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China

One system, two Chinas
By Li YongYan

BEIJING - When visitors arrive in big Chinese cities such as Shanghai, Beijing or Shenzhen, what do they see? They see well-dressed, healthy people entering glass and steel modern high-rise buildings while talking on tiny cell phones. They see the latest models of European sports utility vehicles whizzing by on broad expressways. And they hear the success story of China's economy roaring ahead at high speed.

That prosperous appearance is anything but deceptive. Nobody worth his or her education will refuse to recognize what is obviously real. China, indeed, has made great headway in creating wealth.

However, there is another, less glamorous and lesser-known side to China: the countryside where a huge number of Chinese who hardly have enough to eat all year around reside. According to the government's own numbers, 30 million people live on an income of less than US$77 per year. Another 65 million earn less than $106 per year. In other words, as many as nearly 100 million Chinese out of the billion-plus population live in abject poverty.

It is worth noting that the United Nations defines poverty as subsistence on $1 a day. Against this standard, each and every one of the 800 million-plus farmers in China is mired in poverty: the average per capita income for the rural population last year was $317, 13% less than the world average. And that is the picture in the rural areas only, not counting the 21.6 million poor city residents who support themselves with a measly income or welfare as low as $30 per month.

Of course, the causes of poverty are many and varied. Chief among them are adverse natural conditions, including disastrous acts of nature in some of the poorest regions, and the lack of welfare for the old, infirm and handicapped.

But what has the government done to help them? Beijing claims that in the past 20 years, from 1983 to 2003, the central government has provided some $13.1 billion in poverty relief programs aimed at helping the poor rise above the China-specific poverty line. (China's own definition of poverty - an income at or under the equivalent of $77 per year, per head - puts one into the category of "not having enough to eat or warm clothes". There are 30 million of these as of this year by official stats.) This sounds like a lot of dough, but instead of improving, the number of people living in poverty actually increased by 800,000 last year on a year-to-year basis, according to the latest official estimates.

By comparison, various international organizations have given China a total of $51.6 billion in different grants and aid in the same 30-year period, dwarfing China's own effort a few times over. Qinghai province alone has received $90.42 million - equivalent to two years' worth of central government grants - from overseas contributions.

Is the government then also too poor? China's gross domestic product (GDP) output grew from $43.8 billion in 1979 to $1.4 trillion in 2003, registering a 32-fold growth increase. Averaged out across the population, each Chinese can boast of a share of $1,090, which is the per capita GDP of China as of 2003. The problem is, wealth just isn't distributed that way. It never filters down to the weak and poor. Chinese farmers have been denied a place at the dinner table. Nominal rural per capita income was $42 in 1986 and grew only seven-fold by 2003.

The rate of increase in farmers' income slowed to less than 5% annualized since 1997, in sharp contrast to the published growth rate of GDP value as a whole. As a comparison group, city residents see their income grow by nearly 8% per year, widening the income gap between the countryside and cities to a record 1:3.24 by this year.

While desperate poverty will draw $1.4 billion in government assistance in 2004, $25 billion is allocated to defense spending in 2004 alone, a steep 46% increase over 2001. Another $1.6 billion is budgeted for the 2008 Beijing Olympics. Approximately $3.15 billion is now being spent on a giant glass dome near Tiananmen Square because the government feels that China needs a modern theater house to match its big-state status. Entertainment for government officials by government officials costs another $121 billion a year, according to media reports that have not been denied. Of course, the government feels it is obligated to show its big-state largesse by donating a crisp $100 million to such noble causes as the African Development Fund and the Asian Development Fund.

As for its own poverty, Beijing is expecting the rich nations of the world to help out. Premier Wen Jiabao said in April during a world conference on poverty relief that it is the moral obligation of rich countries to aid poor countries. "The developed countries should provide more official aid, further reduce poor countries' debt load, speed up technology transfer and eliminate trade obstacles," he appealed in the opening speech.

Yet it is reported that Wu Shan County in Sichuan province, one of the poorest in China, which receives $3.63 million in government anti-poverty assistance each year, is planning to build a 138-meter-tall fairy goddess statue on a mountain top along the Yangtze River, for $48 million, or a dozen years worth of alms earmarked for the poor in the county.

To the hundreds of millions of farmers who haven't participated in the wealth created over the past two decades, what good is the so-called China miracle - speedy economic growth and shining skyscrapers and sophisticated Soviet-built Su-27 fighter planes? What pride can they possibly derive from a cosmos ship that costs more than they can comprehend for a shot into outer space? Even more ironically, where are the bona fide communist instigators when the landless and penniless peasants need them?

Li YongYan is an analyst of China business.

(Copyright 2004 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)


Aug 10, 2004




China anti-poverty loans go to favored business (Aug 4, '04)

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