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Falling into the Chinese orbit
By Nandakumar J

Speaking Freely is an Asia Times Online feature that allows guest writers to have their say. Please click here if you are interested in contributing.

The enormous economic growth of the Middle Kingdom has gained attention for many decades. Its vast geographic territory, manpower, resources, and its incredible business opportunities have the miraculous ability to seduce the market dreams of the West and the countries of the Global East.

The isolation policies and xenophobia of the Chinese have kept foreigners away from the mainland for centuries. But in many ways that helped China to focus on its domestic development without any intervention from any external power. It also seems that China had sufficient domestic resources in earlier times, and hardly required imports from rest of the world. This logically justified China's closed-door policy for centuries. And due to the unique character of China's trade relations, its foreign counterparts were found running into high trade deficits.

The continuous knocking at the door of the Chinese kingdom by the Western world has rarely given way for them to enter the Chinese market, as they had expected. No other country on the Asian continent has become as importance in terms of market opportunities or is as promising as China. Thus, this article will focus on some specific factors that make China the world's most important developing country in this century.

The orbit
The Chinese orbit is a vast imaginative space of China's interaction with the outside world. With its elusive quest to gain an understanding of China and to access its untapped opportunities, the outside world revolves around the Chinese orbit. This orbit mainly includes the magnetic points such as the "Chinese market", its "economic growth" and "the social, political and cultural systems". All the above-mentioned factors have undeniable roles in bringing the outside world closer to China.

Despite many criticisms of China on different issues, such as its projection of economic growth, human rights issues, etc, a growing affinity for China is evident in the international community. In the past, missionaries, commercial lobbies and governmental agencies waited to push themselves into the Chinese mainland, but could do so only with great difficulty. Time changed as China started opening up slowly to the outside world. The opening up was approached with great caution from the Chinese side. And in effect, it allowed China to learn more about the outside world than what others could learn about China.

China's market: A galaxy of opportunities
With a population exceeding 1.2 billion, and a fast-growing economy, China promises to be the largest possible market for commercial activities in the world. The story of the Western world's commercial fascination with China dates back 2,000 years and began with a product that still symbolizes the relationship - silk [1]. The romance of the Chinese market and its products has been growing through centuries. Trade commodities like silk and tea, and the desired know-how for paper-making were fascinating factors to the outside world.

The Chinese have taken a courageous step toward open markets, recognizing that no nation can isolate itself in today's global marketplace if its economy is to grow and its people are to prosper [2]. China today offers enormous market opportunities. It can assure sufficient returns to any investor, and so is a market that neither investors or international brands can ignore. The Chinese market is irresistible to many multinational giants in the fields of automobiles, software and information technology (IT), among others. China's entry into the World Trade Organization (WTO) also has contributed to the development of its vast market. China's entry was a relief to many multinational companies, waiting for new markets in the Asian region after the Asian economic crisis in 1997-97.

Great leap in economic growth
China's economic growth reached 9.1 percent, and its external trade reached US$851 billion (7 trillion yuan) in 2003, according to official Chinese sources. Though there was concern about China's economic development due to the impact of SARS (severe acute respiratory syndrome), the slowdown in economic growth did not persist throughout 2003. Moreover, China's foreign exchange reserves reached $415.7 billion by the end of January 2004, the world's second largest after Japan [3]. Despite criticisms of this economic growth as dodgy and unsustainable, the Chinese economy has been gaining attention among other countries. It is true that official information on many facts is not available to the outside world and there were fluctuations in economic growth in the past. However, these are purely due to the domestic political conditions from time to time.

The worst times for the Chinese economy came during the Great Leap Forward and the Cultural Revolution. But in the post-1980s, the situation changed, and the modernization processes had great influence on national development. Even during the slowdown in other Asian economies, China was witnessing immense progress in its economic growth. When East Asia was attacked by a financial crisis in 1997 and 1998, China introduced a policy of not depreciating its currency, and it really delivered the goods, making remarkable contributions to the East Asian economies', riding over the crisis and restoring stability and growth [4].

China's economy is greatly influenced by the ongoing globalization trend. Globalization has opened up investment opportunities in China, and in addition, the Chinese government's effective policies on taxation, plus its long-term investment in infrastructure construction also have contributed to a more pleasant investment climate [5]. All these factors collectively contributed to the importance of China's economy in the world.

Society, culture and political systems
The Chinese society has its roots deep in Confucianism, a realistic moral philosophy. Though it was never practiced as a religion, it played a major role in shaping China's society, its political system and molding Chinese thinking. China has a very rich cultural history that dates back centuries. The development of literature, architecture, painting, ceramics and Chinese medicine, etc in China has gained notable importance in the world. These factors have influenced the West's fascination with China and drawn all those Western countries sail to its shores.

The political system in modern China is another important factor, which has always made China watchers enthusiastic. Communism in China was different from the communist experience in Russia. What the world could see in China was the "Sinification" of a communist ideology.

The survival of communism in post-liberation China was always suspected by Western Sinologists, but Chinese leaders were ambitious and confident that they could make the country into a strong economic power in the world. Though the failure of some policies during the late 1950s and early 1960s was viewed critically by Western Sinologists, China never gave up its efforts to push itself to the world's forefront. By the end of the Cold War, China had gained attention as a growing Asian power and was the only country able to fill the power vacuum created by the collapse of Soviet Union.

Since the Tiananmen massacre of peaceful pro-democracy civilians, China has become more assertive in protecting its national interests in a pragmatic way. Developing relations with the West or former ideological enemies is no longer taboo for China. Moreover, it has been given due importance to improve its trade relations.

Conclusion
Sinologists have different opinions on whether China is a threat, competitor or opportunity to other countries, especially to its Asian neighbors. What is more important to the Asian neighbors is to understand that the growth of China as an economic power will always be better than a China suffering from economic or political problems. While projecting China as a threat to its Asian neighbors by the West, it is evident that they have already fallen into the Chinese orbit, looking for access to the world's most promising market. The only country that is always worried about the truth of multi-polarity is the United States. And if China is blamed by the US for hegemonizing the Asian continent, it only reflects US interests in the continent.

In addition to the Western powers, Russia also maintains strong relations with China. For Russia, China is a promising customer for its arms industry,and its bilateral trade is greater with China than with the US. China is an economic giant and a dependable trading partner to other Asian countries, and it stands to make the demands of the developing countries more vocal in the international arena after being dubbed "the most important developing country" in the Asian region. China's cooperation is undeniable and essential in bringing about pragmatic solutions to issues like energy security, economic development, the fight against terrorism, etc, especially in the Asia-Pacific region.

China's economic growth and market avenues have opened up avenues for many more trading giants showing their interest in China. Countries that had refused to kowtow before the Chinese emperors centuries back have kowtowed before modern China a hundred times to get entry to its market - and have thereby fallen into the Chinese orbit.

[1] Joe Studwell. The China Dream. Profile Books, London 2004. Page 3.

[2] Commentary by Roger C Beach, "Golden opportunity to open trade with China", on the Unocal website.

[3] Information at www.tdctrade.com, as provided by the Hong Kong Trade Development Council.

[4] "How to interpret China's Fast Economic Growth", by Justin Yifu Lin. Published at http://en.ce.cn/insights/t20031209_241720.shtml.

[5] Xinhua News Agency. March 20, 2004.

Speaking Freely is an Asia Times Online feature that allows guest writers to have their say. Please click here if you are interested in contributing.

Nandakumar J is a PhD Scholar, Department of Chinese and Japanese Studies, University of Delhi, New Delhi, India. He can be reached at: nanduj123@rediffmail.com.


Apr 17, 2004



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