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    China Business
     Sep 21, 2006
US visit stirs revaluation talk

BEIJING - US Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's ongoing China visit has stirred much debate about a possible appreciation of the yuan.

But instead of pushing hard for the revaluation of the Chinese currency, Paulson, a former Goldman Sachs chief executive officer and an expert on Chinese business issues, may focus more on the practicalities of financial reform and trade during his visit, experts said.

"Paulson has a solid understanding of China," said Zhu Jianfang, a senior macroeconomic analyst at China Securities Research Co


Ltd. "He is more practical and should be able to find more common ground with the Chinese officials."

Having visited China about 70 times in the past seven years during his time at Goldman Sachs, Paulson took the position as treasury secretary in the administration of President George W Bush at the end of May. He began his first official visit to China in this capacity on Tuesday.

Paulson's first stop was Hangzhou, capital of eastern China's Zhejiang province, where he met with local officials and entrepreneurs. He will stay in China until Friday.

Paulson arrived in Beijing on Wednesday and was to meet Ma Kai, minister of the National Development and Reform Commission, followed by Vice Premier Wu Yi later in the day. Paulson and Wu were to hold a joint press briefing in the evening.

During his visit Paulson will also meet President Hu Jintao and other high-ranking Chinese officials in the areas of finance, commerce and the information industry.

Paulson met with Zhou Xiaochuan, governor of China's central bank, at the annual meeting of the International Monetary Fund in Singapore this week.

"The [yuan] issue will remain one of the major interests for US officials like Paulson and should be discussed with the Chinese side during the visit," said Wang Yuanhong, an economist at the State Information Center.

However, neither side is in a hurry to reshuffle the exchange-rate scheme. And it should be obvious to Paulson, given his understanding of China, that a drastic appreciation of the yuan will not resolve China's trade surplus with the United States, Wang said.

Before he left for China, Paulson said in Singapore on Monday that moving toward a freely traded currency is in China's interests. But, "I am not looking for immediate solutions or quick fixes ... I am looking to set a tone and an expectation of working through issues and making progress," he told reporters.

Zhou Xiaochuan also made it clear in Singapore that China is gradually moving toward a flexible exchange-rate regime.

The yuan reached its strongest level against the US dollar on Tuesday since China appreciated the currency by 2% in July 2005 and linked it to a basket of foreign currencies instead of to the US dollar alone. The central bank set the daily reference rate for the yuan at 7.9342 when traded against the dollar on Tuesday, compared with 8.11 upon last year's revaluation.

(Asia Pulse/XIC)


Carrots and sticks on the yuan (Sep 9, '06)

Yuan moves show a confident China (Jul 26, '05)

 
 



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