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    Central Asia
     Feb 23, 2005
Russia torn
By Sergei Blagov

MOSCOW - As US President George W Bush comes up with strong statements on Iran and Syria, Russia has moved to boost its ties with both Middle Eastern nations. On Monday, Bush urged Iran to halt its nuclear program and told Syria to pull its troops out of Lebanon. Yet despite US concerns, and in an apparent affront to Washington, Russia insists on pursuing its nuclear-energy cooperation with Tehran, and its security ties with Damascus.

Russian President Vladimir Putin told the visiting secretary of the Iranian National Security Council, Hasan Rouhani, at a meeting in Moscow on Friday that Russia would continue nuclear-energy collaboration with Tehran. Putin also accepted an invitation to visit Tehran this year.

Moreover, Russian officials indicated that an important agreement with Iran on the return of spent nuclear fuel would be signed this week, clearing the way for Moscow to supply fuel to Iran's first nuclear power plant. The agreement under which Russia is to provide the Bushehr power plant with fuel will be signed this Saturday, the Russian Nuclear Energy Agency has said. Russian nuclear-fuel supplies to Iran could start one or two months after the signing of the agreement.

The inking of the accord, which obliges Iran to return spent nuclear fuel to Russia, is due to take place during the visit of the head of the Russian Nuclear Energy Agency, Alexander Rumyantsev, to Tehran this week.

Iran has remained a sore point in Russia-US relations, with the United States pursuing its efforts to persuade Russia to interrupt its controversial nuclear cooperation with Tehran. Moscow and Tehran have dismissed the US concerns, but Russia has said it will not ship nuclear fuel to Iran until the two countries sign an agreement under which all spent fuel would be returned to Russia - a measure aimed to prevent it from being used for weapons.

Under US and Israeli pressure, Moscow is demanding that all of the fuel provided for the reactor is sent back to Russia, and has called for a guarantee that the fuel is delivered safely across Iran. Nonetheless, signing of the agreement has been delayed on many occasions by what Moscow and Tehran say are technical details.

Russia has an US$800 million contract to build a reactor block at Bushehr, which is expected to be finished at the end of 2005 or the start of 2006. Last December, Rumyantsev announced that Russia could build up to seven new nuclear power plants in Iran at a total cost of about $10 billion.

Iran's nuclear program has come under international scrutiny after US accusations that it is secretly building nuclear weapons. Iran and Russia have denied this, affirming that the program will be used for peaceful and civil purposes, such as generating power.

The announcement of the fuel deal comes just weeks after the US administration said it could not rule out the use of military force if Tehran failed to drop its perceived attempts to develop a nuclear weapons capability. Nonetheless, Russia's top officials pledged to go ahead with nuclear project in Iran regardless.

Syria ties irk US
Apart from the controversy surrounding Iran, Moscow has been involved in another Middle Eastern debate. Russia is negotiating the sale of a short-range air-defense missile system to Syria, the Russian Defense Ministry has confirmed. "Talks are under way with Syria to sell it the Strelets short-range air-defense system, the delivery of which is not restricted by any international agreements," the ministry said in a statement.

Strelets is a weapon system that weighs roughly 100 kilograms and can fire four to eight Igla-S missiles. The statement said the system was designed to be vehicle-mounted and could not be used in a "man-portable modification". The ministry denied reports that Russia planned to sell Iskander tactical missile systems or any man-portable missile systems to Syria.

Jerusalem is concerned that easily transported missiles could end up in the hands of terrorists. The US is also opposed to the sale, concerned that the missiles could find their way into Iraq to be used against US troops there.

The official Russian Information Agency (RIA) on February 17 described media hype over the missile sales as an attempt to prevent the signing of an agreement on stricter US and Russian control over man-portable air defense systems (MANPADs) planned for this week.

Last month, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad traveled to Russia and urged the Kremlin to play a major role in the Middle East peace process. Assad also reiterated that Syria needed missiles only to protect itself from Israeli air raids.

Upset by a series of franchised coups in the former Soviet states, Russia presumably opted to send a signal to Washington. It's hardly a coincidence that Moscow's overtures toward Tehran and Damascus came on the eve of the Bush-Putin summit scheduled for this Thursday.

In recent months - to Russia's immense displeasure - Washington has moved to meddle in what Moscow used to view as its "near abroad", notably Ukraine. The Russian insistence on developing nuclear energy in collaboration with Tehran and security ties with Damascus seemingly means to indicate that Moscow's patience over perceived US meddling in the former Soviet states is wearing thin.

However, the wisdom of Moscow's tactics remains a matter of debate. By reaffirming ties with Iran and Syria, Russia risks alienating the West, a major market for its hydrocarbon exports. On the other hand, Iran appears to be Russia's competition, rather than partner, in terms of the global energy game. As the Russian economy remains firmly based on the inflow of petrodollars, courting competitors and alienating customers could prove counterproductive.

Sergei Blagov covers Russia and post-Soviet states, with special attention to Asia-related issues. He has contributed to Asia Times Online since1996. Between 1983 and 1997, he was based in Southeast Asia. In 2001 and 2002, Nova Science Publishers, New York, published two of his books on Vietnamese history.

(Copyright 2005 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us for information on sales, syndication and republishing.)


Lebanon, through the past darkly
(Feb 19, '05)

Psywar keeps Tehran on tenterhooks
(Feb 18, '05)

Moscow alienating its near abroad  (Feb 8 '05)

Demonizing Iran: Another US salvo
(Feb 5, '05)

 
 

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