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    Greater China
     Dec 19, 2006
Page 3 of 5
REVAMPING US FOREIGN POLICY, Part 3

The rising pole of the East
By W Joseph Stroupe

in all spheres of endeavor that increasingly bind themselves to one another in real terms and that is fundamentally centered on, irreversibly focused on, the East, not on the West.

That profoundly meaningful new development, namely the arising of an interwoven and cohesive new East-centric global grouping with truly unmatched economic and energy-based clout, is



fundamentally flowing against and undermining the foundations of the US-backed liberal global oil-market order, reworking the entire geopolitical landscape and unhinging the very underpinnings of US-led unipolarity, and the grouping's jubilant members fully know it.

The question is asked, "Why should anyone believe that the rising powers in the East will truly act cohesively enough to be able to present a real challenge to the US global position?" It must be remembered that the rising poles in the East and their energy-exporting partners around the globe do not exist, and do not act, in a vacuum. They operate in a world still inordinately dominated by the US. It is a US determined to hold on to its position by keeping all challengers down, by force if need be.

The pent-up global tensions arising out of what is seen as 15 years of grossly inequitable US-led unipolarity now need only a spark to ignite a reversion to a full-blown neo-Cold War and the accompanying global polarization into East and West. That polarization will be accompanied also by a further galvanizing of the powers around the globe that oppose US global dominance.

The spark will be the next military campaign undertaken by the United States against one of the members of the so-called "axis of evil" - most likely Iran. The current US administration is facing an imminent Iraq-based collapse of its Middle East aspirations and fortunes, and no one should miscalculate US determination to get a "win", to hold on to its global position and to cut Iran and other rivals down to "proper" size to try to ensure that win. Consequently, US actions themselves will only further strengthen the already considerable cohesion among the members of the multifarious East.

The Iraq invasion of 2003 galvanized the globe's players in opposition to the US. The sparks mentioned above will further consolidate the members of the multifarious East in opposition to US-led unipolarity. Inevitable, impending US actions along militaristic lines are very potent unity multipliers for the array of poles comprising the rising East.

As long as the US exists as a superpower and seeks to retain and acquire (or reacquire) inordinate dominance over the global order, then the cohesiveness of the East will be strengthened and assured. Since the US cannot be made to cease to exist as a military and economic superpower, but only constrained and harnessed tentatively by an East that must stay on its toes constantly, then there is little chance the rising East will either fail to achieve the cohesiveness forecast here or suffer a loss of that cohesiveness once it is fully attained.

Its common foe, the US itself, isn't disappearing from the global scene any time soon, and once the US is shifted out of its global position it will unceasingly try to reacquire that position, obliging ongoing vigilance and unity in the East.

The potency of the rising East
It must be emphasized that the intent of the rising East is not to destroy or to collapse the US or its economy. Instead, it is to shift the US out of its position of global dominance and to take the reins of the US economy, like a cherished bull, and to impress it into service to the interests of the rising East.

This concept should not seem too hypothetical or be too foreign to the mind of the reader, for the adroit task described here is already being accomplished. The US economy and those of the wider West are already being tasked by foreigners to support an ongoing and massive transfer of wealth to the rising East.

Where does one consider that the enormous foreign-exchange reserves and the huge trade surpluses of the so-called emerging economies in the East came from? How did the global economic landscape completely reverse from that of independent economic strength and wealth in the West to that of a West largely absent its former independent economic strength and steeped in red ink, and mounting economic might and ascendant wealth in the East? The economies of the West, and in particular the US, are already being massively harnessed to serve the interests of the rising East.

Thus, contrary to the conventional-wisdom-based argument that says the US economy is too big and too powerful to be threatened by the rising East, the US economy is already being "harmed" and "threatened" in a very real sense; it is being yoked by foreigners in the East to serve the purposes of the East.

Even a powerful ship of immense size and strength is entirely controlled by only a few individuals at the helm and by its comparatively tiny rudder. Who is genuinely at the helm of a US economy excessively dependent on foreign cash inflows and financing from the East, massively dependent on foreign sources of oil from exporters tightly aligned with the East, a US economy sinking in red ink that has already forfeited an excessive degree of its former independent might and has thereby sacrificed its former autonomy?

The stark facts reveal that US government officials at the Federal Reserve and in the White House have largely been playing with a toy plastic steering wheel, as it were, while the genuine helm is largely manned by others in the East. The repeated complaints

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