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    China Business
     May 4, 2007
Page 2 of 2
When China comes to Iowa
By Benjamin A Shobert

and the Midwest, with an emphasis on identifying opportunities for Chinese investment in the US.

Thus far, only about 5% of Chinese investment overseas is within the US, but as Rodgers points out, with between 45,000 and 50,000 people employed in the state of Illinois by Japanese companies, the potential benefits to Midwestern economies who build relationships with China and seek to attract its investment is



too significant to overlook.

Within the Midwest, what Rodgers sees occurring so far in an admittedly early relationship is municipal-level staff - including mayors - traveling to China in an attempt to gather information and build relationships that could translate into future investment in their areas by Chinese entrepreneurs. Such cities as Columbus, Indiana (population 39,380), that already have a strong track record of attracting Japanese investment are laying the foundation of what they hope will be a similarly successful entry to Chinese FDI with trips to China by economic-development teams.

Such an investment is not without risk, as increasingly limited budgets have forced many Midwestern state governments to trim both offices and trips abroad and emphasize short-term strategies that promise shorter payback times and less political risk.

Rodgers is quick to point out that some of what Midwestern administrations need to improve their ability to attract Chinese FDI is outside the states' control. In particular, the post-September 11, 2001, problem of securing visas for Chinese to enter the US remains an obstacle. As Rodgers says, for many Chinese businesses, it "doesn't make sense to pick the rocky road"; consequently, they look for markets with lower barriers to entry.

Rodgers acknowledges that the experience of working with China is more entrepreneurial than that of partnering with Japan, where government and business moved fluidly toward their goal of investing in assets and businesses within the US.

Larry Ingraham, president of Ingraham and Associates of Carmel, Indiana, has been involved with Japanese FDI in the US for almost 30 years in both government and business advisory roles, and sees the less organized and more entrepreneurial approach of Chinese business as an important distinction between the successful Japanese experience and current Chinese efforts to engage in FDI to the Midwest.

"The connection between government, business and banking in Japan was very organized," Ingraham said. "When a Japanese company came to the US, it was not coming alone as many Chinese entrepreneurs do."

This may seem counterintuitive to those who see China as the example of complicit actions among business, banking and government, but the proper distinction is between an organized and uniting purpose in Japan, versus collusion and corruption in China. The Japanese experience in the US Midwest was based on concentrated efforts and directed energy built on a realization that Japan had to export to survive, and was facing political pressures in the US that were best managed by manufacturing certain goods in their destination markets.

Ingraham is quick to point out the similarities between the situation in the Midwest then and now: "States needed new jobs that were not available from US sources, the states needed to increase their tax base, and states wanted to bring new technology to their state and not lose it to surrounding states."

What also seems missing in the search for Chinese FDI in the US Midwest is a specific sector where the Chinese can exploit an inherent competitive advantage other than their domestic cost for labor. When the Japanese engaged US business during the 1970s, it became obvious that Japanese auto manufacturers had a pronounced set of advantages over their US competitors, and that low-cost labor was not their primary upper hand.

Japanese business had emphasized manufacturing principles of quality and efficiency that, when coupled with fuel-efficient product designs in line with what consumers wanted, allowed Japanese auto makers to outmaneuver their entrenched US equivalents.

Thus far, no Chinese success story, automotive sector or not, seems able to emphasize product innovation or insight into manufacturing methodologies as an inherent strength of the business. Consequently, the Chinese threat and opportunity seem on one hand diffuse and on the other very specific - they are everywhere and yet nowhere. In all likelihood, before China will need to create FDI opportunities in the US, it will need to find a more balanced model for business that does not emphasize only a low-cost labor rate as the key to economic growth.

The "war on terror" and the US fascination with the paradox of its values embodied in the battle over immigration have thus far prevented a clear picture forming of how to view the US relationship with China. Because of the inconsistent nature of how Americans perceive China - on one hand a fledgling country still developing and gradually changing toward a hopeful future encounter with democracy, and on the other a country sucking up entry- and mid-level jobs much needed in the US - it has thus far not become mandatory that Chinese companies expand US operations to maintain their political viability in a key export market.

As the Chinese economy matures, as manufacturing employment opportunities dry up and wither away in the US Midwest, and as economic fault lines widen (as evidenced by the recent slump in new and existing home sales felt acutely in the Midwest), China may come to realize that it must change its outbound FDI policies if it is to be fully integrated into the world's economy.

If and when this happens, people like Rodgers and Ingraham will have prepared the way over years of relationship-building and education, and will undoubtedly reap the rewards along with the states that were willing to run the risk of bringing China in. Whether these success stories will be isolated entrepreneurial ventures or broad industry-shaping FDI packages may ultimately say more about China's actual versus perceived capabilities than many now realize.

Benjamin A Shobert is the managing director of Teleos Inc (www.teleos-inc.com), a consulting firm dedicated to helping Asian businesses bring innovative technologies into the North American market.

(Copyright 2007 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us about sales, syndication and republishing.)

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