Central Asia

Hostage crisis adds fire to Russian foreign policy
By Sergei Blagov

MOSCOW - In the wake of the deadly hostage drama in Moscow, Russian diplomacy appears to have taken a more pro-active approach.

Notably, at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit in Los Cabos, Mexico, Russian diplomats managed to have the hostage crisis included in the APEC denouncement of "terrorism" along with that which has struck Bali and the Philippines. The APEC leaders' statement condemned "in the strongest terms" recent terrorist acts in the APEC region, including the seizure "of a large group of people in Moscow, the Russian Federation, on October 23, 2002".

The Russian authorities have been keen to substantiate links between separatist violence in Chechnya and the US-led global war on terrorism, and Moscow scored a foreign policy success on Wednesday when the official foreign emissary for the Chechen separatists was detained in Denmark.

Chechen separatist leader Aslan Maskhadov's envoy, Akhmed Zakayev, was detained by Danish authorities after Russia claimed that he may have been involved in the planning of the Moscow theater attack. Russia had earlier accused Denmark of "solidarity with terrorists" because it allowed the Chechen World Congress in Copenhagen to go ahead despite the hostage crisis. Russian President Vladimir Putin canceled a state visit to Denmark scheduled for November 11 over the Danish hosting the Chechen congress, which ended on Tuesday.

Right from the early hours of the Chechen rebels storming the Moscow theater, the crisis was understood to be capable to having international repercussions. Notably, on October 24, Putin stated that the attack had been planned in terrorist centers outside Russia. Moreover, Russian media claimed that the hostage takers had allowed Georgian nationals to leave the seized theater, hence hinting at alleged complicity between the terrorists and Georgia.

Even before the crisis, Russia had long accused Georgia, the former Soviet republic bordering Chechnya, of harboring alleged Chechen terrorists. Not surprisingly, Georgian President Eduard Shevardnadze pledged more security cooperation with Russia and supported the Kremlin's tough stance, and Georgian officials rushed to avoid accusations of complicity in the hostage taking.

Furthermore, on October 28, Putin ordered the General Staff of the Russian armed forces "to review plans of armed forces' deployment". "Russia will respond adequately in all places where terrorists and their ideological and financial backers are based," Putin was quoted as saying by RIA news agency. As the "places" are yet to be named - and the Russian army surely was not going to strike Copenhagen - the chances remain that Georgia may eventually find itself between Russia's crosshairs on the grounds of alleged ties with "Chechen terrorists".

Moreover, not only Georgia was keen to divert Russia's ire. During the crisis, Azeri authorities quietly shut down the Chechen cultural mission in the capital Baku, without giving any official reason for the closure.

Azerbaijan's move promptly earned Russia's praise. On Tuesday, Russian Defense Minister Sergei Ivanov told his Azeri counterpart Safar Abiyev in Moscow that "with a backdrop of a growing threat of international terrorism, military cooperation between Russia and Azerbaijan is becoming increasingly important." Ivanov thanked Abiyev for shutting down the mission in Baku.

He also hailed a bilateral deal over the renewal of the lease of the Gabalinskaya radar center in Azerbaijan, which Russia uses as the base of its joint staff for a southern advanced post of NATO. On Wednesday, the State Duma, the lower house of the Russian parliament, ratified an agreement with Azerbaijan on the lease of the center, built in 1985 as an electronic hub to detect incoming ballistic missiles. The deal on the lease arguably indicates that Moscow is still determined to have its military muscle felt in the strategically important Caspian region.

On the other hand, Moscow has been keen to enlist Azeri and Georgian border guards in the drive against Chechen separatists. On Wednesday, Lieutenant Colonel Sergei Livantsov, spokesman of Russia's North Caucasus Border Guard Department, announced that Russian, Azeri and Georgian border guard services had agreed on trilateral maneuvers later this year.

The hostage crisis has also echoed in regions quite remote from Chechnya. On Tuesday, Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbayev ordered law enforcement agencies "to strengthen the country's security". "The president outlined concrete tasks of safeguarding political stability and inter-ethnic accord," a presidential statement read.

Presumably, as part of new measures to increase domestic political stability, on Monday Kazakh police arrested journalist Sergei Duvanov. Known for his criticism of government corruption, Duvanov was scheduled to travel to the US for a series of meetings on the topic of corruption in Kazakhstan, but instead he was detained on charges of raping a minor. Elizabeth Andersen, executive director of Human Rights Watch's Europe and Central Asia division, said in a statement that Duvanov's record of criticizing government policy raised suspicions that this has all the makings of a politically motivated case.

Last July, prosecutors brought charges against Duvanov for his Internet postings about government attempts to silence journalists covering Swiss and US investigations into alleged corruption by Nazarbaev and family members. On August 30, Duvanov was attacked by unknown assailants who inflicted head injuries and knife wounds.

However, Moscow has rarely had any scruples about human right abuses in friendly former Soviet states, and Duvanov's case remained unnoticed by the Russian media. Conversely, on Wednesday, Russia's Federation Council ratified four agreements with Kazakhstan on a long-term lease of Russian military facilities in the Central Asian republic. The deals, originally signed in 1996, involve the "Central state-run testing site, the Sary-Shagan and Emba testing sites, as well as the Airforce testing site".

Kazakhstan ratified the agreements in 2000, yet Russia has been hesitant, presumably due to disputes over lease payments. On Wednesday, the head of the Federation Council's budget committee, Yevgeny Bushmin, announced that Russia had agreed to pay US$1.22 million a year for the Central site, $19.97 million for Sary-Shagan site and $1.8 million for Airforce site. The price of Emba site was not revealed. The deal indicates that Moscow is prepared to pay a price for continued military clout in Central Asia.

Russian officials are also taking advantage of the current climate to take care of the lucrative business of moving oil from Central Asia. On Tuesday, deputy Prime Minister Viktor Khristenko announced that in 2003 Kazakhstan would funnel 19 million tonnes of crude oil through Russian pipelines, compared to an estimated 17.5 million this year. According to Khristenko, Turkmen oil transit, meanwhile, is to reach 2.5 million tonnes next year compared to 1 million in 2002.

Coincidence or not, earlier this week Russian energy companies scored something of a breakthrough in gas-rich Turkmenistan. On October 27, Igor Makarov, the head of Russian gas company Itera, announced that Turkmen President Saparmurad Niyazov had approved a plan to create a Russian consortium, including Itera, Rosneft and Zarubezhneft, to explore hydrocarbon deposits in the Turkmen Caspian shelf. The announcement comes as a surprise because the authoritarian leader, who styles himself 'Turkmenbashi', or leader of all Turkmens, had previously declined to depend on any Russia-dominated oil and gas institutions.

In recent days, then, Russia has made progress in relations with a number of nations. It remains to be seen whether the hostage crisis will allow Moscow to continue to with this pro-active diplomacy.

(©2002 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)
 
Nov 2, 2002


One day in the life of Chechnya's Grozny (Oct 30, '02)

Dangerous thresholds crossed in Moscow (Oct 30, '02)

 

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