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    Asian Economy
     Jun 11, 2005
Washington moves to pre-empt 'Asian IMF'
By Emad Mekay

WASHINGTON - The United States is pushing the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to change its voting system to include rising economic powers in Asia, in what some observers say is a US bid to keep increasingly independent Asian nations tied to the public lending institution, where Washington has the dominant voice.

"If countries are growing strongly and making increasing contributions to the global economy, then there should be a parallel enhancement of their position in the IMF," said Randal Quarles, acting undersecretary of the Treasury, in a statement to the US Congress. "This is vital to maintaining the goodwill of members, on which the IMF relies to make its lending possible, and to preserving the centrality of the IMF in the global financial system."

His statements came after ministers from developing nations, especially in Asia, complained in April that the current underrepresentation of developing countries in the IMF and its sister institution, the World Bank, undermines the legitimacy and effectiveness of these institutions. They said that giving the Western industrialized nations near absolute powers in those institutions, which have lending programs in many developing countries, does not reflect the current economic balance of power. Asian countries are accumulating huge amounts of currency reserves, giving them the potential to do without loans from the IMF - where the United States, as the largest shareholder and the world's largest economy, has managed to pass conditions and economic policies favorable to its interests.

East Asian countries are now running the world's largest surpluses and have the world's fastest growth rates. Earlier in May, China, Japan, South Korea and the 10 members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) reportedly said they had agreed to expand their network of bilateral currency trade, creating what could in effect be an Asian Monetary Fund that would rival the IMF. Asian countries, and others in the developing world, have grown leery of the policies recommended by the IMF and Western powers. They claim that privatization, deregulation and public spending cuts that put the market before social responsibilities - all staples of IMF lending programs - have alienated developing nations from the fund and the bank and caused more problems than they solved.

In his testimony on Tuesday at a Senate banking subcommittee hearing, Quarles urged progress on the IMF votes issue. However, he added that it should not be linked to an increase in the IMF's quota resources given the current strength of the Fund's financial position. Washington is now proposing shifting quotas within the existing total. Quotas generate most of the IMF's financial resources. A few members of the Group of Seven (G7) most industrialized nations, comprising Britain, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan and the United States, hold a majority of the shares allocated by the quota system. This allows them to dominate the institution's decision-making process. The size of the member's quota determines the country's voting power and the country's borrowing rights.

But now the United States says it wants reform at the Washington-based IMF to reflect the advent of monetary union in Europe and the increasing role of fast-growing emerging markets, especially in Asia. "Change will not come quickly or easily. The issues are complex, and extensive dialogue and cooperation will be needed to find a way forward," Quarles said. "Yet we believe the effort is worthwhile - and indeed essential to the long-term effectiveness of the institution. An IMF for the future must be an IMF in which all have a stake."

Despite being international institutions that preach good governance, decision-making in the IMF and the World Bank is far removed from the principle of one-country-one-vote. Directors from countries of the G7 control more than 60% of votes on the boards of the World Bank and the IMF. The US has veto power over any extraordinary vote that requires a supermajority vote of 60% or more. Critics say this system has deprived more populous, and now economically successful nations like India and China, which combined represent more than 2.3 billion people of the world's seven billion people, of a real say, while giving countries like Britain, France and the United States greater clout.

Many analysts see the US calls for reform as a tactic to retain influence within the world's most important financial institutions, especially as Asian countries, flush with currency reserves, are reportedly moving toward more integration among themselves. If it happens, this will make the IMF less relevant, they say.

One of the congressional hearing witnesses, Allan H Meltzer, a visiting scholar at the American Enterprise Institute in Washington, suggested the large accumulation of reserves by Asian countries, as well as their moves to further advance toward development of a regional financial bloc, indeed pose a threat to the Fund. This recognition in the United States, says one analyst, explains why Washington is willing to allow Asian nations greater influence within the existing Fund structure for the sake of pre-empting any Asian competition to the IMF.

"The US is going to give them [Asian countries] as much of an increase as possible in voice and vote on the IMF by allowing them to increase their quotas without the US giving up its dominant share," said Rick Rowden, policy officer at Washington-based ActionAid International USA.

"They are going to say 'okay, okay, we'll give you a little more say in the IMF', but the Treasury department is not going to give away the shop and surrender its dominance on the IMF board," Rowden said. "So it's really a strategy of co-optation and really a pre-emption of the Asian Monetary Fund idea." His perspective is supported by the fact that Quarles said the US is pushing for a number of other changes at the IMF.

Key priorities for the United States, he said, include strengthening IMF surveillance and crisis prevention; supporting economic liberalization in the absence of lending; and enhancing the IMF role in low income countries to achieve better results - all changes that appear designed to respond to past criticism of the IMF's role in an increasingly suspicious world.

(Inter Press Service)


Chorus for change in IMF and World Bank (Apr 19, '05)

Asia's answer to the IMF (Feb 19, '05)

Heavyweight fight for Asia's champion in G8 (Jul 21, '00)

Japan serious about setting up 'Asian IMF' (Feb 19, '99)


 
 



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