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    China Business
     Nov 15, 2005


Sluggish takeoff for A380 in China


The Asian debut of the A380, Airbus' colossal double-decker passenger jet, drew crowds of aviation enthusiasts in Singapore over the weekend, and is now repeating the performance in Australia, with Malaysia next on the list.

But China, destined to be the world's largest civil aviation market, is conspicuous by its absence from the list of planned destinations for the aircraft's sensational tour of the region. This is perhaps fitting, since sales of the A380 to mainland airlines so far have been disappointing: Guangzhou-based China Southern Airlines, which has said it will buy five, has been the only taker so



far, and no Hong Kong or Taiwan-based carrier has appeared in Toulouse's order book either.

It's not that the company hasn't tried: in July, Airbus head Gustav Humbert said China remained a major target market for the "superjumbo", along with Japan, the US and India. In June, the company reported that it was talking with three Chinese airlines - Air China, China Eastern and Hainan Airlines - about taking orders to be delivered in time for the 2008 Beijing Olympics. The Olympics, and the Shanghai World Expo to follow in 2010, have been expected to create additional demand for airliners by mainland carriers.

In April, around the same time that the China Southern contract was signed, Airbus China president Laurence Barron told the Beijing Youth Daily that Air China was considering leasing two of the big jets from the International Lease Finance Corporation. But no firm orders have emerged.

Nonetheless, according to the People's Daily, the company has said that it was cooperating with Civil Aviation Administration of China (CAAC) authorities to ensure the plane will be compatible with the civil aviation infrastructure in China.

This cannot be taken for granted, since the craft's huge size requires special attention to jetways, taxiways, and turning clearance to ensure it can be safely accommodated, not to mention additional capacity for baggage handling and passenger lounges. (With some configurations, the A380 could hold as many as 800 passengers, although passenger load for a more typical three-class configuration would be around 550.)

Out of the major mainland airports, Hong Kong International Airport, Guangzhou New Baiyun International Airport and Shanghai International Airport have been certified as completely compatible with the A380, and the Beijing Capital International Airport will be after its planned pre-2008 Olympic Games expansion is completed. Airbus said on November 11 that it would like to conduct a "compatibility test" of the plane in China, but no definite plans have been announced.

In Taiwan, a November 12 radio report on Taiwan radio detailed the plans of civil aviation authorities to upgrade Chiang Kai-shek International Airport in Taipei to accommodate the A380. Although no Taiwan-based carrier has yet ordered the plane, it is expected that foreign airlines using it will be landing at the airport. "We have designated the D6 parking area for A380 jets. We need to reinforce the runways and import larger baggage conveyors," Wei Sheng-chih, director of the Chiang Kai-shek International Airport, told the Broadcasting Corporation of China. "The upgrading will cost NT$100 million [US$1 million] and will be completed next year," Wei said.

China a strong market for Airbus
Slow sales for the superjumbo have been an exception to a generally strong performance for Airbus in China. By the end of the year, the company is expected to deliver a total of 65 aircraft to China, up 54% compared with 2004, and accounting for one sixth of its global deliveries. In 2006, deliveries are expected to increase to nearly 80 aircraft, according to Barron.

Barron also said that most of the aircraft sold to China thus far have been single-aisle A320 family aircraft. Airbus expects to deliver another 50 double-aisle aircraft to China in the next three years and two A380s to China Southern Airlines, with options for another three later. The China division president noted that, partly due to entering the China market 15 years later than Boeing, the company's market share in China is only 29%. However, judging from the growth trends, Airbus deliveries to China have already surpassed Boeing. China introduced its first Airbus in 1985, and over 300 aircraft from the company are now in service.

Singapore, Australia, Malaysia on tour schedule
The A380 began its Asian tour by arriving at Singapore's Changi Airport November 11 to kick off its first test flight outside of Europe. Singapore Airlines (SIA), long expected to be the A380's first customer, ordered 10 planes in September 2000, with an option for another 15. The $8.6 billion deal also included the cost of spare parts and installed engines. Bey Soo Khiang, a senior executive vice president at SIA, has said the company planned to start operating the jet by Christmas 2006.

After leaving Singapore on Friday night, the plane headed to Australia for a tour of the country, highlighted by its scheduled participation in Qantas Airlines' 85th birthday celebration, to be held in Brisbane. It was repainted for the purpose with a Qantas logo. After a stopover in Sydney preceded by three circles of Sydney Harbor, the A380's first touchdown in Melbourne was watched by thousands of aviation enthusiasts, some from the observation deck of the Melbourne airport, which had been opened for the first time since September 11.

Qantas has pre-purchased 12 A380s, which it plans to use on the Sydney-Los Angeles route and the so-called "kangaroo route" to London via Singapore and Hong Kong. On November 15, the aircraft will fly on to Brisbane for the anniversary party, which Hollywood actor and Qantas ambassador John Travolta will attend. (Travolta, a highly experienced passenger jet pilot with a multi-engine rating, is famous for owning a Boeing 707 formerly in service with Qantas, and painted with the airline's logo.)

Late-delivery claims shadow tour
A discordant note in the plane's triumphant visit to Asia and Australia was sounded by the fact that Airbus may have to pay millions of dollars in compensation to airline customers, including SIA and Qantas, due to delays in the delivery of the new plane.

SIA head Chew Choon Seng told a German magazine (Focus) that he wished he had known sooner about delays in the delivery of the first batch of A380 planes, and said the airline would press Airbus for compensation. "Airbus took quite a long time to admit that the A380 program was behind schedule," said Chew, adding that this delay had caused serious disruption to his airline's planning.

However, he noted that the delays would affect other customers equally, saying: "After us [SIA], about half a year later, Emirates and Qantas will get them. The interval remains the same". SIA will still become the first airline to fly the new plane.

Pilots, cabin crew and technicians had already completed their training for the A380, according to Chew; SIA will respond to the delay mainly by keeping aging Boeing 747s in service longer. Under the contract, SIA was entitled to compensation, he added: "It's like a taxi ride. The longer the ride, the dearer it is. It will cost Airbus more for every month of delay."

As for Qantas, it has pre-purchased 12 of the A380 jets, which will be delivered in April 2007 - about six months after the original delivery date. Airbus chief operating officer John Leahy said talks with airlines about compensation over the delays were confidential and would not specify how much the airlines were seeking. "The airplane costs about US$285 million [A$391 million] a copy, so I think it is safe to say we are talking a couple of million dollars," Leahy told the Nine Network. "But let's not get into detail; that's confidential between us and the customer."

In spite of the late delivery, Leahy was confident of enough sales to earn back the aircraft's development costs. According to him, the break-even point for the company is about 250 planes. "We are essentially there now," he said. "We have 159 firm orders and I have about 100 options that are blocking delivery slots, most of them over the next five years."

Airbus spokeswoman Claudia Mueller has responded to the airline complaints by saying, "Airbus prefers to deliver a little later with a very good product than to rush through with a delivery."

(Asia Pulse/news services)


China Eastern takes delivery of 100th Airbus (Nov 3, '05)

China to EU: keep your shirt on (May 7, '05)

Airbus likely to win more Chinese orders (Apr 22, '05)

Outsourcing aircraft parts to China, airliners later (Sep 3, '04)

 
 



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