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China

Overseas Chinese: How powerful are they?
By Phar Kim Beng

HONG KONG - In any discussion about overseas Chinese, direct reference to their wealth cannot be avoided. Nor can one help wonder about their capacity to "capture the state", since overseas Chinese are spread throughout East Asia.

At a little less than 60 million people, overseas Chinese form a far-flung diaspora that extends from San Francisco to Singapore. With an estimated wealth of more than US$1.5 trillion, they constitute what could arguably be called the third-largest economy in the world after the gross national products (GNPs) of the United States and Japan. The sprawling overseas Chinese community of East Asia alone (including Hong Kong and Taiwan) wields considerable economic reach.

Writing in Harvard Business Review, John Kao alluded to the eventual emergence of a "Chinese Commonwealth".

But does the wealth of overseas Chinese necessarily translate into political power across East Asia? More important, can the wealth of overseas Chinese be used to "capture the state"?

While there exist no definitive studies on the political power of overseas Chinese, several authors have written approvingly of the above prospect. The wealthy overseas-Chinese network has been separately christened "Lords of the (Pacific) Rim", "The New Asian Emperors" and the "Offshore Economic Empire" in various books.

On all counts, these regal designations hint clearly at the power of overseas Chinese to control the economic and political fate of their domiciles. In other words, many authors and analysts presuppose a link between the economic plenty of overseas Chinese and their ability to influence the political process of their respective countries and beyond.

Murray Weidenbaum, the first chairman of former US president Ronald Reagan's Council of Economic Advisors, even went so far as to claim that the emergence of Greater China - comprising mainland China, Hong Kong and Taiwan - is the "most important development in the post-Cold War era". Why? Because it is funding the growth of mainland China as a future superpower. He referred to this productive and profitable arrangement as the "bamboo network" - something that will never break.

Be that as it may, neither the scenario of a powerful overseas Chinese network nor one that is strategically useful to China is at all convincing at this stage. In fact, both notions are empirically and historically problematic.

An instructive lesson begins with the Batavia Fury of 1740. In an attempt to suppress Chinese competition in Batavia (now Jakarta), the Dutch East India Company used its considerable political power to label them "smugglers". All Chinese who were unable to prove that they were suitably employed in Batavia were summarily deported to Sri Lanka - as slaves. When they objected and rose in rebellion, they were immediately crushed. Consequently, some 10,000 Chinese were massacred, and their thriving commercial networks taken over by the Dutch and the native Javanese almost overnight.

If one were to fast-forward from the helplessness of the overseas Chinese to May 1998, we see the same results. Despite having a large share of Indonesia's gross domestic product, estimated by some at 75 percent, the Indonesian citizens of Chinese descent were unable to prevent their ethnic brethren from being killed in the unrest. In spite of their economic contribution to Indonesia for over three decades, the livelihood and basic security of the Indonesian Chinese were totally ignored by the Indonesian army.

In other words, not only did the ethnic Chinese fail to "capture" the Indonesian state, they were in fact at the mercy of the unruly mob.

The above demonstrates two crucial points. First, while overseas Chinese may be well endowed financially, their considerable wealth often evokes unwanted attention and jealousy. As it is, overseas Chinese are frequently the target of envy and scorn. Instead of being a boon, wealth paradoxically became the bane of overseas Chinese in their respective countries. It is only after an arduous process of nation-building that overseas Chinese are integrated with the local community.

Second, economic monopoly does not necessarily create any immunity for overseas Chinese. Nor can they expect the protection and backing of the state when the entire nation is in crisis. As a result of pressure by the masses to break the monopoly of the Chinese, attempts may even be made to distribute their wealth forcefully - or, as in the case of Indonesia, permit the mob to lash out at Chinese shops, homes and families. Overseas Chinese are thus made the scapegoat for the corruption and ineptitude of the state.

Invariably, the economic and political history of overseas Chinese has been constantly marked by various attempts, both legal and extrajudicial, to nationalize their wealth. It is for this reason that overseas Chinese tend to hide their wealth abroad, or keep a low profile in their respective countries. The latter does not help their efforts to be identified as a part of the community.

Within the past 30 years alone, overseas Chinese have been at the receiving end of both the state and non-Chinese society. Indeed, in all but one - Singapore - of the 10 countries forming the present-day Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), overseas Chinese have been sporadically discriminated against and victimized.

This statistic disproves the notion that economic wealth necessarily extends into some form of political power. The pattern of victimization in ASEAN, from 1969-99, for instance, occurred in spite of the fact that overseas Chinese were, by and large, rich and in control of the economic resources of their respective countries. Thus, from the 1969 racial riots in Malaysia to the anti-Chinese murder spree in Indonesia, wealth had simultaneously been a source of succor and worry to the overall well-being of overseas Chinese.

As such, when one discusses the wealth of overseas Chinese as a natural trajectory of political power, one must recognize that it is based on three untested assumptions. First, the overseas Chinese nouveau riche had successfully co-opted the state, thereby blurring the distinction between family-corporate interest and national ones. Second, both the state and army are willing to accept the co-option. And third, the non-Chinese segment of the society will allow corporate and state co-option to take place. Yet such assumptions are far too fanciful to be true.

As the Asian financial crisis has shown, non-Chinese will not take lightly to their economic interests being undermined and usurped by a small cluster of cronies. Indeed, within East Asia's political landscape, only Chinese in Singapore, Taiwan and Hong Kong have seen their legal, economic and even military status progressively improved. But then such power is gained within the framework of the nation-state - not without.

In the case of Singapore and Taiwan, their economic and political power increased because they were assiduously cultivated and enhanced by the state, internally. The goal of the Singapore and Taiwan governments, not least, is to address concerns arising from threats to national security. In Singapore's case, power was thus cultivated to counter Malaysia, which lies at the city-state's hinterland. As for Taiwan, its economic fortune blossomed because the state was trying to build an entity that was sufficiently rigorous to balance mainland China.

Ethnic Chinese thrive politically and economically in Singapore and Taiwan because it would have been strategically disastrous to discriminate against them in the first place.

To be sure, in attempting to speak of overseas Chinese as a conglomerate of financial cum political power perhaps even eclipsing the United States and Japan, many analysts have confused their own projection with factual reality.

The simple fact is that the mere aggregation of wealth or assets cannot be equated, pound-for-pound, with absolute political clout across the region. Indeed, if wealth, as had been shown earlier, cannot prevent discrimination within one's borders, how then does it translate into real power abroad? Moreover, if wealth cannot prevent anti-Chinese massacres, how then can it be employed for the higher purpose of superseding others in an economic and political race? These are two important questions that have hardly been addressed by those who believe in the power of overseas Chinese.

For this reason, anyone proclaiming overseas Chinese to be the future political ringmaster of the Asia-Pacific region should temper their exuberance. Furthermore, attempts of overseas Chinese to invest in China are also not risk-free. The more they do so, the more vulnerable they become to accusations of being ardent loyalist of Beijing, instead of their respective government. Such accusations can instantly be seen as an act of treachery in their own countries.

Thus, one often finds overseas Chinese espousing no overt political cause except the maximization of profits. Naturally, by concentrating their energy on wealth-creation, this endeavor also makes overseas Chinese ever more vulnerable to internal rivalry and intra-competition. Stories of rich Chinese tycoons unable to agree on various political and economic issues are in fact a dime a dozen.

In an article published in Survival, David Goodman, a prominent Australian scholar, wrote: "The integration of China with Taiwan and the ethnic Chinese of Southeast Asia is unlikely to develop further in the longer term. Beyond a general - and sometimes excessively vague - common ancestral background, there is little uniting the region's Chinese, and the concept of a community of ethnic Chinese in East and Southeast Asia all but disappears on closer examination. To the extent that ethnic-Chinese activity can be identified, it is in the business world, and in that context the ethnic Chinese are more divided by their differences than united by their apparent Chineseness." (Survival, Winter 1997-98, page 141)

To expect overseas Chinese, both in Southeast Asia and Taiwan, to foster the growth of mainland China is to assume that both have common cause by virtue of their ethnic similarity - and that their corporate interests will convert into shared political goals. Yet the fact is, they can't. This is because overseas Chinese are often divided on many issues. Perennial questions over market access and control are enough to knock alleged Chinese commercial unity to the wayside.

Even if there are multitudes of overseas-Chinese corporate entities operating in mainland China or across the entire East Asian region, their prime motivation is profit-making. Political involvement only occurs as a matter of convenience, not conviction based on any sense of Chineseness.

While referring to overseas Chinese as "Lords of the (Pacific) Rim", as author Sterling Seagrave has done, it is thus useful to keep in mind that wealth does not automatically mean power, any more than power can be gained by economic means alone.

Professor Wang Gung Wu, who is the leading authority on the study of overseas Chinese, even called it "eunuch wealth". By this he meant wealth that cannot translate naturally into political power, for two reasons. One, because wealth of overseas Chinese is gained in an environment without legal and institutional guarantees. Therefore, just as wealth can be easily made with the right political connection, it can be taken away by the state just as quickly. Second, because overseas Chinese are constantly under the suspicion of having pro-Beijing allegiances.

To avoid accusations of being pro-China, overseas Chinese often do their utmost to respect the wishes of their local government first. Very rarely do they invest in mainland China for ethnically inspired reasons.

In short, anyone assessing the true "power" of the overseas Chinese must resist the commonsensical, nonetheless flawed, notion that power means adding material possessions up. More important, scholars should also understand that while blood may be thicker than water, ethnic kinship does not easily convert into an all-powerful political network.

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Dec 10, 2002



 

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