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    Greater China
     Mar 10, 2005
Surge in Shanghai shares

BEIJING - Shares rallied by nearly 2% on Tuesday, driven by news that more insurance companies are buying stocks and concrete moves will be adopted to improve the capital market. The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index moved above the psychologically important 1,300 level, advancing by 1.9% to close at 1,318.217.

A number of domestic insurers, including China Life, the biggest life insurer in China, and China Reinsurance, started buying stocks on Monday through their asset-management subsidiaries. More are expected to follow the trend in the days ahead. So far, nine insurance firms have received approval from the China Insurance Regulatory Commission to trade stocks directly. Huatai Insurance made the maiden stock purchase on February 17, shortly after regulators gave the green light.

The insurance companies did not reveal how much money they would throw at the bourses in the near term, though the official ceiling is 5% of total assets. "The news that insurance funds are entering the stock market was an impetus for Tuesday's spurt, but it was not the only reason," said Fang Zichao, an analyst with China International Trust and Investment Corporation Securities Co. A number of insurance companies are already buying stocks, but their volume will be very limited compared to the overall market capitalization, he added.

It is estimated that at most around 50 billion to 60 billion yuan (US$6 billion to $7 billion) of insurance assets could be used for stock investments. And at the current stage, insurance firms are being careful in their stock picks and investment strategies, so it is unlikely that insurance funds will be plunged into the bourses any time soon, analysts said.

The market recovery reflects improving investment sentiment as investors become more rational and confident due to expected market reforms, said Fang. Blue-chip stocks that have reported solid growth are leading the rally. The annual results of such companies have been impressive too. A spokesman from China Life said these stocks are the company's prime investment target.

Moreover, after giving banks the go-ahead to set up fund management companies and allowing insurers to trade stocks in February, top government officials reiterated the urgency for more reforms in the capital market during the ongoing third plenum of the 10th National People's Congress (NPC). The policy environment is getting warmer, and it seems the authorities will take further concrete steps to upgrade the market fundamentals, said Fang.

Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao's promise to protect the legitimate rights of minority shareholders in his address to the annual NPC session on Saturday has also played a part in the recovery. That promise has been welcomed by the country's investors, who have suffered heavy losses on the stock markets over the past four years.

Rampant market irregularities by listed firms, lack of action from regulators to crack down on irregularities and structural problems have been blamed by experts and investors for the bearish market performance during the past four years. Most minority stock holders, totaling tens of millions, have been bitter about the situation, as they have lost heavily during the period.

Chinese stock markets hit five-year record lows during the past two months, despite the Chinese economy's breathtaking growth, at an average annual rate of 9.5%. Yan, a 48-year-old investor in Beijing, said Wen's unprecedented promise in the annual NPC address sent a clear message to investors that government departments will bear that in mind when dealing with things involving the securities sector. Regulating the market according to law is of vital importance for the recovery of investors' confidence, said Yan.

He said the Chinese stock markets would be less risky for investors if the regulators, the listed firms, securities firms and accountants' offices are all honest and act strictly in accordance with the law. Some Chinese-listed firms, mostly state-owned ones, have been found to fabricate figures to fool investors in their public offerings, and make promises they never intend to honor. Yet few firms were given the severe punishment they deserve.

Zhang Gengxin, another investor, said some managers of listed firms raised millions of dollars from the markets by deliberately using false information. But "their maximum punishment is usually just jail terms of several years or fines worth merely $10,000".

Yu Liang, 68, said people have no confidence in the stock markets as it is too risky to invest in the markets since many listed firms do not respect the legitimate rights of minority stock holders. The Shanghai Composite Index, which covers yuan-denominated A shares and foreign-currency B shares, stood below 1,300 points until recently, after hitting five-year lows from about 2,100 points in 2001.

But most experts believe the lackluster performance of the Chinese stock markets does not stem from irregularities, but is caused by a fundamental structural problem - the split-share structure resulting from a command economy. This refers to the existence of a large volume of non-tradable state and legal personal shares and the fact that only about one-third of the shares in domestically listed companies are floated on the market. Regulators say the government is considering ways to solve the longstanding problem.

(Asia Pulse/XIC)


China moves to cage its rampaging bears (Jan 20, '05)

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China's equity markets: Buyer beware (May 9, '03)

 
 

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