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    Greater China
     Mar 4, 2005
Beijing tightens its grip on Hong Kong
By Simon Parker

HONG KONG - It is, on the face of it, a stunning victory for "people's power". Hong Kong leader Tung Chee-hwa is stepping down after a chain of events set off by an anti-government protest involving more than half a million people. In reality, however, things are not what they seem to be.

Tung's credibility may have been fatally wounded by the massive demonstration on July 1, 2003, but his demise and the appointment of his successor appear to have been engineered almost entirely by Beijing.

Five years after its return to Chinese sovereignty, Hong Kong faced the gravest threat to its civil liberties in the form of Article 23, a proposed amendment to the Basic Law, the territory's constitution. On September 24, 2002, the government released its proposals for the anti-subversion law. Protests against the bill led to a massive demonstration on July 1, 2003, when more than 500,000 Hong Kongers took to the streets to demand the withdrawal of the article.

In the aftermath, two cabinet ministers resigned and the bill was shelved indefinitely and finally withdrawn.

The last time there was such a huge, disciplined display of "people's power" on Hong Kong Island was when a million or so Hong Kongers took to the streets after June 4, 1989. They were protesting the Beijing Massacre, the crushing of peaceful pro-democracy demonstrations in Tiananmen Square on that date - thereby destroying forever the myth that Hong Kong was inhabited by a politically apathetic citizenry.

Analysts believe that the chaotic early departure of the unpopular 67-year-old chief executive, Tung, is a further blow to Hong Kong's democratic aspirations and reflects a tightening of China's grip on the former British colony.

Beijing-appointed Tung, who has run Hong Kong since it was returned to Chinese sovereignty in 1997, is widely expected to announce his resignation within days, two years before the end of his second five-year term. He will cite ill health, sources say, and will be at least temporarily replaced by deputy leader Donald Tsang, Hong Kong's chief of administration. But the increasing belief in Hong Kong is that Chinese President Hu Jintao pushed Tung out of his job.

China was shaken by the events of July 1, 2003, and has since intervened increasingly in Hong Kong affairs, verbally attacking pro-democracy legislators and then ruling out universal suffrage in the territory until at least 2008. Now Beijing appears to have addressed the leadership issue.

It was no coincidence that news of Tung's resignation was leaked from sources in Beijing, nor was it a coincidence that the speculation was preceded by the announcement that he would be elevated to a position on the Beijing-based Chinese People's Political Consultative Committee - anything but a powerful decision-making body.

"What has happened is the harbinger of tighter control of Hong Kong by Beijing," said a veteran China watcher. "Hu Jintao and [Premier] Wen Jiabao decided the nation and Hong Kong cannot afford to have two more years of Hong Kong policy drift and two more years of inaction and poor decisions. They decided that enough is enough," he said, speaking on condition that he not be identified.

A key factor was the departure of former Chinese president Jiang Zemin, who chose his Shanghai compatriot Tung to run Hong Kong and secured Tung's reappointment for a second five-year term in 2002. When Jiang gave up his last top post with China's military commission in the autumn, President Hu no longer had to consult him over the future of Tung, whom Jiang repeatedly defended in the face of criticism of his bumbling performance and lack of responsiveness to the popular will.

Hu signaled his intentions in the clearest way imaginable when he publicly upbraided Tung in front of his own ministers at a meeting at Macau's fifth handover-anniversary celebrations last year. With television cameras filming every uncomfortable second, Hu barked at the Hong Kong leader: "Identify your inadequacies. Raise the standard of your administration and improve your governance."

At the same meeting, the president singled out Tsang, the man believed to have been chosen by Beijing as Tung's successor, and shook his hand warmly.

Hong Kong pro-democracy stalwart Martin Lee said: "If [Tung] had any sense of dignity he would have resigned then. Maybe he had to be forced to resign - we just don't know."

Democratic Party legislator Dr Yeung Sum said he felt "uncomfortable" with the perception that China's central government appeared to be able to so easily engineer a change of leadership in Hong Kong. Although there was no confirmation of whether Tung jumped or was pushed, Sum said, "There must have been pressure from the central government, and that worries me."

Now the issue of succession lies ahead and there is a growing belief that the Chinese president will usher in Tsang - a bow-tie-wearing former financial secretary under British colonial rule who has waged a clever low-key campaign to win Beijing's support.

Although the demonstrators of July 1, 2003, may have achieved one of their goals in deposing Tung, their main objective has been thwarted. There is no sign of universal suffrage in Hong Kong and the next chief executive will, as before, be chosen by a pro-Beijing 800-member election committee. That committee is expected to make its selection within six months of Tung's formal resignation, and analysts believe their choice may have already been made for them.

Lawmakers in Hong Kong say that Tsang was beaming and shaking hands with everyone as he stopped in on a Legislative Council session on Wednesday afternoon. He behaved "like a king", one unnamed legislator told the South China Morning Post newspaper.

Martin Lee - who described the deposing of Tung as "the end of Hong Kong people running Hong Kong" - was among those who observed him and saw some legislators offering Tsang their congratulations.

"I have never seen him looking so good," he said. "I didn't congratulate him because I never congratulate someone who is not democratically elected."

(Inter Press Service)


Beijing to kick Hong Kong leader upstairs (Mar 3, '05)

Battle to run Hong Kong (Mar 2, '05)

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(Oct 15, '04)

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(May 11, '04)

Invoking Deng on Hong Kong: Dodge controversy
(May 1, '04)

 
 

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