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    Greater China
     Feb 22, 2008
Page 2 of 2
Buffer benefits in Spratly initiative
By Cheng-yi Lin

claimants bypassed the Taiwan government in Taipei for negotiations, Beijing may be willing to talk and respond to the questions from Vietnam and the Philippines over the implications of this airstrip for the tripartite Agreement for Joint Marine Seismic Undertaking in 2005.

Vietnam has so far issued the sternest response to the airstrip on Taiping Island, which Hanoi also considers a part of its territories. After a successful C-130 military transport aircraft test run to the island by Taiwan on January 24, Vietnam Foreign Ministry spokesman Le Dzung publicly urged Taiwan "to immediately stop this activity and not to commit similar violations in this area". On February 2, Le Dzung said Vietnam further "denounces the visit of



Taiwanese leader Chen Shui-bian to Ba Binh Island, Truong Sa archipelago".

Hanoi believed it was "an extremely serious act of escalation, violating Vietnam’s territorial sovereignty over the Truong Sa archipelago, causing tension and more complication to the region. Taiwan is fully responsible for all consequences caused by their move".

The Philippines regards the Taiwanese airstrip on Taiping (Ligao) Island as a diplomatic and political issue rather than a military matter. Secretary of Foreign Affairs Alberto Romulo formally issued a statement expressing "serious concern over this reported development that works against the joint efforts by claimant countries in the South China Sea to achieve peace and stability in the region in accordance with the Declaration on the Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea".

Secretary Romulo also stated that it is "unfortunate that Taiwan is resorting to what may be considered as irresponsible political posturing that could be of no possible advantage to the peace-loving Taiwanese people".

Taiwan and the Philippines have provided mutual assistance over emergency needs in the occupied islands. For instance, through the arrangement of the Red Cross Association and rescue coordination, Philippine aircraft once flew over Taiping Island to airdrop medical aid for Taiwanese Coast Guard personnel. In November 2007, the Philippine government asked Taipei for help in searching for a S211 military trainer missing in operations 50 nautical miles to the north of the Taiping Island.

The missing link
Even in the absence of any official treaty for formal cooperation with other claimants to the Spratly Islands, Taiwan has long exercised self-restraint in the disputed areas, and Taipei would like to become a participant and signatory to the Code of Conduct in the South China Sea. Taiwan supports the idea of temporarily shelving the sovereignty dispute in order to explore ways of jointly developing, managing and policing the South China Sea.

In 1995, then-President Lee Teng-hui proposed that a multinational South China Sea Development Company with funds of US$10 billion be established, with the profits from its activities used for infrastructure development in ASEAN countries. While other claimants focused their attention on the airstrip, they failed to comment on the so-called Spratly Initiative just announced by President Chen on Taiping Island, through which Taiwan can contribute to peace in the Spratly Islands.

Among the four points underscored by Chen's Spratly Initiative, he first committed that Taiwan is willing to accept in principle the Declaration on the Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea, and he advocated peaceful means of resolving territorial and jurisdictional disputes.

Second, Chen suggested that the countries concerned agree to recognize the region as an ecological protection area where the depletion of resources would be forbidden.

Third, Chen proposed a plan to have international ecologists and environmentalists conduct research on a regular basis around the area of Tungsha Island, Taiping Island, and Zhongzhou Reef (Ban Than Reef), which is located between the Taiping Island and Vietnamese-occupied Dungian Shazhou (Sand Cay).

Fourth, Chen encouraged the establishment of a non-governmental South China Sea research center to serve as a second-track diplomatic channel to alleviate tension in the South China Sea.

On February 10, Chen elaborated on his idea of creating a maritime ecological preservation area in the South China Sea based on the Micronesia Challenge, which was initiated by Taiwan's diplomatic ally Palau in the South Pacific to "effectively conserve at least 30% of the near-shore marine and 20% of the terrestrial resources across Micronesia by the year 2020" [4].

Chen’s Spratly Initiative may turn out to be too difficult to be implemented since Taiwan has no official diplomatic ties with any of the other claimants. The PRC, however, may find it of interest to coordinate with Taiwan over joint cooperative projects in the South China Sea, though it will be on a second-track basis rather than any efforts to bring Taiwan into the fold of a multilateral cooperative program.

Taiwan is less concerned about the possibility of China or other ASEAN claimants employing force against the Taiping Island. Beijing could hardly justify taking military actions against the Taiping Island when other claimants are occupying Chinese claimed territories. Vietnam is wary of provoking Taiwan's garrison lest they might invite a military response from Beijing. Taipei knows that it is difficult to effectively defend Taiping Island and an airstrip would demonstrate its efforts to close the security gap. With the construction of the airstrip on Taiping, Taipei might reconsider its insufficient attention paid to the South China Sea.

A crisis in the Taiwan Strait could easily trigger a domino effect and escalate tensions in the South China Sea. For instance, in potential scenarios of military confrontations drawn out in Taiwan's defense circles there is a worry that the PRC could launch a long-distance blockade of the sea-lanes of communications southwest of Taiwan.

If, as some fear, Taiwan is absorbed by Beijing, the Chinese would then occupy the two largest islands in the South China Sea. If that is the case, it might be too late for Taiwan's neighbors in the region to realize that Taiwan or its military presence in the South China Sea can, in fact, be a buffer between them and mainland China's military.

Notes
1. Yann-huei Song, "The Overall Situation in the South China Sea in the New Millennium: Before and After the September 11 Terrorist Attacks," Ocean Development and International Law, No. 34 (2003), p. 241. 2. 2002 National Defense Report, Republic of China (Taipei: Ministry of Defense, 2002), p.20; 2004 National Defense Report, Republic of China (Taipei: Ministry of Defense, 2004), p.10. 3. Ibid., p. 93. 4. "Micronesia Challenge", cited in http://www.palau.biodiv-chm. org/ index.php? menuid=3600?=en&cl=blue&q=.

Cheng-yi Lin, Ph.D., is the former Chairman of the Institute for Taiwan Defense and Strategic Studies and currently a Research Fellow in the Institute of European and American Studies at Academia Sinica.

(This article first appeared in The Jamestown Foundation. Used with permission.)

(Copyright 2007 The Jamestown Foundation.)

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