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    Greater China
     May 8, 2008
Beijing treads a Tibetan tightrope
By Fong Tak-ho

HONG KONG - Some 50 days after the March 14 violent protests in Lhasa, capital of the Tibet Autonomous Region, Beijing officials finally managed to sit down face-to-face with envoys of the Dalai Lama, the exiled Tibetan spiritual leader, on Sunday, May 4.

China's state-run Xinhua News Agency described the occasion as "contact and consultation", refraining from using the words "dialogue" or "talk". This deliberate nomenclature is one sign showing how careful and cautious the relatively more open-minded decision-makers in Beijing are in avoiding provocation of the conservative hardliners who are not happy to see any conciliation with the Dalai Lama and who will take every possible opportunity


 

to jeopardize any such effort, say analysts.

During Sunday's "contact" in Shenzhen, Zhu Weiqun and Sitar (who uses one name), both deputy directors of the United Front Work Department under the Communist Party's Central Committee, exchanged views with the Dalai Lama's two private representatives, Lodi Gyari and Kelsang Gyaltsen.

The atmosphere of the closed-door meeting in the southern Chinese city was reportedly "going very well". The exchange of views was said to be longer than originally scheduled.

Both sides have agreed to continue discussions in the near future without a date being fixed. This is small progress, though it may disappoint those who want peace soon. According to Xinhua, Chinese negotiators urged the Dalai Lama not to "disrupt and sabotage" the upcoming Beijing Summer Olympic Games, and warned that future contact and dialogue will not be held unless the Dalai Lama stops advocating Tibetan independence.

The Dalai Lama has repeatedly defended that he is not seeking the independence of Tibet, and denied any role in the recent unrest. In response to the Dalai Lama's remarks, Chinese President Hu Jintao told Japanese media on May 4 that "we have to listen to his words and watch his deeds".

Despite all the misgivings, the May 4 meeting was the first face-to-face contact between Chinese officials and the Dalai's representatives after the bloody March 14 riots in Tibet, in which at least 22 people were killed. Tibetans in exile accused the Chinese government of suppressing their people, but the Chinese authorities insisted it was ethnic Han and Chinese police who were attacked by Tibetans.

China's alleged brutality has drawn widespread criticism from the West. Exiled Tibetans and rights activists have called for a boycott of the opening ceremony of the Beijing Olympics scheduled to take place on August 8. A European parliament resolution on April 10 called for the resumption of dialogue between Chinese authorities and the Dalai Lama, or else the group would also endorse the idea of a boycott of the opening ceremony.

China's leaders, who have long hoped to hold a successful Olympics, are now caught in a dilemma. On the one hand, they have to deal with pressure from the West. On the other, there are hawks in Beijing who construe mending fences with the Dalai Lama as "an indication of flaccidity".

As one of the rumors goes, moderate Beijing leaders are now treading a "dangerous" tightrope by holding contact with the Dalai Lama. The rumor has it that the hawks consider it wrong to offer an olive branch to the religious leader, whom they have branded as "a wolf in monk's robes, a devil with a human face but the heart of a beast".

That such opinions exist seems to be confirmed by the continuous verbal bombardment on the Dalai Lama by major official publications before the May 4 meeting. The party's flagship newspaper, the People's Daily, and the national English-language newspaper, China Daily, ran commentaries blaming the Dalai Lama for orchestrating the March 14 riots in Lhasa.

The appearance of these official editorials triggered various explanations. One of the theories is that the moderate Chinese leaders are trying to calm down the hawks within their ranks and assure them that they are not backing down from their bottom line.

Some other observers have claimed the sensitive timing of these articles reflects efforts by some influential individuals in Beijing to tease the moderate leaders in a discreet manner. It is alleged that the camp against conciliation with the Dalai Lama choose to satirize the incumbent leadership by attacking the people with whom they are holding talks, since it is a protocol in Beijing that official newspapers cannot overtly criticize top leaders. For the Chinese hawks, the trick of disguising themselves as "patriots" always works, even though sometimes this trump card is at the expense of China's soft power.

Beijing has held six rounds of negotiations with the Dalai Lama since September 2002, during which the Chinese government has kept a tight lid on details. But on May 4, when the latest contact was made, Xinhua unusually identified participants of the Sunday meeting within hours. Wen Wei Po, a pro-Beijing newspaper in Hong Kong, published details of the previous six rounds of talks. Global Times, a sister publication by the People's Daily, also ran pictures of these dialogues on its website.

Analysts say the unusual disclosure of its talks with the Dalai Lama suggests the Beijing leadership's eagerness to impress the international community that they take the Tibetan issue seriously, obviously because of the impending Olympics. Still, some think that a successful Olympics is essential for the incumbent Chinese leadership, because it is the only way to mute internal opposition against negotiations with the Dalai Lama.

It is noteworthy that during the meeting, Chinese negotiators have hinted at the difficulties negotiators faced internally. According to Xinhua's news release, Zhu and Sitar pointed out that "the riots in Lhasa on March 14 had given rise to new obstacles for further contacts and consultations with the Dalai side. However, the [Chinese] central government still arranged this meeting with great patience and sincerity". Lodi Gyari and Kelsang Gyaltsen are both being labeled by radical exiled Tibetans as "traitors".

Pundits point out that how Western leaders perceive the just-ended meeting will, to some extent, shape the political landscape in China. Should the West recognize the dialogue as genuine on both sides and handle the Olympics issue with goodwill, the policy of moderate Chinese leaders will likely survive and dominate. On the contrary, in the event Western politicians snub the talks as window dressing propaganda, hardliners in Beijing will prevail, muting the voices urging more reform and flexibility on Tibetan issues.

Fong Tak-ho is managing editor of the Chinese edition of Asia Times Online.

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