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Afghanistan: Enduring terrorism
By B Raman

The Afghan authorities have reportedly attributed the suicide car bomb explosion against a bus carrying members of the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) in Kabul on June 7 to Pakistani terrorists. Four German members of the force were killed and many others injured when a car filled with explosives dashed against the ISAF bus.

While German officials have expressed suspicion that Osama bin Laden's al-Qaeda might have been involved, officials of the security agencies of the Hamid Karzai government in Kabul have ruled out the involvement of either al-Qaeda or the Taliban and have pointed their finger of suspicion at terrorists belonging to the Pakistani organizations which are members of bin Laden's International Islamic Front (IIF).

Five Pakistani terrorist organizations are members of the IIF - the Harkat-ul-Mujahideen, which has a new international wing called the HUM-Al Alami, the Harkat-ul-Jihad-al-Islami , the Lashkar-e-Toiba, the Jaish-e-Mohammad and the Sunni extremist Lashkar-e-Jhangvi (LEJ). The LEJ's activities in the past were mainly confined to Afghanistan and Pakistan. Before September 11, it actively collaborated with the Taliban and al-Qaeda in their fighting against the Northern Alliance of Afghanistan and in the massacre of the Shi'ites (Hazaras) in central Afghanistan.

The other four organizations were indulged in terrorism in Afghanistan, Tajikistan and India, and in helping terrorist organizations in Chechnya and Dagestan in Russia and in Southeast Asia. They were also actively involved in assisting the Taliban and al-Qaeda against the Northern Alliance.

These Pakistani organizations suffered heavy casualties in the military operations of the international coalition led by the US in Afghan territory after October 7, 2001, and their survivors, along with those of the Taliban, al-Qaeda and other constituents of the IIF, took shelter in Pakistan. Initially, they took sanctuary in the North West Frontier Province (NWFP), Balochistan and the Federally-Administered Tribal Areas (FATA). Subsequently, they spread out to Karachi, Pakistan-Occupied Kashmir and the Northern Areas (Gilgit and Baltistan).

The survivors of the Pakistani organizations played an active role in the kidnapping and murder of Daniel Pearl, the American journalist, and in other terrorist incidents in Pakistani directed against Westerners, Pakistani Shi'ites and Christians. They also stepped up their acts of terrorism in Jammu and Kashmir (J&K) in India.

Under US pressure, Pakistani security agencies stepped up action against them in Karachi, arresting a number of their leaders and cadres, who are now undergoing trial for their involvement in last year's acts of terrorism in Karachi. Those who escaped arrest in Karachi have gone back to the NWFP, which is now ruled by the pro-Taliban and pro-bin Laden coalition of religious fundamentalist parties called the Muttahida Majlis-e-Amal and have been helping Taliban and al-Qaeda elements operating against the troops of the international coalition in Afghan territory. They have also been joined by the remnants of the Hizb-e-Islami (HEI) of Gulbuddin Hekmatyar.

In recent months, there have been a number of hit-and-run raids and indiscriminate rocket attacks on Afghan, American and other Western troops by these elements operating from Pakistani territory. The suggestion of the local commanders of the American troops that they should be allowed to exercise the right of hot pursuit against these elements so that they could destroy their hideouts in adjoining Pakistani territory has reportedly been rejected by the Pentagon and the US State Department due to fears that this could destabilize the regime of President General Pervez Musharraf.

While the government of Musharraf has been collaborating with the US intelligence agencies in neutralizing the remnants of al-Qaeda operating from Pakistani territory, it has avoided taking action against the remnants of the Taliban, the HEI, and the Pakistani components of the IIF now based in the NWFP. It has been using them to keep up pressure against India in J&K and to retrieve the ground lost by Pakistan in the Pashtun areas of Afghanistan after September 11.

During his recent visit to Islamabad, Karzai reportedly handed over to Pakistani authorities a list of Taliban leaders now operating from Pakistan and sought Islamabad's assistance in arresting and bringing them to trial. No action has been taken on this by Pakistan, just as it has not taken any action against 20 terrorist leaders based in Pakistan who have been coordinating terrorist activities in Indian territory. Repeated requests by India in this connection and red-corner notices issued by Interpol for their arrest have been ignored by the Musharraf government.

US intelligence agencies, which now have a strong presence in Pakistani territory, are aware of the presence of these elements in Pakistani territory and their activities against Indian targets, military as well as civilian, in J&K and other parts of India and against the Afghan and Western troops in Afghanistan from their sanctuaries in the NWFP. They are, however, giving priority to the neutralization of al-Qaeda remnants, including bin Laden and his No 2, Ayman al-Zawahiri, who still have a capability for operations against US interests in other countries of the world and even in the US. As long as Pakistan has been satisfactorily cooperating with them against al-Qaeda, the US agents have turned a blind eye to its avoidance of action against the Taliban, the HEI and the Pakistani members of the IIF operating from the areas near the Afghan border lest too much pressure on Musharraf weaken his position in the Pakistan army.

In using these elements for achieving its strategic objectives, Pakistan has been following a two-pronged approach. Its Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) continues to be directly involved in assisting these elements for their operations against Indian targets. For their operations in Afghan territory, the ISI has been avoiding direct involvement. Instead, assistance and guidance are being provided by a group of retired officers of Pakistan's military-intelligence establishment, such as Lieutenant-General Hamid Gul and Lieutenant-General Javed Nasir, both of whom headed the ISI in the late 1980s and the early 1990s.

Hamid Gul and Nasir have been attending rallies organized by these organizations in different parts of Pakistan to protest against the US invasion and occupation of Iraq and to collect funds to assist the families of the members of these organizations, who, according to them, died in operations against the US troops in Iraq. Remnants of Iraq's Ba'ath Party and stragglers from the defeated Iraqi army have started making their way to the NWFP and the FATA, where joint meetings attended by them and representatives of the IIF, including al-Qaeda, have reportedly been held to work out a joint strategy for bleeding American and other Western troops in Afghanistan and Iraq. The attack on the Germans in Kabul by the Pakistani terrorists, the stepped-up activities by the Taliban, the HEI and al-Qaeda in southern and eastern Afghanistan and the sporadic attacks on American troops in Iraq are an outcome of this joint strategy.

After the attack on the German troops in Kabul, Reuters reported as follows on a joint media briefing held by Karzai and his Interior Minister, Ali Ahmed Jalali: "I am not worried about the resurgence of the Taliban," Karzai told a news briefing. "The Taliban movement as a movement is finished, is gone. Are we concerned about terroristic activities of the kind that occur at the borders or inside Afghanistan, of the kind that happened the day before yesterday? Yes." Interior Minister Ali Ahmad Jalali was more specific. "The one thing we learned so far is that the terrorists and anti-government elements cannot stay for long inside the country so they take refuge in these areas along the Pakistan-Afghanistan border," he told the same briefing. "We hope that Pakistan security forces who are also committed to fight terrorism will intensify their activities to go after these terrorist centers including training areas, staging areas and also areas where some of their leaders are residing." Karzai said that the main threat to security was not from Afghans, but foreigners. "We know he is not from Afghanistan," he said, referring to the car bomber who blew up the bus carrying German peacekeepers.

The incident in Kabul came a few days after a major clash between the Afghan security forces and some remnants of the Taliban in southern Afghanistan near the Pakistan border. The Afghan authorities claimed to have killed about 40 Taliban cadres, while losing six of their own security forces. While admitting that its members were involved in the clash, the Taliban has at the same time claimed that only eight of its members were killed and that the remaining were innocent civilians who, according to them, were killed by the Afghan security forces. After the incident, Afghan officials carried 22 of the dead bodies to the Pakistani border and threw them into Pakistani territory to make the point that they were Pakistani and not Afghan nationals.

It does not stand to reason that Musharraf should refrain from putting down such activities from Pakistani territory a fortnight before his forthcoming visit to Camp David for talks with President George W Bush. Does it indicate that his control over the military-intelligence establishment is not as effective as it is believed to be? It is difficult to answer this question at present.

Whatever the truth, it should be a matter of great concern to the US and other members of the international coalition. If he is consciously allowing such activities from Pakistani territory, it shows him as engaging in duplicity and as an unreliable ally. If he is unable to prevent such activities, it should give cause for concern about his ability to prevent Pakistan's weapons of mass destruction from finding their way into the hands of terrorists for ultimate use against the US.

B Raman is Additional Secretary (ret), Cabinet Secretariat, Government of India, and presently director, Institute For Topical Studies, Chennai; former member of the National Security Advisory Board of the Government of India. E-Mail: corde@vsnl.com. He was also head of the counter-terrorism division of the Research & Analysis Wing, India's external intelligence agency, from 1988 to August, 1994.
 
Jun 12, 2003


Afghanistan and broken promises
(May 27, '03)

Afghanistan: Launchpad for terror
(May 3, '03)

Afghanistan, once more the melting pot
(May 1, '03)

 

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