Central Asia

Russia follows its own North Korean agenda
By Sergei Blagov

MOSCOW - The revelations of North Korea's continued nuclear program have come as something of an embarrassment for Moscow as they come at a time that the Kremlin has pledged to restore ties with Pyongyang in an effort to extract economic gains from projects on the divided peninsula.

Following talks between Russia and the US over North Korea's nuclear program, Moscow reportedly shared Washington's concern at Pyongyang's apparent violation of non-proliferation accords. US Undersecretary of State John R Bolton had talks with deputy Foreign Minister Georgy Mamedov, Vladimir Rushailo, head of the Kremlin's Security Council, and Nuclear Energy Minister Alexander Rumyantsev.

The US administration has been keen to win Russian support for a common diplomatic strategy, along with China, South Korea and Japan, against North Korea over its nuclear program. Washington is demanding that North Korea "immediately and visibly dismantle its nuclear program", State Department spokesman Richard Boucher has said.

On October 21, Mamedov announced after a meeting with Bolton that the US gave "confidential information" to Russia over North Korea's nuclear weapons program. However, the Kremlin expressed a measure of skepticism and Russian officials indicated that Moscow intended to check the information for itself through diplomatic channels. On October 22, Bolton told journalists in Moscow that the US put forward no accusations against Russia relative to North Korea's nuclear program. There are widespread reports that North Korea received nuclear technology from Pakistan at the end of the 1990s, via either China or Russia. Islamabad, Beijing and Moscow deny this.

Russia has promised to help in rebuilding North Korean enterprises launched during the Soviet-era, including those in the power sector, and subsequently Pyongyang was rumored to have turned to Russia for assistance in the nuclear sector. And in March 2002 there was talk about alleged Russian plans to build a nuclear power station in North Korea, although Russia's Nuclear Energy Ministry dismissed the speculation.

Indeed, Moscow, aware of widespread sensitivities about North Korea's nuclear capabilities, has consistently dismissed allegations of any involvement. On August 15, Russian deputy Foreign Minister Aleksandr Losyukov stated that Russia and North Korea were not engaged in any "concrete talks on cooperation in nuclear power".

Officially, Moscow says that it has tried to convince Pyongyang to refrain from nuclear escapades. On October 23, Mamedov told the South Korean ambassador in Moscow that Russia supported "full realization of the 1994 framework agreement", as well as major relevant international treaties, notably the non-proliferation agreement, according to the Russian official news agency RIA. North Korea has signed the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty, which commits nations to forswear developing or spreading the technology to develop nuclear weapons, as well as a 1994 accord in which it agreed to abandon any nuclear ambitions in exchange for help with a civilian nuclear-reactor program. The United States has said it has proof that North Korea has broken both pledges by trying to acquire sophisticated centrifuges used only to purify uranium for nuclear bombs.

The Kremlin, though, has conceded that Pyongyang might have something to hide. On October 23, RIA commented on Pyongyang-Seoul talks that "North Korea was yet to abandon its nuclear program".

On the other hand, some Russian officials tried to defuse fears over North Korea's suspected nuclear weapons program. On October 21, Rumyantsev told Ekho Moskvy Radio that he did not believe that North Korea had manufactured nuclear weapons. He conceded that Russia had an agreement on "scientific and technical" matters, yet claimed that the deal remained on paper.

Relations between Russia and North Korea have been on the upturn recently. For instance, earlier this month the Kremlin prided itself for its role in helping arrange Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi's trip to North Korea. Moreover, Russia has expressed interest in forming a six-party forum comprising the two Koreas, Japan, Russia, China and the United States to discuss North Korea.

Russian President Vladimir Putin visited North Korea in July 2000 to become the first Kremlin leader ever to visit Pyongyang. Also in 2000, Moscow and Pyongyang signed a new treaty to replace an outmoded Soviet-era accord of 1961. In August 2001, Kim Jong-il traveled 13,000 kilometers from Pyongyang to Moscow and back on the Trans-Siberian railroad. On August 20-24 this year Kim undertook yet another rail trip to Russia and expressed "1,000 percent" satisfaction with his visit to Russia's far east.

These closer ties arguably leave Russia vulnerable to accusations of complicity in North Korean nuclear and missile escapades. For instance, North Korea's missile arsenal includes Soviet-made Luna-M tactical complexes and 30 Scud missiles, known as Nodong or Rodong in North Korea. North Korea's Nodong missile is the weapon on which the Iranian Shahab-3 missile and Pakistan's Ghauri, both medium-range and nuclear capable, are based. During the Gulf War, Iraq also employed Scud missiles, which can carry conventional, chemical, biological or nuclear warheads.

Moreover, it has been alleged that North Korea produces enriched uranium in Iran in exchange for upgrading Iranian missile weapons. These allegations are notably embarrassing for Moscow, since Russian scientists are working to complete the Bushehr light-water nuclear reactor at a cost of $800 million in Iran. It has been rumored that earlier this month US officials told their Russian counterparts that if they stopped nuclear ties with Iran, the Bush administration would allow the import of spent nuclear fuel to Russia. Rumyantsev has alleged that Russia could make up to $10 billion by storing and reprocessing radioactive substances, but the scheme has to date been blocked by the US.

Russia's self-serving relations with axis of evil member states are reflected in Moscow's reluctance to support the US on its tough anti-Iraq stance. For instance, the Kremlin lashed out at the US draft of a UN Security Council resolution on Iraq. The American resolution did not fit the criteria that the Russian side had laid out, Russian Foreign Minister Igor Ivanov reportedly announced after meeting with the chief UN weapons inspector, Hans Blix, in Moscow earlier this week.

Nevertheless, Moscow has been keen to avoid accusations that it uses North Korea as a sort of proxy nuclear state to serve its own interests in East Asia. The issue of Pyongyang's nukes is supposed to be discussed by the US and Russian presidents at an Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit meeting in Mexico at the weekend. However, against a backdrop of an unprecedented hostage crisis in Moscow - Chechen guerillas stormed a Moscow theater on Wednesday and took up to 600 hostages - it remains far from certain whether the Kremlin will have time, or the inclination, to tackle the issue.

(©2002 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)
 
Oct 25, 2002


North Korea: China also to blame, reminds India (Oct 23, '02)

North Korea: True confessions? (Oct 23, '02)

Pakistan and the North Korea connection (Oct 22, '02)

North Korean, Russian ties firmly on track (Aug 27, '02)

 

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