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    China Business
     Sep 16, 2005
Yahoo's fingering of reporter hurts tech funding
By James Borton

Washington is a complex welter of emotions on China. Lately, each day there appear to be fewer "panda huggers" in the US State Department, and at the Pentagon they have become scarcer still. Beijing's sentencing of Chinese journalist Shi Tao to 10 years in prison after he e-mailed comments made in a newspaper staff meeting to a New York-based democracy group has only exacerbated this trend. The notes, which concerned overseas Chinese returning for the 15th anniversary of the Tiananmen massacre, led to his arrest last November and a conviction this April for "providing state secrets abroad".

While similar cases have occurred before, what made this one different is that the Chinese police tracked down Shi with the help of US-based Internet portal Yahoo. In a widely circulated news bulletin, Reporters Without Borders, a press freedom group, revealed last week that Yahoo Holdings (Hong Kong) had provided Chinese authorities with details that helped to identify and convict Shi, who was sentenced in April of this year. Yahoo's apparent

complicity has created an uproar abroad and contributed to a wave of anti-Chinese government sentiment in the US, which comes not only in the wake of a meeting between President George Bush and President Hu Jintao in New York, but just as a movement to rein in technology investments in mainland China has been finding increasing support within the influential US-China Economic Security Commission.

According to the Associated Press, the verdict in the case reveals that Yahoo gave the Chinese authorities access to Shi's personal Yahoo email account, the message that contained what they deemed a "state secret" he was convicted of leaking, and his computer's identifying IP address. Jerry Yang, the company's co-founder, was in the limelight this past weekend at the high-profile Alibaba-sponsored China Internet Summit in Hangzhou. Queried at the summit, Yang offered little explanation on the sentencing of the former writer for the financial publication, Contemporary Business News. The demand for the information was a "legal order" and "Yahoo receives such requests from law enforcement agencies all the time, and not just in China," Yang revealed.

Yahoo has no intention of running afoul of China's draconian Internet rules; the company knows that if it alienates the Chinese government, it might lose its valuable seat at what will soon become the world's biggest Internet party. This would allow Chinese rivals like Sohu.com to take a prominent market position since their senior management has already demonstrated they will dance to the CCP's tune. The paradox is alarming. Only last month, Yahoo trumpeted its US$1 billion investment for a 40% stake in Alibaba.com, the underperforming e-commerce platform operating in China - now the company appears to be an informer to the state security authorites. What raises the stakes in the Shi Tao affair is that China's Internet industry has become a major target of investment for overseas venture capital firms.

Venture capital pouring into Internet sector
The investment gates remain open in China's Internet marketplace. With China's Internet population swelling to over 105 million users, private equity investors are flooding the country with more funds for the nation's digital media. "The massive pent-up demand for intriguing content and applications after decades of rigid government control makes the Chinese population particularly open and receptive to novelty, because there are not any types of entrenched user behavior or habits. Having leapfrogged intermediate generations of technologies, China is in a unique position to install and embrace next-generation communication and media platforms," claims venture capitalist and Gobi Ventures partner, Lawrence Tse. Tse's venture company, along with NTT, DoCoMo and Dentsu, has led follow-up rounds of financing for Lingtu and DMG.

Gobi Ventures, Intel Capital, along with scores of Silicon Valley venture capitalists, are banking on not only smooth sailing with regulatory issues, but believe that these digital developments will change how enterprises and individuals communicate and interact. The investment attitude is also widely supported by another recent bullish Morgan Stanley China Internet report, written by the cheerleading dotcom analyst, Mary Meeker. That report states, "We are initiating coverage of the China Internet industry with an attractive view. We believe Chinese Internet companies that focus on creating consumer value have the highest potential to create shareholder value. China is No 1 in the world in mobile subscribers and No 1 in Internet users under the age of 30 - this evolving presence on the world stage should not be underestimated."

For sure, China is in an enviable position to embrace next-generation communication and media platforms. However, 100 million Internet users do not make this anything close to Beijing's "Third Technological Revolution" and cannot be remotely compared to Mao's bold Great Leap Forward.

US worries over technology transfer
The concern in Washington is that American private equity investments placed in Chinese tech companies will be absorbed into China's ubiquitous military-industrial complex. Chinese leaders' policies of "reinvigorating the nation through technology" date back to the 1988 "Torch Plan", promoted by former president, Jiang Zemin, which was designed to develop and commercialize high-technology products, and promoted by the State Department of Science and Technology.

Last month, the bi-partisan US-China Economic Security Review Commission conducted a public hearing on "China and Capital Markets", held at a time when most congressmen and policy pundits were on summer holiday. The commission sought to better understand the strategy and objectives employed by Chinese firms as they try to raise capital in global capital markets. On this occasion, commission members expressed concerns that the Chinese government's roadmap for an ever-increasing number of selected high-tech IPOs on NASDAQ might undermine and pose a direct challenge to US competitiveness in technology development.

It was only one year ago that the members of the same commission, including co-chairmen Richard D'Amato and Roger W Robinson Jr, chastised American venture capitalists for funding Chinese tech companies. At that time, the commission made the following policy recommendations:

  • Congress should bar US institutional or private investors from making debt or equity investments, directly or indirectly, in firms identified and sanctioned by the US government for weapons proliferation-related activities, whether they are listed and traded in the United States or in the Chinese or other international capital markets.
  • What China does with its growing technology capabilities - whether it converts them to military uses and/or to control the free flow of information to its population - is of direct national security concern to the United States. Moreover, the extent to which these advances allow China to challenge US competitiveness in technological development is a vital matter for US economic security.

    The effect of an opening statement made at last month's hearing by chairman C Richard D'Amato was to put the brakes on any Chinese plans to access US capital markets for high-technology development. "As Chinese financial institutions prepare for an estimated combined $15 billion in listings, questions need to be raised regarding the loan portfolios of these institutions. I am concerned that US investors may not have sufficient information to make informed decisions about the risk of these investments. Furthermore, the possible links between listed state-run firms and banks and China's military industrial complex has heretofore lacked comprehensive examination," stated D'Amato.

    After all the buzz on China related to Baidu and Google's deal with Alibaba, few are in doubt any longer that the Chinese are capable of launching high-tech companies that are innovating brilliantly and exploiting existing capital markets to advance their development. The facts are crystal clear: China is one of the world's most promising end markets for technology, whereas America, while it will remain an enormous market, may have reached a consumption saturation point. So the real issue for the remainder of the decade isn't whether China workers will steal US high-tech jobs; or US venture capital investment funds SOEs that lack transparency; or semiconductor manufacturing will drift away from Silicon Valley, or China's Communists will maintain their tight control of the media - it may simply be a well-grounded fear that the high-tech consumers in China's expanding middle class will not buy US products.

    James Borton is an independent journalist. He writes on China's private equity developments at www.ChinaVentureNews.com.

    (Copyright 2005 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us for information on sales, syndication and republishing.)

  • Beijing ahead in the game (Aug 31, '05)

    Sino-foreign deals attract attention (Aug 13, '05)

    Yahoo! buys 40% stake in Alibaba.com (Aug 12, '05)

    Microsoft filters 'democracy' in China (Jun 25, '05)

    China takeover battle a tangled web (Mar 2, '05)


     
     



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