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    China Business
     Jan 11, 2007
Page 2 of 2
Mainland set to overtake Hong Kong in IPOs
By Olivia Chung

capitalization.

However, after the Chinese government reformed its stock markets, most of the 1,300-plus companies listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen bourses disposed of non-tradable shares by the end of last year.

At the same time, in response to complaints that domestic investors were unable to invest in quality companies that sold



shares overseas, Beijing lifted the ban on domestic IPOs on May 18.

Shares in China CAMC Engineering Co, the first company to go public after the ban was lifted, jumped more than fourfold on its first day of trading in Shanghai last June. BOC achieved a gain of 31% on the day of its A-share IPO in July.

As investor confidence returns, China's stock markets can be used by Beijing to channel more of its $2 trillion in household savings into the stock market, which will alleviate the burden on China's banks.

For the red-chip and H-share companies, going back home to list now is an alternative way to raise more funds as the A-share market has been bullish in the past year on expectations of the yuan appreciation and confidence in China's strong economic growth.

The Shanghai Composite Index gained 3.72% to close at 2,807.804 points, the first time the benchmark closed above the 2,800-point level, on Tuesday when China Life made its successful debut on the Shanghai stock market. Turnover reached 85.6 billion yuan ($10.95 billion) on that day, representing a 19.68% increase over the previous day's trading volume.

With China Life's successful A-share debut, Ping An Insurance, another mainland insurance giant listed in Hong Kong, plans to sell at most 1.15 billion A-shares, while two other Hong Kong-listed mainland financial firms - Bank of Communications and China Construction Bank - have also announced A-share listing plans for this year.

Meanwhile, Hong Kong-listed Chinese telecom giants such as China Mobile, China Telecom and China Netcom all plan to return to mainland stock markets seeking fresh capital to build infrastructure for their 3G (third generation) networks. A fourth player, China Unicom, is currently the only major telecommunications operator that is listed on both overseas and mainland stock markets.

With licenses for the so-called 3G mobile-telecom technology expected to be announced early this year, China's major telecommunications operators may need to raise as much as a 100 billion yuan to build and maintain the required new networks. The new 3G mobile-phone service will provide multimedia services including voice, data, video and wireless Internet access.

A spokesperson for China Mobile, the largest Chinese mobile-telecom operator, said it is the company's intention to raise funds on the mainland market, but there is not a concrete timetable for an IPO.

"China's securities regulator is creating favorable conditions for red chips to come home," an official with the CSRC was quoted as saying by Xinhua News Agency.

Listing regulations do not allow overseas incorporated companies to list directly on the mainland. "It is hard to change the regulations under the current circumstances, but red chips can find a back door," said Li Yongsen, a professor with Renmin University of China.

Once the H-shares and red chips return, they are expected to lead the markets' growth in 2007, analysts said.

Another outcome is that China will become a bigger market for IPOs than Hong Kong this year, an expert at PricewaterhouseCoopers said. PwC Assurance partner Richard Sun predicts that total capitalization of IPOs in Shanghai and Shenzhen will reach 200 billion yuan this year, beating Hong Kong's expected 150 billion yuan.

PwC attributes the predicted rise to the expected increase in mainland companies seeking a dual listing in Hong Kong and China in 2007 as only about 50% of H-share companies were listed on mainland bourses as of the end 2006.

Ernst & Young also predicted that IPO proceeds in Shanghai will surpass - or at least be equal to - those in Hong Kong to reach 280 billion yuan this year, propelled by the issue of A-shares by companies with listed H-shares in Hong Kong.

Olivia Chung is a senior Asia Times Online reporter.

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