the gun long before Vladimir Putin accused the United States of provoking him to pick it up - and long before most watching the game of Russian roulette could identify the weapon as caliber Cold War 2.0. With the bullet marked once for "Eurasian integration" and twice to target "regime change", Barack Obama is holding tensions high. When Hillary Clinton seizes the day, all bets will be off. - Pepe Escobar (Nov 21, '14)

Iran takes center stage in East-West struggle
The Atlanticist camp is only now realizing Iran’s economic and geostrategic worth as momentum shifts towards the emerging Eurasian juggernaut. Tehran may covet the massive US energy market, but the decades when the West tried to Balkanize the country won’t be forgotten overnight. - Ramin Davoodi (Nov 21, '14)

Western bloodlust and a third intifada

Musings by US media on the nature of Palestinian uprisings, or intifadas, ignore that these are driven neither by a clear political agenda nor defined goals. Until intifadas are understood more aptly as the awakening of a divided society - rather than a call for violence targeting Israelis - outsiders will continue to misinterpret them. - Ramzy Baroud (Nov 21, '14)

Mediate for peace in Kashmir
International mediation is the right path to end the stalemate between India and Pakistan over disputed territory in Kashmir, bringing increased trust, trade and prosperity. Since third-party involvement has been so successful in resolving other disputes in Asian, it is more than "unfortunate" - as the United States puts it - that India continues to reject such advances.
- Brian Cloughley (Nov 21, '14)

SINOGRAPH
Xi proves strong,
now comes 'soft' power

The success of a climate deal with the United States now under his belt and the gesture that Asia is "big enough" for both powers bolster Chinese President Xi Jinping's reputation as a strong leader. The next bold step for Xi is to ensure that China increases its "soft power" wisely by converting its hard cash into credit that Asia can use. - Francesco Sisci (Nov 19, '14)

SPEAKING FREELY
India opts out of admonishing Israel
India's pursuit of deeper trade, political and military relations with Israel contrasts with the distance other allies have sought following the brutal assault on Gaza this summer. The Indian approach to relations, which seemingly equates the Palestinian struggle with cross-border terrorism, will not only damage India's global image - it could also lead to flawed internal policy decisions.
- Ninan Koshy (Nov 19, '14)

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Obama, Iraq, and the Gulf region
Surging US public support for air strikes in Iraq may silence opportunistic conservatives who argued that Barack Obama's withdrawal of troops allowed Islamic State to thrive there. The myth of a need for global American might is re-emerging, even though the US president and the American people are not prepared for the real implications of climbing back into the saddle.
- Brian M Downing (Nov 19, '14)

Af-Pak a frontline against IS goals

The Islamic State's efforts to obliterate nation states to create the Khurasan caliphate as a Sunni heartland is likely to culminate in a showdown in Afghanistan, especially at the Pakistan border. Afghanistan could emerge, together with Shi'ite Iran and the Central Asian countries, as a torchbearer in halting the militants' territorial ambitions.
- Rajeshwari Krishnamurthy (Nov 17, '14)

JOHN PILGER
The siege of Julian Assange is a farce
For two years, an exaggerated, costly police presence around the Ecuadorean embassy in London has served no purpose other than to flaunt the power of the state. Their quarry is an Australian charged with no crime, but whose true crime in the eyes of the British state is to have initiated a wave of truth-telling in an era of lies, cynicism and war. (Nov 17, '14)

COMMENT
Turning tables on North Korea
It is obvious North Korea is on a diplomatic outreach program after the release of US citizens Kenneth Bae and Mathew Todd Miller. The natural tendency would be to spurn the gesture as inadequate to make up for the belligerence Pyongyang has shown under Kim Jung-eun's leadership. With China's help, an international strategy could yet be devised to ensure North Korea shuns nuclear and missile proliferation.
- Joseph R DeTrani (Nov 17, '14)

THE ROVING EYE
China's silky road to glory
Any remaining doubts about the stupidity of Western corporate media should have been banished by the puerile coverage of Russian President Vladimir Putin's gentlemanly conduct at the APEC summit in Beijing. Infinitely more relevant to the real world, and largely ignored, was the fact that China got what it wanted - on all fronts.
- Pepe Escobar (Nov 14, '14)

A requiem for the Kyoto Treaty
The net result of the US-China climate change agreement is not victory; it's probably the recipe for a global temperature rise of 4 degrees - much higher than the 2 degree rise that everybody said would be very, very bad. Instead of demanding the United States help reform the binding emission targets of the Kyoto Treaty, China has acquiesced in the US strategy of killing Kyoto without making provisions for a new binding agreement. - Peter Lee (Nov 14, '14)

What Obama should tell Thein Sein
United States President Barack Obama could use his Myanmar visit this week to acknowledge the stumbling blocks and realities that have emerged amid the Asian country's much ballyhooed "democratic transition", and he could demand a halt to the ethnic persecution there. Washington's defensiveness over the end of Obama's Myanmar policy honeymoon suggests he would rather fantasize over the still largely military-run governments continued "opening".
- Maung Zarni (Nov 14, '14)

Permanent bases
for permanent war

The United States is fighting Iraq War 3.0 using a staggering network of bases built-up all over the Middle East in the past 35 years. This huge infrastructure is a formula for disaster. It makes it easy for the Barack Obama administration, or anyone in the Oval Office, to launch military strikes - such as the latest against the Islamic State - that seem guaranteed to set off new cycles of violent reaction and yet more war.
- David Vine (Nov 14, '14)

Japan is the best hope for US 'pivot'
Prime Minister Shinzo Abe possesses the dedication and the means to steer Japan towards a closer alliance with the US and take more responsibility in addressing regional and global threats. As such it makes sense for President Barack Obama to put aside mistrust and embrace the Japanese leader as the best hope to help Washington's moribund "pivot" to Asia deliver its promises. - Dmitry Filippov (Nov 14, '14)

Eurasian consolidation and India's policy
Sustaining a balance between the Atlantic and Eurasian worlds has become an ingrained feature of Indian foreign policy practice, but the contemporary alignment of Russia and China and prospects of a stronger global East complicate India's position. The strategic elite may welcome a test of Western dominance, but the regional challenge China poses is still difficult to pin down.
- Zorawar Daulet Singh (Nov 14, '14)

Cambodia's debt prompts warning
Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen has secured a pledge from China of hundreds of millions of dollars in loans for development programs. An opposition party lawmaker, concerned about rising debt to China, says improved tax collection would be a better alternative. - Vann Vichar (Nov 12, '14)

Mongolian PM pays for ailing economy
Mongolian politics were shaken last week, when the parliament voted to dismiss Prime Minister Norov Altankhuyag for not addressing the country's drastically slowing economic growth, plunging foreign investment, and alleged corruption and cronyism. - Alicia J Campi (Nov 12, '14)

Arab media withers to mockery
Arab media that until recently were maturing into centers for critical discourse on the Middle East's sectarian and ethnic tensions have regressed in places like Egypt to mere state mouthpieces, with inadvertently comedic levels of misinformation and vilification. It seems that to save themselves, some Arab regimes chose to sacrifice the intellect of their societies.
- Ramzy Baroud (Nov 12, '14)

Premonitions of a militant homecoming
The Islamic State's extreme message is finding adherents s in the Asia-Pacific region. Although some governments in Southeast Asia are cracking down on militant-related activities, deeper, far-reaching measures and planning are required to adequately prepare for the return of an energized class of extremists who have joined the fighting in the Middle East. - David Hamon and S James Ahn (Nov 12, '14)

Russia faces new realities in Central Asia
Central Asia is often cited as another place where Russia could seek, through a diaspora, to exert the muscle it has flexed in Ukraine. But Russian populations are declining across the region, and governments there have a number of richer suitors. To counter this growing sense of political and economic independence, Moscow needs to re-position itself as the only ally that can deliver security. - Michal Romanowski (Nov 12, '14)

SPENGLER
The Sino-American
comedy of errors


Misunderstandings that bedevil relations between the world's two most powerful countries remain comedic rather than tragic. That probably is as good as it gets, for no amount of explanation will enable Chinese and Americans to make sense of each other - and Beijing's attitude towards Washington has turned towards open contempt. (Nov 10, '14)

 




Hot money mocks
Xi's 'rule of law' vow

President Xi Jinping recently launched a drive for legal reforms and obedience to the ruling Chinese Communist Party, vowing to "comprehensively advance the rule of law". Yet, within days, reports of rampant trade fraud surfaced, citing the familiar ruse of filing fake invoices to hide flows of "hot money" and evade China's currency rules.
- Michael Lelyveld

THE BEAR'S LAIR
Deception counts
The financial and economic system has become distorted beyond belief by artificially low interest rates, excessive leverage and countless fast-buck hedge fund operations sustained by the financial bubble. The costs of these distortions have been enormous. - Martin Hutchinson





CREDIT BUBBLE BULLETIN
Getting real in economics
Alan Greenspan's recent comments on modeling on "irrationality" and the gap between economic modeling (in particular regarding the financial sphere) and reality, are worth attention. There's no more important subject matter - anywhere. (Nov 17, '14)
Doug Noland looks at the previous week's events each Monday.



The 'evergreen tree' of
Sino-Russian friendship

The Chinese President Xi Jinping had made some highly significant remarks regarding the future directions of the Sino-Russian strategic cooperation while receiving President Vladimir Putin in Beijing 10 days ago on the eve of the APEC summit. The exceptional warmth of the meeting was noticeable - taking "good care of the evergreen tree of Chinese-Russian friendship", as Xi remarked. - M K Bhadrakumar



[Re: Turning tables on North Korea, Nov 17, '14] Xi Jinping's haughty treatment of Barack Obama during the recent summit in Beijing should indicate that China is not interested in boxing in North Korea.
Junzo Nakamura
Guam
   Go to Letters to the Editor



1. The rising cult of China experts

2. Whitlam and Australia's forgotten coup

3. What could possibly go wrong?

4. Rouhani's 'economic package' is empty

5. Blackwater contractors convicted

6. Do the Trans-Siberian shuffle

7. When socialism can 'work'

8. A Caliph in a wilderness of mirrors

9. Britain's phantoms of the past in Palestine

10. Iran's Baloch insurgency and the IS

(24 hours to 11:59pm ET, Oct 23, 2014)







































 
 


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