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SPEAKING FREELY
China: Perils of a US-dominated world
By Haibin Niu and Shixiong Ni

Speaking Freely is an Asia Times Online feature that allows guest writers to have their say. Please click here if you are interested in contributing.

In the post-Cold War era, the structure of world power has been transformed from the old bipolar system to a unipolar system. The United States became the sole superpower in world politics, which has structural effects on the behavior of other actors. To maintain their survival and development, other states will choose a good or normal relationship with the US, rather than confrontation with Washington. However, the primacy of the US doesn't mean it can do without respecting other actors' desires and interests. A lonely superpower cannot go far or forever go it alone in a more and more interdependent and globalized world.

The September 11, 2001, terrorism attacks on the US were a turning point. The US constructed an anti-terrorism coalition based on its primacy. To some extent, the September 11 attacks provided a chance for big powers to improve their relationships. Based on the consensus of the need to fight terrorism, relations between China and the US, and Russia and the US have improved and been consolidated.

However, we should note that terrorism is not an urgent security threat for China and Russia, although both of them face terrorism in their internal domains. Thus, it is very apparent that both China and Russia want to reconcile their relations with the US in the aftermath of September 11. For both China and Russia, achieving cooperation and improvement with the US is the more important objective than the goal of anti-terrorism.

After September 11, the security concerns priority of the US began to change. To prevent a potential big power challenge has been supplanted by anti-terrorism on Washington's most urgent security agenda. Terrorism, rogue states, and the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction (WMD) were then thought to be the most dangerous threat to the US. Thus, Afghanistan, Iraq, Iran and North Korea became the focus of American security concerns. The countries previously considered as potential challengers to its sole superpower status were marginalized by the security threat from terrorism and the proliferation of WMD. Its challengers and allies were united around America to promote the mission of anti-terrorism.

But this is not the whole scenario. Fighting terrorism is just one impetus to promote cooperation among big powers. Anti-terrorism is a single problem, which should not be exaggerated too much. To agree with the US on the need to fight terrorism together with the US is not to agree on everything with the US. As we have witnessed, when the war on terrorism extended to Iraq, different voices and actions emerged, even from America's traditional allies. Differences of attitudes and interests on the Iraq war brought deep friction to the trans-Atlantic relationship, a situation that had never occurred since World War II. The trans-Atlantic tension is easy to understand in a more and more interdependent and globalized world, but it means more in the situation of anti-terrorism and American primacy.

To some extent, global terrorism is a product of globalization. The global spread of information and technology, erosion of national boundaries and weakening of national governance provide the conditions for the growth of terrorism, and make it difficult to fight terrorism. In a globalized and interdependent world, anti-terrorism is a common task for all inhabitants on earth and requires comprehensive measures. Anti-terrorism activities should extend beyond national governments. The nation-state is just one governance unit among the global governance system. The power of international institutions, global civil society, and other super or sub-national actors also should be emphasized.

American primacy and power collaboration
In an international world, national government is the most reliable force to combat terrorism. If national governments can provide enough security and order to their citizens, there will be less terrorism. The key factor is not whether one's regime is democratic; legitimacy is vital to the survival of its regime. A legitimized regime can improve its governance ability and reduce its domestic sources of terrorism. Thus, the war on terrorism should move beyond war on rogue states. Rogue states should change, but how to achieve change is another problem. In a global governance era, we should depend on international regimes, which have the biggest legitimacy, in adopting actions towards sovereign independent national states.

The Iraq war was a great challenge to the legitimacy of contemporary international institutions. However, the effectiveness of the United Nations isn't completely overshadowed by the unilateralism of the US and its allies. In the period of post-Iraq war reconstruction, the scandals of Iraqi captive abuse, and the 2004 US presidential election campaign, the UN once again regained its status in maintaining peace and promoting development in Iraq. In dealing with security threats, unilateralism might be more rapid and timely than multilateralism, but it lacks sufficient legitimacy when intervening or interfering with the domestic affairs of other states, and mistakes and miscalculations are easy to make.

Thus, in the long run, multilateralism enjoys greater effectiveness than unilateralism. Implementing genuine international democracy is a good way to avoid making mistakes. And when we emphasize domestic democracy, we should not forget transnational democracy, although transnational democracy is still in its early stages.

In the context of US primacy, balancing power is difficult but not impossible. When all other powers' ideas and interests are damaged severely by the unilateralism of the US and its allies, anti-unilateralism alliances might be constructed in the near future. The ideas, strengths and resources of other powers need to be respected by the US and its allies, otherwise international institutions will lose their ability to act effectively. One of the founding principles of the United Nations is cooperation among big powers. During the long Cold War period, the efficacy of the UN declined to its lowest point due to the confrontation between the US and the Soviet Union.

As far as international institutions are concerned, the contribution and cooperation of the big powers is vital to the survival and development of those institutions in the globalization era. Although more and more non-state actors began to act on the global stage, sovereign states are the basic governance units. When we fight terrorism, we will ask for help from and ascribe terrorism to some country, which is a good example for us to understand the state basis of international institutions. Dialogue and negotiation are necessary to bridge the differences between American policy preferences and those of the rest of the world.

American primacy isn't enough to promote the effective action of the United Nations until the US respects other states' proper national interests. Without the collaboration of other big powers, the UN might come to be paralyzed again. Multilateralism is beneficial to increase the legitimacy of transnational governance. It provides a chance for us to express our ideas and interests; negotiation and decision-making can be accomplished in such a multilateral situation. The unilateralist action will damage its legitimacy, which might be thought of as a struggle for one's national interests, not for our collective interests. Due to their democracy and legitimacy, more and more developing countries and relatively weak powers prefer to carry out global governance through international institutions, which were initiated by the big powers. Thus, the freedom of a superpower might be constrained by such relatively democratic multilateral institutions. But such constraints are necessary, because no power can overreach indefinitely, because this will definitely damage its power in the long run.

China's view
In China's view, US primacy is a basic characteristic of the contemporary international system. China takes an active (and positive) attitude to a constructive role played by the US in maintaining peace and promoting development. China is not a revisionist in the contemporary international system. On the contrary, China has achieved great progress in more than 20 years of fully participating in world affairs (it was recognized by the UN as the sole legitimate government of China in 1971). China will also promote the development of economic globalization led by the US in a direction conducive to common prosperity, draw on its advantages and avoid its disadvantages. China's strategic objective is to create a peaceful international environment for itself and the world.

At the same time, China stands for establishing a new international political and economic order that is fair and rational, which doesn't mean opposing some particular country. China is in favor of promoting democracy in international relations and diversifying development models. China also wants to strengthen the role of the UN in peacekeeping operations and to make them more efficient.

Unilateralism constitutes a severe threat to the democracy of international relations. With the rapid development of unilateralism, more and more countries began to develop high technology and strengthen their military power to safeguard their sovereignty and security, which might increase the danger of the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction.

China is also a victim of terrorism. China insists that the international community should develop cooperation to prevent and fight against international terrorist activities, and make efforts to eradicate the root causes of terrorism. Besides anti-terrorism, China faces lots of security challenges in the Asia-Pacific region. To safeguard regional peace and stability is the duty of China as a big country.

Indian-Pakistani relations and the Korean nuclear question are hot-spot issues of global concern at present. The six-party talks (hosted by China and currently under way in Beijing) have opened the way to a peaceful solution, though the way will be long. For a long time, China has made active efforts to urge peace and dialogue between India and Pakistan. China is glad to see that Indian-Pakistani relations are moving towards less tension. At present, the highest security danger is in the Taiwan Strait.

The Taiwan separatist force is the biggest threat to peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait. On the one hand, despite increasing cross-Strait economic, trade, cultural and personnel exchanges, the root cause of tension between the two sides has not been eliminated. The focus of the contradiction is the different attitudes of both sides on the one-China principle.

On the other hand, by continuing to sell weapons to Taiwan and elevating relations with the Taiwan authorities, a handful of countries have inflated the arrogance of the separatist forces and intensified the tense situation across the Taiwan Strait. China will not use force unless Taiwan's separatist forces dangerously threaten the integrity of the territory of the country. To stop separation and realize complete unification of the motherland is one of China's basic national defense goals, which should be clearly conveyed to the countries concerned.

Haibin Niu majors in international relations and is a PhD candidate at the Center of American Studies, Fudan University. Professor Shixiong Ni is the director of the center and PhD adviser. They can be contacted at blessniu@hotmail.com.

Speaking Freely is an Asia Times Online feature that allows guest writers to have their say. Please click here if you are interested in contributing.


Jun 25, 2004




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