No-flation and the Fed
Negative July PPI numbers show just how ridiculous 2% target is
This morning’s Producer Price Index printed at -0.1% for July vs. an expected +0.1%. More importantly, PPI excluding food and energy was also negative, down 0.1%, vs an expected gain of 0.2%.
Put that another way: the market expected core PPI price inflation of 2.4% annualized and instead got a negative 1.2% annual rate. That leaves the Fed looking silly. The 2% inflation target looks like the mirage of an oasis on the horizon. US Treasury yields and the dollar fell slightly on the report.