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China

China wary of Japan's anti-war stance
By Phar Kim Beng

HONG KONG - While much remains unsaid, the strategic defense community in China is closely watching the morphing of the US-Japan relationship in light of how Article 9 of the Japanese constitution, which renounces war, is interpreted. This process has been going on for at least a year.

In August 2001, former prime minister Kiichi Miyazawa affirmed in San Francisco that Japan should lift its self-imposed ban on exercising its right to collective self-defense in the interests of a more effective Japan-US alliance. He spoke of the need for Japan to adapt to changing global realities.

Miyazawa made the remark in his keynote address at a conference on the future of Japan-US relations, which kicked off the US-Japan 21st Century Project commemorating the 50th anniversary of the signing of the San Francisco Peace Treaty. That treaty formally ended the war between the two countries.

Miyazawa further proposed that Japan should define the right to collective security as a logical extension of the right to self-defense: "I would like to envisage that the Japanese Self-Defense Forces can and should be deployed to assist the US forces insofar as their activities are clearly and directly relevant to Japanese security risks."

Such assistance does not require a revision of Article 9, said Miyazawa. "The Japanese government, if necessary, should clarify the interpretation of Article 9 with regard to the right to collective self-defense," he said.

On the surface, Miyazawa's call appears to be an extremely reasonable one. After all, he was not asking for a total revision of Article 9 - only that it accommodates the need of Japan to engage in "collective self-defense", a policy hitherto barred.

But on closer scrutiny, Miyazawa's proposal is fraught with risk to China. This is because the logical defense partner of Japan remains the United States. Furthermore, the US-Japanese alliance is an asymmetrical one, where Washington often calls the shots. China's concern is clearly brought home by how Japan reacted to the September 11, 2001, attacks on the World Trade Center and Pentagon. One week later, on September 18, the ruling coalition agreed to allow Japan's army to protect US military facilities in Japan.

Conservatives in Japan also urged the government to label the attack on the United States an attack on Japan itself. On September 27, the government and the Liberal Democratic Party submitted a bill to the extraordinary Diet session to enable the Self-Defense Force (SDF) to support a US-led multinational force. The bill featured measures to permit Japan to provide rear-area logistics support to the US military beyond immediate areas surrounding Japan.

While Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi subsequently ruled out any activities that entailed the use of military force, a position in line with Japan's war-renouncing constitution, Japan nonetheless supplied and transported materials via the SDF, which also provided medical help to soldiers in Pakistan as well as in the Indian Ocean.
What China is concerned about is Japan's piecemeal redefinition of its alliance with the United States. If the process is continued, it could reach a stage where Japan would no longer be barred from rallying to the side of Taiwan in the event of a Chinese invasion to reclaim the island.

Historically, China has strong grounds to worry about a strengthened US-Japan alliance. According to an article by Cornell University political scientist Peter Katzsenstein and colleague Nobuo Okawara referring to the Korean War, "Japan was actually much more fully involved on the Korean Peninsula than was being publicly revealed at the time."

Although no Japanese soldiers fought in Korea, between October and December 1950, Katzsenstein and Okawara affirmed, Japan "deployed 46 minesweepers manned by 1,200 men; two boats were sunk, one man was killed and eight were injured". Almost one-third of the support ships of the Incheon amphibious landing were manned by Japanese crews.

Although this involvement occurred under the occupation, it amply revealed that even at that early stage, Japan was already drawn by the US into sending members of its self-defense forces abroad.

Since 1983, it has been accepted that US warships on their way to help Japan defend itself can themselves get Japanese help against an enemy attack. In April 1996, during then US president Bill Clinton's visit to Japan, it was agreed by both sides that Japan can "in peacetime" provide fuel and other logistical aid to US forces engaged on problems outside Japan.

The next stage of the process might include agreeing that Japan's fighting men can help to rescue Japanese and other civilians caught up in foreign crises, or under attack by terrorists abroad; let Japanese minesweepers help clear mines off the coast of Korea; and saying that US warships under attack can now be helped by Japanese ships and aircraft even if they are not actually pointing towards Japan when the attack happens.

If one goes by the above, it implies that Article 9 notwithstanding, Japan does not have to be a sitting duck. If the occasion calls for it, Japan can join the United States in repelling hostile elements injurious to the interest of both.

The above scenario does not mean that Japan's postwar constitution is a mere formality. Indeed, in 1993, international peacekeeping bills were added to help define Japan's foreign missions with the United Nations even more clearly and carefully. But it does amplify Chinese fears that after all that has been said and done, Japan can re-arm rather quickly. And the main impediment is not the constitution but political will coupled with US pressure.

Although in actuality the bilateral pact between the United States and Japan has never been described as anything other than a mutual security arrangement - not an alliance - one can understand why China is constantly nervous about Japan. After all, Japan is the only Asian nation to have attacked China not once but twice. And, with China determined to reclaim Taiwan, either through peaceful means or by force, Beijing does not want to have Tokyo playing the surrogate of the United States.

(©2002 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)
 
Nov 5, 2002



 

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