Central Asia

Arms deals buoy Russian-ASEAN trade
By Sergei Blagov

MOSCOW - Russia has been keen to join in Asia-Pacific economic integration so as to capitalize on vast resources in the Far East. Yet when it comes to actual deal-making, Russian trade with Southeast Asian nations remain dominated by arms deals, including sales of aircraft.

As President Megawati Sukarnoputri met her Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin on Monday in the Kremlin, they signed a bilateral declaration that included a muted criticism of the United States. The two nations pledged "to strengthen the central role of the UN and prioritize principles of international law such as respect for national sovereignty, territorial integrity, non-interference in internal affairs", according to the declaration. As Indonesia and Russia have opposed the US-led war on Iraq, a talk of international law took a somewhat anti-US coloration.

Moscow and Jakarta advocate "political and diplomatic methods to solve international issues", as well as a bigger United Nations role in solving international crises, Putin confirmed after the talks. "The Indonesian government is now working to strengthen world peace," Putin said, adding that he had accepted an invitation to visit Jakarta, according to the Russian Information Agency (RIA).

Russia and Indonesia signed an intergovernmental agreement on military cooperation, as well as a memorandum of understanding on space-research cooperation. Megawati's five-day visit to Moscow from Sunday to Thursday, the first by an Indonesian leader since Suharto visited in 1989, was widely expected to focus on arms sales.

Megawati's father and founding president Sukarno received Soviet military supplies in the 1950s, yet bilateral ties came to an abrupt halt after the anti-communist takeover by General Suharto in 1965. In 1991, however, the US Congress banned arms sales after Indonesian troops killed hundreds of civilians in East Timor. Hence in recent years Moscow has moved to fill the gap.

In the wake of the 1997 Asian financial crisis, Indonesia canceled plans to procure Russian-built Sukhoi-30 jet fighters. Yet recently Indonesia signed a preliminary contract with Russia's state-owned monopoly Rosoboronexport for four Russian Sukhoi fighter planes, two Su-27s and two Su-30s, worth about US$100 million.

In 2002, Russia supplied 12 BTR 80-A amphibious armored vehicles to Indonesian armed forces. Russia also sold 10,000 Kalashnikov assault rifles and naval Mil-2 helicopters. The Indonesian military has expressed interest in buying more Kalashnikov rifles, helicopters, armed personnel carriers and Mi-17 helicopters, long-range S-300 air-defense missiles and portable Igla missiles.

Military sales "may become a tugboat that tows the relationship between the two countries", Russian business daily Kommersant commented. However, Russia may not really profit from these arms sales, because there has been talk that Indonesia had proposed a counter-trade to pay for Russian armaments.

Russian media have indicated that Russia had also offered a floating nuclear power plant to augment Indonesia's electricity supply, as well as to construct a rocket and satellite launch pad in Biak, Papua. However, these ambitious projects were not mentioned during the talks in the Kremlin.

Moreover, on the eve of Megawati's trip, there were hopes that Russia would cooperate in controlling world oil output. Indonesian Mines and Energy Minister Purnomo Yusgiantoro reportedly said he had asked Megawati to raise the issue of cooperating with the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) to control production.

Megawati and Putin were also expected to ink agreements to give Russian companies access to Indonesia's oil-and-gas industry. However, no concrete oil-and-gas deals were announced and there was no mention of OPEC-related issues, at least officially.

Meanwhile, Russia and Indonesia pledged to increase bilateral trade. Russian Foreign Ministry spokesman Alexander Yakovenko stated that Moscow believes there are favorable conditions for boosting ties with Indonesia, notably trade, as well as military cooperation.

According to official Russian statistics, trade between Indonesia and Russia increased to $203.5 million in 2001, the last year for which statistics are available. However, Russian officials conceded that within the past five years an average figure of annual bilateral trade was a mere $120 million. Once again, Moscow seemingly hopes to boost trade with an Asian counterpart by increasing arms sales.

Likewise, the Kremlin conceded that trade with all Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) states was still low and officials have long urged a boost in trade. For instance, last year Russian trade with Thailand barely exceeded $400 million. In 2001, bilateral trade between Malaysia and Russia reached $422 million.

Even Russia's trade with Vietnam has dropped to a level close to Russia's trade turnover with other ASEAN nations. In 2001, Russia exported $360 million worth of goods to Vietnam, while Vietnam sold $190 million of merchandise to Russia.

When Thai Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra traveled to Russia last October, it was disclosed that the Thai government planned to invite Putin to pay an official visit to Thailand in October this year to attend the summit of leaders of the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) forum.

The Kremlin has long pledged to prioritize its APEC policy and develop economic relations with the Asia-Pacific region. However, it remains to be seen whether official pronouncements are going to be accompanied by an actual increase in non-military trade.

(©2003 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)
 
Apr 23, 2003


Russia eyes East Asian arms market (Apr 18, '03)

Russia's retreat from Southeast Asia (Jan 21, '03)

Russia: Proliferation personified (Jan 8, '03)

Russia seeks cozier ties with ASEAN (Oct 3, '02)

 

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