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    Greater China
     Jul 13, 2012


SPEAKING FREELY
Xi Jinping - the world's most powerful man?
By Lewis McCarthy

Speaking Freely is an Asia Times Online feature that allows guest writers to have their say. Please click here if you are interested in contributing.

When faced with the question "who is the most powerful man in the world?" many would be quick to suggest Barack Obama, after all, he is the president of the world's most powerful country and its largest economy. The banking community might suggest someone entirely unfamiliar to the vast majority of us, Lloyd Blankfein, chairman and CEO of Goldman Sachs - a man who perhaps still qualifies as a "master of the universe" and who exerts great influence over banks, businesses and world finance.

Perhaps some would suggest Mark Zuckerburg, the creator of Facebook, since he probably knows more about your social life

 

than you do. Until his untimely death we might have included Apple founder Steve Jobs, or looked towards the global influence of Bill Gates, who is investing his personal wealth in Third World health and development and in economies only a fraction of the size of Microsoft.

These men all have the undoubted credentials but they are still only mere contenders, there is one man truly in front when it boils down to real tangible global and domestic power - Xi Jinping.

Xi is the man widely expected to succeed Hu Jintao as party general secretary and become state president of China in 2013. Taking charge of the economic and political conundrum that is communism's most capitalist country, he is tasked with leading one-fifth of the world's population, while directing China's complex foreign policies and steering its flourishing economy to even greater heights over the next decade. He will need to be sure-footed - China announced new growth targets last month of 7.5% annualized for 2013. As if this isn't enough responsibility, Xi Jinping is also ultimately in charge of three of the global top 10 largest companies - Sinopec, State Grid and China National Petroleum- each of which are part state-owned.

So who is he?
Xi is the the son of a prominent former revolutionary who formerly served as head of propaganda in the communist party. He graduated in chemical engineering (many of China's leading figureheads have been or are engineers) and also holds a Doctorate from Tsinghua University in Beijing - an institution, along with Peking University, considered China's Harvard/Yale equivalent.

In a time where politics and politicians must be "trendy" and in touch with the zeitgeist, Xi ticks the boxes. He does not tweet like Obama or cycle to work like David Cameron (to do so in China would be shameful for a politician), but as far as Chinese politics go - he's cool. After all, he is married to popular Chinese Folk singer and cultural icon Peng Liyuan. They are a political "power couple" that put Tony and Cherie Blair, Nicolas Sarkozy and Carla Bruni or even Barak and Michelle Obama in the shade. After all, Peng holds a rank equal to major general in the People's Liberation Army.

What can we expect?
Xi has strong leadership credentials and his rise through the Communist Party is a reflection of that. He has held several high-profile roles in Chinese politics such as governor of Fujian Province, secretary of Zhejiang's Provincial Committee and secretary of Shanghai's Municipal Committee. These are three of the most prosperous areas in the country and he is notable for having overseen continuous growth in the regions. No doubt preparation for the top job. China as a country should expect the same - although as the economy is restructuring, it may be at a slower and more complex pace than what Xi is used to.

He is characterized typically as someone who is relatable and who enjoys aspects of American culture such as action films and basketball. US policy watchers will see in him similarities with Deng Xiaoping who privately enjoyed much about the American mainstream including music and Hollywood. However, very little is known about his private life. What can be determined are Xi's core governance strengths, first, he is regarded as someone who "gets things done" - while the regions he has overseen have traditionally always been strong, their accelerated and sustained growth and his personal ascent are not coincidental.

He is a winner. Even so he remains reserved and measured in his judgements. Xi has not been outspoken on difficult issues such as minority unrest and the question of religion in China. He is said to sympathize with these causes though and is expected to take a pragmatic path when he assumes office. Finally, Xi is firm, one of his selling points has been his determination in tackling corruption, most notably within government during his years of provincial management.

Domestically, China will expect more of the same as growing concern about the wealth of party officials has fueled demands for a toughening up on graft both inside and outside government. For Xi, there is no better way of gaining base level support than facilitating this. If he can effectively address rural poverty and encourage economic growth in poorer areas of China enabling more people to aspire towards middle class incomes , Xi will be the figurehead of an extremely good decade for "the Middle Kingdom". While the world economy tip-toes to slow painful recovery China is striding ahead. As the gap narrows between America and China, this is likely to become the most competitive tenure that any of China's recent leaders have faced.

Xi may come to demonstrate that he is the world's most powerful man. He certainly has unbounded levels of responsibility and fortunately has the resources available at home and abroad to make his global mark.

Lewis McCarthy is Columnist for China Foreign Trade magazine. He serves on the committee of a small non-profit organization that establishes links between Chinese and UK government, businesses and education institutes.

Speaking Freely is an Asia Times Online feature that allows guest writers to have their say. Please click here if you are interested in contributing.

(Copyright 2012 Lewis McCarthy)





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