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    Greater China
     Aug 8, 2007
Page 2 of 3
Beijing dips its toes in troubled waters
By Pallavi Aiyar

people of Harbin were initially told that their water supply was cut off for maintenance works, and the real reason was only made public almost 10 days after the blast occurred. It was six days before Jilin officials even informed their counterparts in Heilongjiang about the spillage, ostensibly to "avoid spreading panic".

"The biggest challenge those fighting pollution face is really this



lack of transparency and accountability in China," said Ma. The efforts of IPEA to "name and shame" polluters by listing them on the Internet is part of the wider fight to create greater transparency and public participation, he said.

Redressing pollution purely from the top down through administrative measures, Ma argues, will be doomed in the absence of a more active civil society. The danger for China, he says, is that if the emergence of organized civil society in the form of more open media and independent NGOs is thwarted, people will be left with little choice but to voice their protests by violent means and riots.

Several of the 87,000 "mass incidents" that took place across the country in 2005 were village-level protests against polluted water and the corruption that was perceived to be at its root. Thus in April of that year 10,000 rioters in Huaxi village in Zhejiang province attacked police after accusing officials of allowing a chemical factory to pollute the river and groundwater, allegedly resulting in stillborn babies and birth defects. A few months later in Xichang village close to Shanghai, a 15,000-villager-strong demonstration against toxic-waste discharges from a pharmaceutical plant believed to have polluted irrigation water and stunted local crops turned into a pitched battle with the police.

Pollution is widely believed to be linked to the increase in different kinds of cancers in China in recent decades. Liver-cancer deaths, which are particularly associated with water pollution, have doubled since the 1990s. A recent survey released by the Ministry of Health showed cancer to be China's top killer, accounting for 23% of deaths in rural areas and 19% in cities.

Reports on "cancer villages" in the media have also become a frequent occurrence. One such village is Liukuai Zhuang near Tianjin city, an hour or so east of Beijing. According to a People's Daily report, water pollution in Liukuai Zhuang drove up the cancer rates in the village to 25 times the national average in 2004.

The village is in an area where dozens of chemical factories have set up shop since the 1980s, bringing jobs and prosperity in their wake. Tianjin municipality is one of the wealthiest in the region. However, uncontrolled discharges from the same factories also led to severe pollution of water sources, ultimately causing long-term damage to residents' health.

Water pollution and the corruption that allows it have thus emerged as some of the most politically sensitive issues in contemporary China with the power to threaten the ruling party's legitimacy by threatening the social stability so crucial to the Chinese Communist Party's continuing rule.

But addressing water pollution is not merely a matter of targeting industrial polluters. According to Andres Liebenthal, head of the World Bank's environment and social division in Beijing, industrial pollution only accounts for one-third of total water pollution in China. Another third is the result of municipal waste, with the final third consisting of the runoff from fields contaminated by pesticide and fertilizer.

The country pays a heavy economic price for water pollution. Liebenthal puts its cumulative health and economic cost at some 2.3% of China's GDP per annum, a figure roughly equal to the entire yearly education budget of the government.

The loss to the economy from depletion of groundwater, for example, is estimated at 50 billion yuan (US$6.5 billion), the costs to industry of using polluted water another 50 billion yuan. The economic cost of the health impact of pollution, including diarrhea and cancers, is placed at 0.5% of GDP.

The economic impact of the water scarcity that pollution contributes to will only increase as China's economy continues to industrialize and urbanization steps up, with tens of millions of peasants from the countryside expected to move to cities in the coming years.

Already, Ma points out, 400 out of 650 large cities in China suffer from water scarcity, more than 100 to a critical level. Liebenthal adds that of a total of 55 million hectares of arable land in China, 7 million cannot be irrigated at all because of the water shortages. Another 20 million hectares suffer from water deficiency.

China's water shortage caused in part by pollution is aggravated by climate change. According to Li Yan, a campaigner with the NGO Greenpeace's China office, glaciers in the Qinghai-Tibetan plateau, the source region for many of the country's waterways, including the Yangtze and Yellow rivers, are retreating at frightening speeds. She says the latest report by the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change warns that if global warming continues at current levels, 80% of all Himalayan glaciers could disappear by 2035.

Liu of URCWP says that while climate change leads to greater precipitation in some areas, it conversely leads to water shortages in others. As an example he points to the fact that rainfall in Beijing has continuously been 20-30% lower than average since 1998.

The northern part of China, always water-deficient, has begun to suffer from severe drought, he says. In the 1980s, the north accounted for 19% of China's total water resources. This proportion has now dropped to 16%, a change Liu attributes to climate change.

The third factor contributing to China's water crisis is inefficient use of water. Aside from pollution and global warming, the fact that water is heavily subsidized in China means that neither farmers nor ordinary consumers have any incentive to save water

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