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Hu's new era: Kinder, gentler, more relaxed
By Wang Chu

HONG KONG - It's been a little more than a month since reformist Chinese President Hu Jintao grasped all the reins of power - state, Communist Party and military - and already signs are emerging of a new Hu era. While maintaining political control, the Hu regime appears to be kinder and gentler, more relaxed, more tolerant and less autocratic than the previous administration. He wants long-term stability, and not confrontation any time soon in the Taiwan Strait. And stand by for some housecleaning.

Contrary to the policies under Jiang Zemin's leadership - he was Hu's predecessor, reluctant to bow out and still known as the old "phantom regent" - Beijing has softened its stance over the Taiwan-unification issue and the leadership has proposed not trying to solve the Taiwan issue with a pressing and rigid timetable. An informed source told Asia Times Online that central departments responsible for Taiwan affairs convened a major policy meeting soon after the decisive party plenum ended on September 19. That was the session when Jiang officially stepped down, giving up his chairmanship of the party's Central Military Commission.

The meeting on Taiwan put forward new guidelines, namely that authorities must stay prepared for the possible breakout of conflict but refrain from radical or forced reunification efforts regardless of the cross-strait situation. At the same time, Oriental Outlook, a well-regarded magazine sponsored by the official Xinhua News Agency, published an article in its recent issue featuring two Taiwan experts sharing the same viewpoint - slow, steady progress and no confrontations.

In contrast, former president Jiang repeatedly had stressed hasty efforts to solve the Taiwan issue. As early as December 1999, after the handover of Macau to mainland China, Jiang vowed that the Taiwan issue should not be indefinitely protracted and he pressed for a timetable. According to a July report by Wen Wei Po, Beijing's official mouthpiece in Hong Kong, a meeting of the Central Military Commission then steered by Jiang emphasized the need for a timeline in dealing with Taiwan. Beijing considers it a renegade province, but most Taiwanese identify strongly with Taiwan, not China, and see themselves as an independent, or at least self-governing, entity.

Participants at the major post-plenum meeting on Taiwan said that in the next two decades, the biggest threat to China's security would be Taiwan. Some even averred that Beijing set a deadline for reunification with Taiwan, either in a peaceful or military way, for the year 2020. Political observers, however, suggest that Hu has nonetheless moderated Jiang's policy and made cross-strait stability the top priority.

Another sign of the end of the Jiang era is that Hu has given personal assurances that non-governmental organizations (NGOs) should play a larger role in social development, crucial in a country as vast as China with limited government resources. This is seen as an important signal that he is willing to relax control. Analysts said that he supported NGOs last Wednesday in a meeting with representatives from China's Red Cross. Hu's statement is interpreted as a tendency to relax some central control and grant more freedom and flexibility to these organizations, helping them make more contributions in areas that are beyond the grasp of the Communist Party or the government.

Hu was accompanied to the Red Cross reception by the influential Wu Yi, known as China's "Iron Lady", who also is a vice premier and a member of the Central Politburo, the party's key policymaking body. Her presence was interpreted as an endorsement of Hu's call for greater NGO freedom and relaxed government control. In fact, Wu herself has been introducing more NGOs into the work of helping the disadvantaged, including AIDS patients, since she took charge of public-health affairs last year.

In comparison, Jiang always had emphasized that the Communist Party should ensure its absolute control of the state and that NGOs should be strictly controlled. In fact, all NGOs had to register with the authorities and they were strictly administered by the party in Jiang's era. That state of affairs is changing.

Another sign of changing times is the political reshuffling of important positions and filling them with those who share Hu's reformist views. This too is seen as proof of Hu's domination of Beijing's political scene. A key example: the authorities in northeastern China's Jilin province recently announced a reshuffle - incumbent Governor Hong Hu will be replaced by one of three candidates, one of the contenders being Wang Min, who is the former party head of the developed industrial city Suzhou in eastern China. Given that an officer in Wang's capacity is seldom promoted to the governorship, China experts consider the reshuffle the prelude to a housecleaning movement by Hu to reorganize the leadership in some regions to address provincialism and bad governance.

Jilin's Hong Hu could be the first casualty. The son of an influential party elder, Hong suffered a fall in popularity last year after a major fire that left more than a hundred dead and injured. Further, during Hong's tenure, Jilin has been plagued by stagnant economy due to a large number of non-performing, money-losing state-owned enterprises.

It is noteworthy that all of the three possible replacement candidates were Suzhou's municipal party heads for three successive terms. Li Yuanchao, the incumbent provincial party head of Jiangsu province governing Suzhou, was a colleague of Hu Jintao in the central Communist Youth League in 1980s. The background of the candidates and links to President Hu leads political observers to believe that Hu is trying to expand his influence to Jilin.

Simply put, the biggest difference between Jiang's old and Hu's new leadership is that Jiang vowed to rule with an iron fist, while Hu enshrines the more common touch and urges leaders to listen to and learn from the people. Jiang's mindset and approach to social control were similar to those of old bureaucrats in the former Soviet Union where government/party control prevailed in every aspect of life - politics, economy, culture and daily life at the grassroots level. As in the Soviet Union, the Jiang government even tried to determine and regulate what the normal and acceptable lifestyle should be.

Hu's governance style is characterized by the government's looser control of the state and greater leeway to trusted, reform-minded colleagues. The government retains firm control of political affairs but not of all aspects of life. In addition, diversity of lifestyle is tolerated by the Hu's Communist Party regime.

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Nov 3, 2004
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