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    Greater China
     Jul 22, 2005
Half-year statistics show strong Chinese growth

BEIJING - China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released the statistics report for the first half of 2005 on July 20. The following were the main economic figures for the first half.

China's GDP (gross domestic product) grew by 9.5% to 6.7422 trillion yuan (US$8,123 billion) in the first half of this year, and the growth rate was 0.2 percentage points lower than a year earlier.

In the first half of this year, regions and departments at all levels aimed to consolidate the achievements brought by macroeconomic cooling measures, said Zheng Jingping, spokesman for the NBS, at a press conference in Beijing on July 20. "As a result, fairly good overall economic performance was recorded in the first half of this year."

Breaking the growth figures down by industry, primary industry reported a value added of 670.7 billion yuan, up 5%; secondary industry, 3,963.5 billion yuan, up 11.2%; and the tertiary industries, 2,108.0 billion yuan, up 7.8%, according to the NBS.

  • The country's consumer price index rose by 2.3% in first half of this year, lower than the 3.6% level for the same period last year.
  • Industrial production grew by 16.4% in the first six months of this year on a year-on-year basis.
  • Fixed assets investment reached 3289.5 billion yuan in the first six months of this year, a year-on-year increase of 25.4%.
  • The disposable income per capita of China's urban residents reached 5,374 yuan in the first half of this year, a year-on-year increase of 9.5%.
  • The per capita cash income of farmers had a real increase of 12.5% to 1,586 yuan for the first half year, up 1.6 and 0.8 percentage points, respectively, from a year earlier.

    Urban unemployment reaches 8.34 million
    By the end of June this year, registered urban unemployment in China reached 8.34 million, and the registered unemployment rate was 4.2%, equal to the level at the end of 2004.

    Statistics provided by the Ministry of Labor and Social Security (MLSS) showed that by the end of June, the number of laid off workers of state-owned enterprises was 1.17 million, 360,000 less than at the end of 2004. Of these, 650,000 had registered with re-employment service centers, and they had all received a full-amount basic living subsidy. In addition, the centers had paid social insurance fees for them.

    At the second-quarter press conference held on July 19, MLSS spokesman Hu Xiaoyi said that by the end of June, 14 provinces had basically transformed the basic living subsidy for laid-off workers into unemployment insurance. For example, Jilin and Heilongjiang provinces, which are improving the social security system on a trial basis, have examined and put 600,000 and 780,000 workers, respectively, under the coverage of the social security system.

    By the end of June, some 104.96 million people nationwide in China had taken unemployment insurance policies; and some 4.03 million persons had received unemployment insurance indeminty, according to Hu. In the first six months of this year, the revenue of unemployment insurance funds in China totaled 14.9 billion yuan, up 15.5% year on year; and the expenditure, 9.1 billion yuan, down 1.1%. A total of 5.37 million persons have received unemployment insurance money to different time limits.

    According to Hu, the ministry has launched a policy effect campaign nationwide, requiring governments at all levels to resolve the unemployment-related problems conscientiously. At the July 19 press conference, Hu said that the work of employment and re-employment progressed smoothly in the first half of this year, when some 5.95 million people found jobs, which is 66% of the annual target set for 2005; 2.58 million laid off workers found chances of reemployment again, 52% of the annual target; and some 660,000 people above 40 and 50 years old were reemployed, 66% of the annual target.

    While maintaining the special living subsidy funds appropriated to laid off workers of state-owned enterprises, the central government will earmark an additional 2.6 billion yuan as a special subsidy fund for re-employment, thus taking the sum of the two funds to 20.9 billion yuan (including discount interests for small amount loans). The MLSS reported seven observations on the urban labor market in China in the second quarter of this year:
  • Market demand for labor and the number of job seekers have all increased in the second quarter as compared with the first quarter of this year and the same period of 2004.
  • Tertiary industry was a major employer during the period, while the demand by secondary industry decreased slightly and that of tertiary industries increased slightly over the first quarter.
  • By sector, wholesale and retail sale trade, catering, manufacturing and social service industries were major employers.
  • Enterprises, especially private and individual enterprises and joint stock enterprises, were major employers.
  • About 55.8% of job seekers were laid-off workers in the period.
  • Highly skilled personnel remained scarce in the labor market.
  • Machine processing personnel, household electric appliances maintenance personnel, tailors and electricians were especially favored by employment units, while the number of people seeking shop employee, cashier and driver positions far exceeded the actual demand of employment units.

    Lastly, it was noted that employment units had employed 4.11 million persons through labor markets in 104 cities in China in the second quarter of this year, out of the 4.33 million persons that had entered labor markets to seek jobs.

    Standard & Poor's upgrades ratings for China, Hong Kong On July 20, China's foreign and local currency debt ratings were raised one level to A- by the Standard & Poor's rating agency, which cited government efforts to overhaul Asia's second-largest economy. "The government's aggressive restructuring of its financial sector combined with improved profitability of the state-owned enterprises'' prompted the upgrade, S&P said. In addition, the agency reported a positive outlook, meaning the rating is more likely to be raised in the future than lowered.

    In the past two years, the government has used its massive foreign exchange reserves to inject $60 billion of fresh capital into key state banks, which have been burdened by nonperforming loans. Hong Kong-based economist Huang Yiping of Citigroup Inc noted: "The rating is appropriate and a recognition of the very significant policy efforts China is making to revamp the financial system ... [Financial reform] is very positive for the sustainability of growth going forward. You need a good financial system.''

    S&P's A- rating is its seventh-highest, putting China's sovereign debt at the same level as Malaysia and South Korea. "This upgrade is way overdue,'' said Tim Condon, head of Asian financial markets research at ING Group NV in Singapore. "It is a recognition that China is a considerably stronger credit than BBB+.''

    Simultaneously with the mainland rating upgrade, Standard & Poor's upgraded Hong Kong's foreign currency sovereign credit ratings to AA-/A-1+ from A+/A-1, which represented an important recognition of Hong Kong's sound economic fundamentals, improved public finance and growth prospects, Hong Kong Financial Secretary Henry Tang said July 20.

    Standard & Poor's said the principal risk to Hong Kong - potential challenges that may arise from increased economic integration with the mainland - had been reduced as a result of China's robust economic performance, sustained structural reform and overall strengthening of credit worthiness. Meanwhile, it remains concerned about Hong Kong's narrow revenue base and indicated the introduction of a goods and services tax or other broad-based tax could potentially lead to a further upgrade in Hong Kong's ratings.

    "The upgrade confirms improved growth prospects and the strong resilience of the Hong Kong economy, as demonstrated by our ability to weather numerous shocks over the past few years," Tang said. On the fiscal front, the government remains committed to consolidating Hong Kong's public finances with continued fiscal discipline. It will also consider measures to broaden the revenue base. "Looking ahead, Hong Kong's role as a major platform for intermediating trade, capital and ideas will be further enhanced with the wealth of opportunities presented by increasing economic integration with the mainland," he added.

    Standard & Poor's also raised its long-term foreign currency ratings on seven of Hong Kong's leading companies and financial institutions to AA- from A+. They are the Kowloon Canton Railway Corporation, the MTR Corporation, the Airport Authority, DBS Bank (Hong Kong), the Hang Seng Bank, the Hong Kong Mortgage Corporation and the Hong Kong & Shanghai Banking Corporation.

    (Asia Pulse/XIC)

  • Lies, damned lies and Chinese statistics (Oct 23, '04)

    Economy gathers steam again: bad news (Sep 21, '04)

    Red lights flashing for China's economy (Feb 14, '04)

    China: hot economy or cooked books? (May 4, '02)


     
     



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