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    Greater China
     Dec 6, 2006
Page 2 of 2
China: Barking up the wrong tree

By Benjamin A Shobert

way into the hands of the Chinese through seemingly innocent market acquisitions.

At their base, each of the 10 key recommendations is crafted around the idea that China is currently not a "responsible stakeholder" (p 1) within international systems of governance. For those who might wonder about the context of this, a more exhaustive quotation from the same section is helpful: "It is the



commission's judgment that, while China's influence is growing as its wealth and power increase, and there remain many reasons to hope that China might in some future day stand as a pillar of the international community, its behavior as yet is far from meeting that standard. Indeed, many of the trends of the past year raise serious doubts whether China is yet willing or prepared to play such a role" (pp 1-2).

Slightly further into the report, the USCC clarifies that responsible nations "abide by the rules - both the letter and the spirit of agreements into which they enter ... [they] participate in international resource markets in ways that do not distort or destabilize those markets or deny other states access to natural resources, especially energy ... [they] contribute to international security, good governance, transparency, and accountability" (p 22). It is impossible to read this part of the report without having the fleeting thought that perhaps these standards are ideals upon which every country fails, and that unrestrained self-interest is at the core of many such failures.

Lest the good portions of the USCC report be overlooked, it should be said that the same section equates being a responsible stakeholder to policies that "advance their own domestic development in ways that support international norms on issues such as political rights, press freedom, religious freedom, government transparency, controlling corruption, and labor rights" (p 22).

While the USCC report seems to acknowledge that the US must accept a strategy of appeasement on basic questions of human rights within China, with an understanding that they must mature to a stage where the country can develop systems to advance and protect these rights, when China's military or economic growth places similar US interests at risk, the same nuance is difficult to find.

Unless the West can find a sense of balance on the question of China, the tone of the USCC report may be a portent of a future where China becomes exactly what everyone fears: a regional military power dedicated to furthering its own expansionist strategy absent any consideration of how such policies impact its neighbors and willing to overcome resistance through the use of force.

It would seem prudent to choose consciously both tone and content with the idea in mind of meeting China's policymakers where they are, emphasizing the positive changes they have already made, and carefully picking those concerns to publicize those we believe represent the key ideological underpinnings to the next stage of China's development.

This would be easier if we could discriminate in assigning blame toward what issues and policies are really reliant on China and which allow the US to hide its own inadequacies and insecurities. In the final section of the report reserved for personal comments from the commissioners, William Reinsch seems to see past much of the USCC's weakness when he writes that "the report once again treats China as an economic and security threat in everything but name, implying a number of apocalyptic outcomes - to our manufacturing base, our economy generally, to Taiwan, to our role in the Pacific - if we don't get busy countering their actions. In doing so, the commission once again demonstrates its gift for making the complex far too simple. Everything bad happening to America is not China's fault, and even if China takes actions the commission favors, such as revaluing its currency, our problems will largely remain" (p 216).

Analysis like the USCC report that focuses predominantly on China's failure is rightly going to be interpreted as hostile; to overlook an appreciation of where China is coming from, and the changes it has already made, runs the risk of making China a scapegoat for America's woes instead of a catalyst for changes Americans must make. Of the many overstatements within this report, this is perhaps the foundational one.

Note
1. Interview With Maura Fogarty of CNBC Asia, US Department of State, November 17.

Benjamin A Shobert is the managing director of Teleos, Inc and an economic and policy analyst covering US-China relations.

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