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    Greater China
     Sep 5, 2009
Dalai Lama visit tests Taiwan-China ties
By Cindy Sui

KAOHSIUNG, Taiwan - Standing in the Kaohsiung Arena as the Dalai Lama, the Tibetan spiritual leader in exile, led about 20,000 people in Buddhist prayers and chanting, it is hard to think of politics. Many of the Taiwanese Buddhists and Typhoon Morakot victims present held their hands together, closing their eyes as they prayed and chanted with the Dalai Lama or looked up to him for spiritual consolation and guidance. Others took notes or clasped Buddhist prayer beads in their hands as they listened intently to the Tibetan "Living Buddha".

Beijing strongly opposed the Dalai Lama's visit to Taiwan this week, slamming it as politically motivated. The mainland government has long insisted that the exiled Tibetan leader is a dangerous separatist who is bent on seeking Tibet independence, even though the Dalai Lama has repeatedly said he simply wants

 
genuine autonomy for Tibet and Tibetan people.

Officials from Taiwan's opposition Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), including the mayors and magistrates who are DPP members in southern Taiwanese cities and counties, said they invited the Dalai Lama to come to offer comfort for victims of Typhoon Morakot, which struck Taiwan last month, causing widespread destruction in the south and killing more than 600 people, with nearly 100 others still missing.

The Dalai Lama has insisted that there is no political agenda in his visit.

The Dalai Lama fled Tibet for India following a failed uprising against communist rule in 1959 and has been living in exile since. Any time he leaves the seat of the Tibetan government-in-exile in Dharamsala, India, and goes on an overseas trip, the Chinese government protests. This time, he came to a territory Beijing claims to be its own, making matters worse in China's eyes.

Taiwanese President Ma Ying-jeou took a gamble by approving the Dalai Lama's visit, risking the wrath of Beijing. He was also facing intense pressure from the Taiwanese public over his administration's inefficient response to the typhoon, the worst Taiwan has suffered in 50 years.

China warned that the visit could hurt its relations with Taiwan, which have improved dramatically in the past year, with direct chartered flights launched, increased tourism and plans to negotiate a free-trade agreement.

But China's response has been measured. While blaming the DPP for trying to stir up trouble and trying to derail recent progress in cross-Taiwan Strait relations by inviting the Dalai Lama to come to the island, Beijing has refrained from criticizing Ma and his ruling Kuomintang (KMT) party.

Analysts said China was careful not to play into the hands of the DPP and not to jeopardize hard-earned progress made in cross-strait relations since Ma came to power in May 2008.

"Beijing doesn't have much room to maneuver. It's hard for them to accept Ma Ying-jeou allowing the Dalai Lama to come here, but [Beijing] won't hurt relations with Ma's government because of this," said Sun Yang-ming, vice president of the Cross-Strait Interflow Prospect Foundation in Taiwan's capital, Taipei.

"Beijing doesn't have an alternative. Now the best situation for [Chinese President] Hu Jintao is that Ma Ying-jeou continues to rule. If relations with Ma are bad, it could be very unbeneficial to Hu. The only other option would be the DPP. Besides, they know Ma didn't actively pursue the Dalai Lama's visit."

Nonetheless, Beijing still had to show its anger; otherwise more visits by the Dalai Lama could occur. The mainland plans to boycott the opening ceremony this Saturday of the 2009 Summer Deaflympics, one of the largest sports events to be held in Taiwan.

The mainland has also canceled or postponed several visits to Taiwan, including that of a mainland banking delegation led by the vice governor of China's central bank, Su Ning. The group was originally scheduled to arrive on Monday to attend a seminar sponsored by the Taipei Foundation of Finance.

China also scrapped ceremonies to celebrate the expansion of cross-strait regular direct flights.

Eager to preserve good relations, Ma sent a representative to Beijing to explain his decision to allow the Dalai Lama to visit.

Interestingly though, China has not cancelled more important deals, such as the expansion of direct flights. The number of flights has more than doubled from 108 to 270, and been categorized as scheduled flights - in what is seen as a significant though symbolic move. In the past, these flights were arranged as chartered flights. Making them scheduled signals that the transportation arrangement between the two sides has become permanent.

Compared with China's response when the Dalai Lama visited France last year, Beijing's reaction this time can be considered mild. When French President Nicolas Sarkozy met with the Dalai Lama last year, China retaliated by canceling a summit with the European Union.

Careful not to anger Beijing, Ma this week avoided the Dalai Lama and no ruling KMT officials were seen publicly meeting with him.

The Dalai Lama, who was under pressure to refrain from discussing politics during his visit, canceled a press conference as well as a public speech near Taipei, and changed the venue for a public speech in Kaohsiung City to a much smaller one.

Ma's spokesman has denied his itinerary changes were made due to pressure from the government.

The Dalai Lama visited Taiwan in 1997 under then-president Lee Teng-hui's rule, and in 2001 when former president Chen Shui-bian was in office. Both Lee and Chen met him during his visits.

The visit this week shows the sensitive nature of Taiwan-China relations and the deep divisions within Taiwanese society about how close a relationship Taiwan should have with China.

Supporters of the visit believed Ma had absolutely no need to oppose it and should not kow-tow to China. If he had turned down the visit, it would have been seen as further evidence that this administration and the ruling KMT were in bed with the mainland government and did not have Taiwan's best interests in their minds. This would have justified fears the DPP has spread that Taiwan's sovereignty will eventually be eroded under the KMT's policy toward Beijing.

"Ma Ying-jeou had no choice," said Andrew Yang, secretary general of the Taipei-based Council of Advanced Policy Studies. "He has to take the political risks to grant the Dalai Lama's visit to Taiwan because he has to take into account domestic politics and political pressures and he is also facing the December [local] elections" - when Taiwanese voters will elect mayors and magistrates for cities and counties.

It was a high-stakes balancing act for Ma, and the biggest test of newly improved cross-strait ties since he took office, analysts said. Any wrong move during the visit, such as if Ma had met with the Dalai Lama, would have eroded mainland leaders' trust in Ma and their confidence that he is a person with whom they can negotiate.

Although the Dalai Lama was careful not to cause problems for the Ma administration and Taiwan by keeping his visit relatively low profile, he enjoyed a huge turnout at the public prayer meeting in the Kaohsiung Arena. Other than a handful of small, isolated protests by pro-China groups, supporters who turned out to greet him far outnumbered critics.

Almost everywhere he went, supporters gathered, hoping to get a glimpse of him, especially in Taipei, where some kneeled on the high-speed railway platform, putting their hands together in front of the train he was in while others held flowers.

The reception he received, not from the Taiwanese government, but from Taiwanese people, drowned out Beijing's strong criticisms of the visit.

Wang Min-liang, 29, who lost 14 members of his family in a mudslide that killed nearly 500 people in Siaolin, the village worst affected by the typhoon, said meeting the Dalai Lama at the village brought him comfort.

"My parents were killed in there, and so was my grandfather. I've been feeling really distraught lately and haven't been able to go to work. When I found out the Dalai Lama was coming here, I came here. I wanted the Dalai Lama to pray for the people in our village. And I wanted to seek blessings from him," said Wang.

The Dalai Lama spoke directly to Wang and a few other villagers.

"He told me life is actually very impermanent. He said he himself has been through a lot of difficulties. He told me to be brave and to look to the future. He encouraged me," Wang said.

Protesters shouted they did not want "Dalai Lama politics" and the "making use of typhoon victims". Some held up signs outside the Kaohsiung hotel where the Dalai Lama was staying, which read, "Taiwan, Tibet are inseparable parts of China."

Protesters said the timing of the visit was not right and they feared it could hurt Taiwan's relations with China.

"He should not have come at this time when we are witnessing a very politically sensitive period. I believe the Dalai Lama, being so wise, should've known that," said a protester who identified himself only by his surname Lo and who said he had traveled from the northern Taiwanese city of Hsinchu to protest in Kaohsiung. "His visit disrupts the trend of peace we've seen across the Taiwan Strait. Of course it will have an impact on relations with China," he added.

The Dalai Lama's supporters standing outside the hotel shouted at the protesters: "You Chinese, Go home!" while the protesters shouted back: "[You] Taiwanese separatists!"

Dozens of police outnumbered the typically one to two dozen protesters outside the hotel to prevent clashes between supporters and opponents of the visit.

The Dalai Lama left Taiwan on Friday, ending the week-long trip. Ma can now breathe a sigh of relief. He has earned some points for daring to grant the Dalai Lama an entry visa, against Beijing's objections, but has been criticized somewhat for not meeting with him.

But this incident is a further indication that Ma - with the DPP, Beijing and Taiwanese public closely monitoring his moves - will continue to have to strike a balance between building stronger economic ties with China and easing fears that Taiwan is losing its sovereignty under his rule.

Cindy Sui is a freelance journalist based in Taipei.

(Copyright 2009 Asia Times Online (Holdings) Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us about sales, syndication and republishing.)


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