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    Greater China
     Apr 4, 2007
Page 2 of 2
SUN WUKONG
Grooming China's future leaders
By Wu Zhong, China Editor

in charge of the organization and personnel affairs for the 17th Party Congress. It would be hard to believe that he got the job without Hu's consent.

Some say Xi was chosen because he has been known for always toeing the power center's line. For instance, when the central government launched its macroeconomic-control policy two years ago, Chen Liangyu took a defiant attitude. But Xi, as Zhenjiang



party chief, warned his subordinates, "To comply with the macro-control policy in appearance but oppose it in heart is an unhealthy trend and evil practice."

In any case, the new appointment ensures that Xi becomes a member of the new Politburo in the 17th Party Congress, filling the vacancy left by the disgraced Chen. But as the newly appointed Shanghai party secretary, Xi is unlikely to be promoted to the Politburo Standing Committee in the autumn, because membership is a full-time post based in Beijing that normally cannot be concurrently taken by a regional party chief. However, given his youth, Xi is likely to move further up in the party hierarchy in the 18th Party Congress in 2012.

Zhang Gaoli, 61, was appointed party secretary of Tianjin, replacing Zhang Lichang. As such, Zhang Gaoli is likely to replace Zhang Lichang as a Politburo member in the 17th Party Congress. However, because of his age, this will perhaps be the zenith of his political career.

Zhang Lichang, 68, was removed to take another post in Beijing. Before his new appointment, Zhang Gaoli was party secretary of Shandong province. Before he was promoted to the Shandong post in 2001, Zhang Gaoli worked in Shenzhen as mayor and party chief for four years and was reputed as a clean, open-minded and pragmatic leader.

It is well known that Zhang Lichang could never get along with Tianjin Mayor Dai Xianglong, the former governor of the People's Bank of China, which somehow held back the city's development. The power center eyes development of Tianjin's Bohai New Area as a new pivot, like Shenzhen in the 1980s and Shanghai's Pudong in the 1990s, to lead the country's economic development. It is obvious that Beijing hopes with his experience in Shenzhen, Zhang Gaoli could cooperate with Dai to accomplish the task.

Li Jianguo, 61, was appointed party secretary of Shandong province, replacing Zhang Gaoli. Given his age, Li Jianguo will likely retire after he finishes his term in Shandong.

Li, a Shandong native, started his political career in Tianjin, where he had worked for more than two decades, with his last post as Tianjin's deputy party secretary, until 1997, when he was removed to become party chief of Shaanxi province. As such, he is regarded as a protege of Li Ruihuan, who retired as the fourth-ranked party leader in late 2002. Tianjin was Li Ruihuan's power base, where he worked as mayor and party chief in 1980s.

Zhao Hongzhu, 60, was named party secretary of Zhejiang province. He too, given his age, may have to retire after completing the five-year term in this office. In this reshuffle, Zhao is the only official working at the CCP power center to be appointed to head a province.

Zhao started his political career as a People's Liberation Army officer, and then he worked at various local party posts in Inner Mongolia. In 1997 he was promoted as deputy secretary general of the Central Commission for Disciplinary Inspection, the party's top anti-graft watchdog. In 2000 he was appointed a deputy head of the party's Central Organization Department, where he had stayed until this new appointment.

Zeng Qinghong was the head of the Central Organization Department from 1999 to 2002. And even after 2002, one of Zeng's portfolios as a member of the Politburo Standing Committee was to oversee the Central Organization Department. Because of this, Zhao is also said to be a protege of Zeng.

Zhejiang and Shandong are two of the most economically important provinces in China. Hence Li Jianguo and Zhao Hongzhu will be often in the limelight in the next years.

Zhao Leji, 50, was appointed party secretary of Shaanxi province. He started his political career in Qinghai province. In 2000, he was named to head Qinghai province, becoming the youngest provincial governor in China. Five years later, he became Qinghai party secretary, again the youngest provincial party chief in the country. Youth is Zhao Leji's greatest advantage. If nothing goes wrong, he could be one of the future leaders of China.

Qiang Wei, 54, replaced Zho Leji as party secretary of Qinghai. After brief service in the military, Qiang began to work in a chemical factory in Beijing. In 1984 he became party secretary of the factory and started his political career. From 1987-90 he was the secretary of the CYL's Beijing municipal committee. In this sense, Qiang Wei could be said to come from the CYL faction, though he might not be so close to Hu Jintao, who was the secretary of the CYL's central committee from 1982-85. Before his new appointment, Qiang was deputy party chief of Beijing overseeing law enforcement.

Qinghai is a an economic backwater. However, it is a known practice of the CCP to send promising cadres to remote regions to demonstrate their capabilities in working through hardships and difficulties. Both Hu Jintao and Premier Wen Jiabao started their careers in Gansu, another poor province in northwestern China. Hu himself was even once sent to work in Guizhou province and Tibet. Therefore, given his age, Qiang could also have a bright future.

At present, as provincial party chiefs, Li Jianguo, Zhao Hongzhu, Zhao Leji and Qing Wei will surely be elected as members of the new Central Committee in the 17th Party Congress, though they are unlikely to become Politburo members like Xi Jinping and Zhang Gaoli.

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