China

Taiwan defense: Finger on the 'enter' key
By David Isenberg

It used to be that Taiwan's main worry was an old-fashioned invasion from mainland China, with Chinese soldiers sailing to storm the beaches and impose communist rule. Not any more. Taipei says that its defense focus is having to shift to more futuristic threats: Internet viruses, killer satellites, electromagnetic pulses that could fry computer networks vital to Taiwan's defense and economy.

China's electronic and information warfare capabilities will pose a real threat to Taiwan by 2010, as it becomes more proficient in using electromagnetic pulse bombs and highly complicated computer viruses to paralyze Taiwan's command systems, according to the island's Ministry of National Defense (MND).

Electronic warfare wasn't seen as a top threat when the military issued its national defense report two years ago. But on July 23, shortly after the recent release of the US Defense Department's annual report on the military power of the People's Republic of China, Taiwan released an unusually candid 300-page edition of its bi-annual "Defense Report Republic of China" White Paper, which outlines what Taiwan sees as its biggest threats and what it plans to do about them. This is the first White Paper issued since President Chen Shui-bian took office.

Urgency in China to resolve the "Taiwan issue" and the mainland's military modernization have posed a big threat against the island's security, according to the paper. "In order to negate the increasing threats from the PRC's military satellites, technology of ballistic missile, and information warfare, the ROC [Republic of China] Armed Forces will assume a posture of 'effective deterrence, resolute defense' under the fundamental concepts of 'prevention of war', 'maintaining stability in the Taiwan Strait', and 'defending the national soil'."

In order to do so, "it will spare no efforts to follow the guideline of "pre-empting information and electronic superiorities, keeping hostile unlimited warfare at bay, combining operations to command the air and the sea, assuring safety of ground operations, and defeating intruding enemies", to strengthen its prowess in information and electronic arenas continuously, and integrate weapon systems of the ROC Armed Forces so as to establish a "compact but delicate, highly capable" and modernized military force.

To enhance its electronic warfare capability, the military is to integrate the command and control systems of the air force and navy to form an electronic surveillance network, the paper says. The military is also to integrate more effectively the use of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) and underwater monitoring systems, which are to be part of the electronic surveillance network.

The UAVs and underwater monitoring systems referred to are still under development or construction. The underwater monitoring systems, though not specified in the paper, are believed to be those that Taiwan and the United States are building in seas around Taiwan proper.

The paper also candidly discusses another hitherto rarely discussed project: the establishment of a test site for electronic-warfare drills. The project has now entered the second stage, the report says, although what exactly that is remains unexplained.

Introducing electronic-warfare units in all three services is now a major objective, the report says. The existence of the army's electronic-warfare battalion, established only last year with US assistance, is confirmed for the first time in the paper.

According to Chang Yan-ting, a colonel in the Taiwanese air force and associate professor at the department of international studies at the Political Warfare College, the paper indicates a change in Taipei's strategic thinking.

If war comes, Taiwan's capacity to endure the ravages of war is extremely limited. It will have to take offensive action if it is to stop enemy troops landing on the island. Offshore full-scale engagement is the only option; the main battlefield can't be allowed to expand to Taiwan proper under any circumstances. Thus, a decisive naval-air battle should be one of the important strategic concepts of defense preparations. Otherwise Taiwan will be forced on to the defensive. A decisive shore battle would be extremely costly. Only by winning the battle offshore can casualties and property damage be minimized.

According to this line of thinking, Taiwan's defense should be built on maintaining combat capability. The strategy of full-scale air and naval engagement offshore should be adopted and air and naval deterrence and electromagnetic warfare capabilities must be strengthened so that air superiority can be gained early on. It must also maintain counter-attack capabilities. According to military, Taiwan has "quietly deployed locally developed air defense Tienkung and anti-ship Hsiungfeng missiles on the frontline islands" near the mainland, in tandem with its military strategy.

Overall, Taiwan is building a deterrent against any possible invasion of the island by China while trying to establish mutual trust mechanisms to prevent "accidental" wars, said the Defense Ministry. It said it had formulated a three-pronged defense strategy in the face of "increasing threats" from China's military satellites, ballistic missile technology and information warfare.

Taiwan wants to prevent war by building a sustainable defense capability so that "the enemy dare not rashly wage a war". But it also wants to maintain stability in the Taiwan Strait through dialogue and exchange on security issues between the two sides. In the event of an invasion, it wants to be ready to defend itself.

Although most of the media coverage of the White Paper dealt with it analysis of the military balance between the PRC and Taiwan, its analysis of social and economic factors is just as important.

In examining China's internal environment, it said: "Economically, discrepancy between economic policies and industrial development, institutional imbalance, and corporate earnings being perennially in the red have caused problems such as disharmony in regional economy and [a] widening poverty gap ... Socially, the policy to reform state-owned enterprises has caused a hike in the number of unemployed workers to 12 million people ... In addition, an unhealthy mentality of seeking financial gain is pervading throughout the society in both public and private sectors, resulting in worsening problems of graft and corruption. "In order to stabilize [mainland China's] domestic situation and resolve existing problems, Beijing authorities are bound to rely even more heavily on its armed forces. Once domestic problems become a threat to [the] political regime, it is highly likely that the PRC will try to divert internal dissatisfaction by taking outbound military actions."

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Aug 14, 2002


CHINA'S MILITARY MIGHT (Jul 2, '02)

 

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