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    Greater China
     Feb 21, 2007
Page 2 of 2
SUN WUKONG

The emerging Hu-Wen-Zeng troika
By Wu Zhong, China Editor

Department, which handles the appointment and promotion of senior party and government officials, is directly under Zeng's supervision.

Given this portfolio, it is logical for Zeng to be assigned to head the preparatory group on personnel affairs. Nevertheless, it still shows that Zeng, who used to be regarded as a protege of Jiang and a key member of the so-called Shanghai clique, has won the



trust and become an ally of Hu.

The reshuffle of personnel in the upcoming party meeting is so important to Hu that it would simply be unthinkable to have a rival in charge. Hu needs loyal cadres to implement his line. Or, as Mao put it: "Once the party line is established, cadres become the key factor" for implementation of the line.

Zeng's group has first to supervise the selection of 2,200 deputies from the 38 constituencies representing 72 million Communist Party members across the country. They include the 31 mainland provinces, the party's central units, the central government units, the People's Liberation Army, the paramilitary People's Armed Police, the state-owned enterprises, financial institutions under the central government, and the All-China Federation of Taiwan Compatriots (supposedly representing Taiwan).

According to the rules, 70% of the 2,200 deputies will be party and government officials. The 200-odd full members and 150-odd alternative members of the party's new Central Committee will be elected from among these 2,200 deputies during the congress. So another important task for Zeng's group is to work out a list of candidates for the new Central Committee.

Normally, all party chiefs and governors of the 31 mainland provinces are on the Central Committee. Thus all provinces are required to hold their local party congresses to pick new provincial party committees and party chiefs. This is to ensure that new blood will be injected into the new Central Committee. So far, 15 or so provinces, mostly in central and western China, have already convened their regional congresses. But economically important regions on the east coast such as Beijing, Shanghai, Tianjin and Guangdong have yet to hold their provincial-level congresses.

Analysts say Zeng will not be able to work out the list of candidates for the new Central Committee before the end of June when official reshuffles in all provinces are to be completed.

For this new round, Hu has instructed that strenuous efforts must be made to prevent the promotion of "ill" officials. In Chinese, the word "ill'' in the context of his speech has a double meaning. It refers not only to physical sickness but also to evil deeds such as corruption.

There are reasons for Hu to be concerned with the state of heath of those to be promoted. In the past, a couple of Politburo members died soon after they were elevated to the power center. The current example is Huang Ju, who is very ill, reportedly suffering from cancer of the pancreas since early last year. Hu's instruction signals that Huang definitely will have to say goodbye to his political career this autumn.

But Hu is surely more worried that corrupt officials might be promoted. In the past quite a number of corrupt officials were promoted to higher positions. Disgraced Shanghai party chief Chen Liangyu scorned the Central Commission for Disciplinary Inspection's warning that his secretary Qin Yu was suspected of involvement in a corruption scam, but insisted on promoting Qin to head a district in the city. Eventually, the CCDI's investigations of Qin led to the exposure of Chen himself. This has become a well-known example of "ill-promotion" among Chinese officials.

Sources say that an important condition in the selection of deputies to the party congress and of candidates for the new Central Committee is that they must be free of any suspicion of corruption. In this regard, the CCDI and regional party anti-graft watchdogs may play a role in the selections.

However, given the runaway protectionism at regional levels and nepotism in today's China, it will indeed be a backbreaking, if not impossible, mission for Zeng's group to be sure that all party cadres promoted ahead and during the party's 17th National Congress are clean.

(Copyright 2007 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us about sales, syndication and republishing.)

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