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Japan's top hawk ruffles China's feathers
By Li Jing

HONG KONG - Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi carried out his third large-scale cabinet reshuffle on September 27. In the Asian and global spotlight now is the new conservative foreign minister, Nobutaka Machimura, 59, who succeeded the non-partisan Yoriko Kawaguchi. Machimura is a member of the right-wing faction of the governing Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), led by former prime minister Mori Yoshiro. This perceived hawkish face of Japan's foreign policy and its possible further right-wing tilt has caused serious misgivings in Beijing. Relations between China and Japan already are strained and Machimura may not make them any easier.

It is obvious that the so-called Mori Faction, a steadfast constituency of Prime Minister Koizumi, has reaped an abundant harvest in the cabinet restructuring, garnering other powerful positions, including those of the chief cabinet secretary and minister for justice. For a long time, China has been fretting over the looming emergence of the Mori Faction, which apparently tends to support the independence of Taiwan.

Meanwhile in China, the Communist Youth League (CYL), riding high within the political arena, has a vehement antipathy toward the Mori Faction. China Youth Daily, an influential journal sponsored by the CYL, once commented that Mori Yoshiro was a pro-Taiwan prime minister in the mold of one of his predecessors, Kishi Nobusuke, who patronized the Chiang Kai-shek administration in Taiwan but refused to recognize the communist government in mainland China after the World War II. It is well known but seldom publicized that many Mori Faction members maintain frequent but covert contact with Taiwanese officials. Beijing even suspects that Mori Yoshiro, when he was Japan's prime minister, gave former Taiwanese president Lee Teng-hui the approval to visit Japan three years ago.

Before Machimura was appointed foreign minister, he was minister of education, culture, sports, science and technology. In March 2001, he approved a history textbook that was revised by a group of right-wing scholars in an effort to defend the Japanese invasion of China in World War II; he hypocritically repeated the cliche that the textbook revision accorded with the requirements of the national syllabus, and gave a nod to the principles of international understanding and cooperation. Meanwhile, he highlighted the tenets for history education and the principle of considering the feelings of neighboring countries in reviewing the textbook, reiterating that the Japanese government had not changed its introspective and apologetic stance over its historical sins.

However, the explanation of Machimura still failed to pacify the outraged Dragon. Guangming Daily, a popular quality paper among Chinese intellectuals, attacked Machimura's rhetoric for attempting to cover the fact that Japan's new history textbook tried to disavow, whitewash, even justify its unscrupulous invasion and war. The revised textbook with some 137 amendments "deliberately blurs Japan's invasion record, extols militarism, distorts the anti-fascism wars by all Asian countries, and desperately conceals the atrocities and enormities committed by the militaristic invaders during the World War II", the paper reported.

Some Japan watchers believe that former foreign minister Yoriko Kawaguchi probably was kicked out of office because she adopted a moderate diplomacy toward China. Shortly before the cabinet reorganization, Kawaguchi told Chinese State Councilor Tang Jiaxuan that she expected the East Sea, known to the Japanese as the Sea of Japan, to become an ocean of Sino-Japan friendship rather than one of conflict. Thus Beijing presumed that she was speaking for pragmatic politicians in Japan. Yet shortly after those parting words, Kawaguchi left the scene as Koizumi rearranged his cabinet.

For ages, there has been a persistent controversy over the borderline between China and Japan along the East Sea, affecting the nations' rights to exploit the oil reserves beneath the sea. This year, China launched offshore drilling in the undisputed Chinese waters of the sea, and meanwhile proposed to cooperate with Japan in tapping the oil resources under the disputed waters - but that proposal was rejected almost instantly.

On the other hand, Japan demands that China provide detailed data about the ongoing offshore drilling, lest the oil and gas deposits beneath its waters of the East Sea will be drained away. Yet Beijing also dismissed that request, arguing that China had no obligation to offer the confidential drilling and exploration data since Japan disapproved of co-exploitation and joint exploration. Later, Japan sent an exploration vessel leased from Norway to prospect above the disputed waters on July 4, which China considered a provocation.

Today, Sino-Japanese relations are at a critical juncture. Shortly before Japan's cabinet reshuffle, a quiet earthquake rocked China's political stage as Communist Party chairman and national President Hu Jintao succeeded Jiang Zemin as chairman of party's Central Military Commission, thereby taking control of the military, as well as the state government and the party. The moderate reformist Hu Jintao is a disciple of late paramount leader Deng Xiaoping and later Hu Yaobang, both of whom contributed to improving China-Japan ties. Observers expect the Dragon's torchbearer, Hu, to try to advance the goal of his predecessors and mentors and improve strained relations between the two economic powerhouses.

As expected, President Hu had made a series of friendly overtures to Japan, such as recommending co-exploitation of the East Sea resources, appointing well-regarded vice foreign minister Wang Yi as the Chinese ambassador to Japan, welcoming Yohei Kono, the speaker of the Japan's Lower House, in a high-profile visit to China. Prime Minister Koizumi, however, has never been invited, because of what is considered his militarism and repeated visits to the Yasukuni Shrine, which memorializes war dead, including Class A war criminals.

Some political scientists point out that this is the right time to thaw the frozen relations with Japan, while Hu Jintao, China's new military chief, is enjoying a political "honeymoon" with the people and the troops. Seeing that his second term will expire by 2009, Taiwanese President Chen Shui-bian may risk moves toward independence by 2006. Then the difficulties in improving Sino-Japan tension will multiply, since Japan may be forced to intervene in the potential cross-Taiwan Strait conflict, as spelled out in the Guidelines for US-Japan Defense Cooperation.

Further, China's anti-Japan nationalism is expected to escalate around 2005, some observers say, before the Communist Party convenes its 17th National Congress in 2007. Presumably, any friendly gesture to Japan at that time will be facing opposition at home, arguing for the need to improve relations now.

Overall, observers worry that the Sino-Japanese relationship will reach bottom if it fails to improve in two years.

(Copyright 2004 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)


Oct 6, 2004
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