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    China Business
     Jan 19, 2007
Grape expectations for China's wine sector

BEIJING - Chinese drinkers are knocking back wine as never before, and the country's vintners are scrambling to keep up with demand.

So conspicuous is consumption that Robert Beynat, general manager of Vinexpo, made a special trip to Beijing to invite Chinese wine lovers to the annual event, which will be held in Bordeaux, France, from June 17-21.

A 2007 research report published by Vinexpo and the International Wine and Spirits Report (IWSR) shows that China produced 385



million liters of wine in 2005, and is expected to produce 420 million liters in 2010, up 9.09% from 2005.

In 2004-05, China's wine consumption grew 13.06% to 423.2 million liters (or 564.26 million bottles). China's wine consumption grew 22.5% in 2001-05. The country became the world's 10th-largest consumer of low-alcohol sparkling wine in 2005 and is expected to place ninth in 2010.

According to the new report, in the 2005-10 period, China's wine consumption may grow by another 35.44%. In fact, the country's wine consumption in the 10 years from 2001 to 2010 may grow 65.52%, 6.5 times the global growth rate.

During the period 2001-10, retail sales of low-alcohol sparkling wine are forecast to grow 95.17%, from US$848 million to $1.655 billion.

Of total wine sales in 2005, the sales volume of wine priced below $5 a bottle made up 92.68% of the total. But despite this, the sales volume of wine in this price range grew only 19.18% during 2001-05, while that of wine priced above $5 a bottle grew 86.25%, and that of wine priced above $10 grew 110.53%. This indicates that consumer preference is shifting to higher quality wine.

In 2005-10, sales volume of wine priced between $5 and $10 a bottle may grow 154.59% and that priced above $10 a bottle may grow 157.5%, Vinexpo/IWSR predicts.

By variety, Vinexpo/IWSR estimates that 80% of wine consumed in China in 2005 was low-alcohol red.

However, from 2001 to 2005, white-wine consumption, making up 19% of the total, grew 36.91%, and may go on growing by 64.57% in 2005-10.

Meanwhile, China's rose-wine consumption, making up only 1% of the country's total wine consumption in 2005, will grow 36.59%, said the report.

Of the world's top 10 wine consumers, China ranked 10th in 2005. By 2010, China is expected to rank first in the world in sales volume and second only to Japan in sales value.

Imports made up only 5.6% (some 23.7 million liters) of China's wine consumption in 2005. However, it may grow 53.58% to top 36.4 million liters in 2010.

France's wine exports to China grew 55.73% in 2001-05, accounting for 40% of China's total wine imports.

Meanwhile, Australian and Chilean wine exports to China grew 68.96% and 60% respectively.

Beynat predicts that by 2010, France will still be a major supplier to China, as Chinese consumption of high-grade brandy grew 83.11% in 2001-05 and may grow a further 83.27% in 2005-10.

(Asia Pulse/XIC)


Supping wine, Chinese-style (Nov 1, '05)

 
 



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