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    China Business
     May 4, 2006
Beijing's new driving spirit

BEIJING - China is working on fiscal policies to encourage production of biological energy - including plant-derived ethanol and methane - as substitutes for oil, a move experts say would help China reduce its reliance on oil and build an environmentally friendly society.

Zhu Zhigang, vice minister of finance, told Xinhua news agency in an exclusive interview that the ministry is working on policies that will enable the government as well as energy consumers to share the cost and risks of bio-energy production in case oil prices drop too low for the bio-energy business to be profitable.

Zhu said the ministry is considering a plan to provide subsidies to a few selected companies specializing in bio-energy production as demonstration projects before the mechanism is created for



sharing cost and risk. But he declined to say how much money the government will spend in the coming years on bio-energy projects.

Bio-energy mainly refers to ethanol, made from sugar cane or other carbohydrate sources, and methane; these fuels are regarded as environmentally friendly and renewable.

China has increased its annual production capacity of fuel ethanol to 1.02 million tons per year, thanks to direct funding from the Finance Ministry, preferential tax policies and subsidies, he said. Fuel ethanol has been produced in northeastern China, central China's Henan province, northern China's Hebei province and eastern China's Anhui, Shandong and Jiangsu provinces.

So far in China, mainly corn (maize) and wheat have been used as raw materials to make fuel ethanol, and the ethanol has been purchased and mixed with gasoline by the country's state-owned oil producers, including Sinopec.

Zhu said the ministry has allocated 2 billion yuan (US$250 million) for those ethanol projects over the past five years, which were launched mainly to solve the problem of corn surpluses in the northeast, China's major corn-producing area. The corn-for-ethanol projects increased the market demand for corn, and the market prices of corn have been increasing gradually in the past several years, the vice minister said. The existing projects have made China the world's third-largest ethanol-fuel producer.

Shi Yuanchun, of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, said China should do more to increase production of bio-energy to catch up with the United States, the European Union, Brazil and India. China should study ways to manufacture ethanol using stalks and plants that can be grown on wasteland and low-quality land not suitable for grain production, said Shi, former president of China Agriculture University.

These plants include sugar grass, which is suitable for salina (salt marsh) and other low-quality land in 18 provincial areas north of the Yellow River and Huaihe River basins. Such lands total 33.34 million hectares, and one-fifth of them would be enough to produce 20 million tons of ethanol, said Shi.

In addition, China produces 1.5 billion tons of stalks a year as byproducts of grain production, which can be used to produce 370 million tons of ethanol. Bio-energy is environmentally friendly and renewable, and the fast-growing bio-energy sector will create enormous job opportunities for farmers, Shi said.

Sweet sorghum, cassava and other materials are also possible raw materials for ethanol production. Industry observers say that although there is no technology currently for producing ethanol from sweet sorghum, Thailand has produced it from cassava (tapioca) and there is no reason China could not emulate this. A recent Reuters story noted that a black market has recently sprung up to import tapioca chips from Thailand into southern China for purposes of ethanol production.

The southern China region has long produced drinkable spirits containing high ethanol content, and the process for producing fuel ethanol is similar, though it is typically conducted on a larger scale and adds a dehydration step at the end to make the ethanol combustible.

Qiao Yingbing, an expert with oil giant Sinopec, said China's consumption of crude oil totaled 323 million tons in 2005, including net crude-oil imports of 119 million tons. Increasing bio-energy production and consumption will help ease the country's oil shortage and help reduce air pollution, as the oil substitutes are cleaner.

Various problems are associated with expansion of the bio-fuel industry. Cultivation of crops for ethanol production could displace food crops, reducing food production, particularly if ethanol remains as profitable as it is at present; if this situation continues for a long period, it could lead to the nation's fuel-import dependency being replaced by a food-import dependency.

Also, currently high oil prices have led the national government to scrap subsidies for the ethanol industry, because subsidies are not needed when gasoline prices are high. Experts say that with present technology, fuel-ethanol production becomes economically viable when oil prices are more than $40 a barrel. However, it remains possible that oil prices could drop in the future, leading to the industry becoming non-viable, and if the ethanol sector becomes dependent on subsidies over the long term, this could increase the government's fiscal burden and displace needed social-services spending.

(Asia Pulse/XIC)


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