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    China Business
     Jan 19, 2007
Page 2 of 2
China's auto makers hunt for US key
By Benjamin Shobert

able to export its way to success inside the North American market, as will China.

Japan was successful by providing a low-cost choice for the US consumer, as can China. Japan enjoyed a more efficient manufacturing methodology at a time when US automobile companies did not, as China does. Yesterday, US automobile manufacturers believed they could overlook the Japanese threat; today, a similar blind spot exists for US auto executives not



paying attention to Chinese automobiles.

While this is compelling at the surface, the analogies are likely to be incorrect. Several key differences suggest that the lessons learned by the Japanese automobile sector have not yet been learned by their Chinese counterparts. Bricklin, for all his foresight, is indicative of a particular mindset that must be changed for Chinese companies to be successful.

Bricklin's role as the middleman between the US market and the Chinese manufacturing infrastructure is only necessary as long as Chinese companies settle for the role of captive manufacturers and do not advance into areas of product design and marketing. The ultimate Japanese success in North America was no fluke; it was the product of decade-long due diligence on the part of several key executives within the Japanese automotive industry.

These people spent time in North America traveling the roads they wanted their cars to be driven on, meeting with dealers in an effort to hear the frustrations from the car dealerships. And they planned. The products the Japanese emphasized in North America were not accidents. By spending time working to understand the North American market, the Japanese portfolio of smaller, more fuel-efficient, and lower-priced vehicles found a market US manufacturers had overlooked.

This proactive effort to understand, explore and locate the sector of the market being unaddressed is missing from the Chinese automobile sector's efforts in North America. Price will not be a sufficient competitive advantage. It is unlikely that the same general lack of awareness and unresponsiveness will allow the US automotive sector to be as surprised by the Chinese as they were by the Japanese.

The fact that the annual show in Detroit serves as fodder for various popular business periodicals to write numerous articles on the Chinese threat would suggest that a special award be given to any US auto executive caught unawares by this issue.

Chinese companies would do well to remember that any number of low-priced autos have found their way to US shores only to wither under the organized response of government protectionism, negative marketing and heightened safety and quality concerns from the North American consumer. If Chinese automobile companies are going to be successful in the US, they are going to achieve this success only by listening to what the market is telling them it wants but cannot yet get from existing products.

More important, it may very well be that Chinese auto OEMs can afford to overlook the North American market as a source of export-led growth. The wide number of Chinese competitors in their domestic economy would suggest that paying primary attention to their own market's requirements is an issue of critical importance. Additionally, it may be that the more sophisticated needs of the North American auto consumer are not well matched to the current and mid-term capabilities of Chinese manufacturers.
Because of the number of people employed by the automotive industry, the role government plays in protecting this sector is a somewhat rare challenge; however, the broader transition from captive make-to-specification manufacturing to active product design, development and manufacturing remains an issue that China's economy at large must deal with.

Bricklin clearly believes that China is some distance away from successfully making this transition, as his new business model involves him interviewing 15 potential manufacturing partners who will then be used purely as a manufacturing source of designs from his company. If Bricklin has his finger on the pulse of dissatisfied portions of the automobile dealerships and disaffected consumers who want product options the US manufacturing sector is not providing, this will prove to be a very successful venture.

All of this plays into the broader question of the legacy from the China-price, the various industries worldwide it has impacted, and the next stage of globalization China must navigate to perpetuate its growth. Few would question that the early advantages of developing economies is predicated on price and a willingness to adapt to whatever requirements their cash-laden partners come to them with. Undoubtedly, this competitive advantage has contributed to China's growth and popularity as a sourcing venue; however, the global market has largely adjusted as both multinationals and mid-sized manufacturers have found their way to China.

Inflationary raw-material prices over the past 24 months have marked the first time companies could not simply count on year-over-year savings due to purchasing activities from within China. Over the next 12-18 months, it is likely the global consensus will be that the savings from China have predominantly been realized and that to continue a presence in China requires other motives.

As with every significant advancement from a developing economy, the next stage will require several paradigm shifts if China is to continue its path forward. Of critical importance is whether China can resolve its unwillingness to focus on business intangibles such as product design and consumer marketing. These next phases of economic development in China may require paradigms that are uniquely Chinese to be torn down.

The remaining vestiges of cultural socialism, namely the idea that the market will adapt to what the manufacturer chooses to make, are likely responsible for certain struggles to value customer feedback and marketing properly. The early stages of globalization hold both potential and peril for China's manufacturers: the potential to capture large market share through advantages unique to them is equally matched by the peril that they will be forever trapped within the mindset that says business will come to them, partners will seek them out, and consumers will choose what the manufacturer wishes to put forward simply because of their low price.

Each of these lessons is a paradigm that runs deep within the Chinese culture, and which must be resolved if China's promise is to be fully developed.

Benjamin Shobert is the managing director of Teleos Inc (www.teleos-inc.com), a consulting firm dedicated to helping Asian businesses bring innovative technologies into the North American market.

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