Japan | Dollar posts largest one-day gain vs yen since 2014

Dollar posts largest one-day gain vs yen since 2014

July 11, 2016 4:45 PM (UTC+8)

 

By Dion Rabouin

NEW YORK (Reuters) – The dollar rose to a 10-day high against the yen on Monday, notching its largest one-day percentage gain in nearly two years, following Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s call for a fresh round of fiscal stimulus after a victory for his ruling coalition.

Statements by ruling party sources that the stimulus could reach 10 trillion yen ($97.5 billion) helped Japan’s Nikkei stock index jump 4 percent and sent the dollar soaring against the Japanese currency. The Bank of Japan is expected to provide additional easing to keep interest rates low and the yen weak to make sure stimulus spending can gain traction.

“It now looks like there’s coordinated fiscal and monetary policy,” said Greg Anderson, global head of foreign exchange strategy at BMO Capital Markets in New York. “If you get a fiscal policy that is expansive … the natural thing is to finance that with money-printing.”

Investors had been buying the yen through much of this year as the Bank of Japan chose to hold off on currency intervention. Abe has promised to revive the economy with hyper-easy monetary policy, fiscal spending and reforms, a collective program known as “Abenomics.”

“It looked like part of what held the BOJ back several times earlier this year is it just didn’t make sense to expand (quantitative easing) if there’s no coordination with fiscal policy,” Anderson said. “But now there is.”

The dollar rose as much as 2.3 percent to 102.87 yen, its highest level since July 1. It was the dollar’s biggest one-day percentage gain against the yen since Oct. 31, 2014. It was last up 2.25 percent at 102.78 yen.

The dollar hit a four-month high of 96.793 against a basket of major currencies, having already received a lift from a U.S. jobs report that outpaced even the loftiest expectations on Friday. The report pushed investors to price back in the chance of an increase in interest rates by the U.S. Federal Reserve before the end of the year.

The dollar index was last up 0.25 percent at 96.542.

Sterling reversed earlier losses to turn positive on the day after Theresa May emerged as the only remaining candidate to lead Britain’s ruling Conservative Party. Prime Minister David Cameron announced he would step down on Wednesday and May would take the position.

The pound rose 0.35 percent to $1.3001.

(Reporting by Dion Rabouin; Additional reporting by Jemima Kelly in Londo; Editing by Lisa Von Ahn and Richard Chang)

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