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The ghost of Greater Afghanistan
By Jonathan Feiser

The Durand Line, ratified in 1893 by Sir Mortimer Durand, established the geopolitical architecture that sought to stabilize a clear security risk to British interests: the Pashtun tribes of the Indian frontier. At the time, the Durand Line represented the border between Afghanistan and British India, and then later became the boundary between Afghanistan and Pakistan after the partition of 1947. Today, the United States finds itself in a similar position to that of the British Empire before it: faced with a situation in which military expansion is necessary to establish national security. In this light, the geopolitical as well as the symbolic value of the Durand Line is not lost on the United States.

On a strategic level, this artificial border tore the tribal Pashtuns in half. Moreover, with the expansion of great-power interests and the resulting conflicts, the line eventually evolved into a politicized border region, housing religious fundamentalists and secular terrorist groups alike.

In light of recent events in Afghanistan, it is probable that deeper roots of friction are at work along wobbly ethnic, historical and tribal fault lines. In truth, this friction and the momentum it spurs ape Afghanistan's sacred history. Hence, even on Afghanistan's overly speedy quest toward a democracy envisaged by Western rulers, this unremitting cycle of shifting tribal loyalties and regional alignments generally continues unabated. In hindsight, these various factions were quite helpful in jettisoning the Taliban from power. But, in the following vacuum, such tribal systems are clear agents of decentralization when recuperation and centralization are what is needed.

On a functional level, Afghanistan cannot be subjectively examined under the Western conception of either a state or a nation. The country simply does not operate in any sense of either definition at this time. Both a limited security apparatus and stalled international support have done little to cultivate ancient divisions based on ethnic and religious elements. In regard to the US "war on terror" and domestic efforts employed pursuant to nation-building, these divisions continue to maintain and harass internal efforts and strengthen critiques of US policy.

Moreover, the very nature of the resilient warlord system finds a continued modus operandi uncannily similar to the support networks that operated throughout the Soviet occupation. Thus, in the very same historical pattern that kept change's progress locked in reverse throughout the past three decades, Afghanistan continues to resemble a discombobulated chessboard based on a thesis of revolving alignments and agendas and intrastate power politics.

In this confusing quest for progress, desperately needed foreign investment - not merely subsidized aid from non-governmental organizations - remains a critical and consistent requirement for Afghanistan's future. Hence, if such aid is not forthcoming, present conditions in Afghanistan will continue to represent the combination of factors that inhibit foreign investment and frustrate efficient fiscal and monetary policies.

In this regard, the recent violence toward the Pakistani Embassy more accurately represents a symptom, rather than a cause, of the contention that lies beneath the political borders of Central and South Asia. On the ground, this pent-up powder keg of human frustration directed toward Pakistan may additionally represent a growing friction between ethnic groups, specifically the Pashtuns and their northern Tajik and Uzbek contemporaries.

Throughout the years, this trend has consistently represented a plethora of security issues that place the United States in an unenvied predicament historically occupied by the Persians, Sikhs, Soviets and British. Moreover, the near-war between Pakistan and Afghanistan over the liberated incarnation of "Pashtunistan" in 1961 exerts itself as a pre-September 11, 2001, reminder that ethical conflict remains a historically accurate characteristic that has long fueled regional contention.

In the modern global context, while lacking any serious consideration for a true security presence and cemented systems of checks and balances, the historical marriage of internal conflict and external support continues to reign as a deadlocked default option. Consequently, the necessities that compromise economic restructuring and a foreign investment that fails to circumvent regional warlords will continue to exist as standard operating procedure.

In sum, although the Taliban are no longer part of the spectrum of threats, Afghanistan continues to remain a country hopelessly tangled in a relentless war against itself. Despite the early Pyrrhic efforts of Ahmad Shad Durrani, Afghanistan evolved as a nation forged by the security interests and defense mechanisms of other powers. Thus, this birth contributed little value to the concept or generational transfusion of nationalism.

Today, the country remains infected with competing interstate factions, with external support bases, which continue to retain their holds on power politically and militarily. In due course, the consequences of these trajectories may ultimately undermine both the conduit of Afghani nationalism, thus denying its people both a plausible foundation of infrastructure and the federalization to support it. Finally, in terms of Afghanistan, the United States faces a challenge that befell many world powers before it: defining the formula that simultaneously balances the often incorrectly perceived means of "colonialism" with the often unnoticed means of national security.

It is in this challenge that the administration of US President George W Bush must pivot while concurrently and successfully selling this policy vision to proponents and critics alike.

Published with permission of the Power and Interest News Report, an analysis-based publication that seeks to provide insight into various conflicts, regions and points of interest around the globe. All comments should be directed to content@pinr.com
 
Jul 23, 2003



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