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    China Business
     May 25, 2007
Page 1 of 2
SPEAKING FREELY
Chinese cherish their Chery
By Irina Aervitz

Speaking Freely is an Asia Times Online feature that allows guest writers to have their say. Please click here if you are interested in contributing.

A lot has been said recently about the looming menace of Chinese cars entering the North American and European markets: the arrival of Chinese imports seems inevitable despite 



protectionist measures, trade wars in the World Trade Organization (WTO), and quality concerns. The American auto giants are crumbling, while the Chinese harbor dreams of building their own giants. Over the past few years, China's exports of automobiles and parts have escalated rapidly.

In 2006, China's auto exports hit a record 340,000 units, more than double the figure for 2005, according to the Chinese Ministry of Commerce. US imports from China increased from US$1.6 billion in 2000 to $5.3 billion in 2005. Most automotive-sector exports to the US were auto components rather than vehicles. Complex auto parts such as engines have been consistently imported from China: $54 million worth in 2000 to $197 million in 2005.

Thus complete cars are the next logical step.

Last year Vice Minister of Commerce Wei Jianguo announced that China's goal was to enhance the volume of vehicle and auto-parts exports to $120 billion, or 10% of the world's total auto sales volume, in the next 10 years. China's largest clients currently are the Middle East, Latin America, Africa and Russia. Chinese cars sell in these markets mainly because of price competitiveness.

Major trends and developments
Overall, the major trends in the automobile industry in China include government efforts to develop a national car, encourage exports, and restructure and consolidate state-owned enterprises. In the meantime, auto enterprises are seeking markets for their products at home and abroad, engaging in research and development (R&D), and shifting from technology dependency on foreign partners in joint ventures toward independent production.

At the moment, the American and European markets seem unattainable because of low levels of safety and emission standards of Chinese exports. To create an internationally competitive car, Chinese companies and government-sponsored programs concentrate on enhancing the following technological capabilities: gasoline and diesel powertrains, electronic controls, emissions-control technologies, the application of complex engineering methods to optimize vehicle performance, and the use of new materials.

The 2001-05 plan for the auto industry called for its massive restructuring - from 118 individual manufacturers to three large automotive groups and from several hundred parts suppliers to five to 10 large supplier groups. Auto-industry consolidation was seen as a strategy to become internationally competitive. The ultimate goal was to create a Chinese version of the "Big Three" US automobile makers. Even though the US model of auto consolidation has been recently discredited, last year the Chinese government issued a new policy discouraging existing car makers from expanding manufacturing capacity too fast and new players from entering the market. Thus consolidation measures are still being implemented.

The Chinese government encourages domestic car makers and joint ventures with foreign partners to export. State support does not, however, extend to all of China's many auto enterprises. To weed out companies that are too small to be serious exporters, the government introduced export quotas this year. Furthermore, according to the 2007 Catalogue for Export License Management, companies are now required to obtain authorization to export automobiles as well as full sets of automotive parts or chassis.

Almost all large international automobile companies have operations in China. Chinese auto-industry policy includes very explicit requirements for high levels of local content for joint ventures with foreign car makers: 40% local content at startup, 60% by the second year, and 80% by the third year for passenger-car manufacturers. For commercial-vehicle manufacturers, the localization requirements are even higher.

These requirements indicate that the government is attempting to enhance the volume of domestically produced automobile parts as substitutes for imports. The local-content provisions indirectly increase the level of technological sophistication among domestic manufacturers.

State support of export
One way or another, Chinese automobile manufacturers receive assistance from the state. Automotive enterprises in China are predominantly state-owned. Of course, the cases of direct financial support are not disclosed, especially in light of Chinese membership in the WTO.

There are several export-encouragement mechanisms that the state can exercise. The so-called "illegal" mechanism to enhance exports is state subsidies for state-owned enterprises. The "legal" mechanisms include export-duty and tax exemptions for both Chinese enterprises and joint ventures with foreign partners.

Another way to encourage exports is to allow a foreign partner to have more than 50% ownership in an export joint venture such as in the case of Honda Automobile (China) Co Ltd in the Guangzhou Development Zone. Honda was allowed to have 65% ownership in a joint venture, which was unprecedented. A few years later, in 2004, legislation came into force permitting foreign companies in the auto industry to have up to 70% of shares if they export.

There is, however, a thin line between the so-called "legal" and "illegal". At present, because of China's membership in the WTO, Beijing is cautious about openly subsidizing enterprises. The WTO allows China's trade partners to reciprocate if the WTO rules that unfair trade or violations of trade agreements occurred.

China has been criticized by its trade partners (especially the US) for using export-duty reductions or exemptions, which is considered unfair practice.

China's trading partners even frown on the fact that the country has so many state-owned enterprises, which are allegedly supported by the state. According to a press release from the Office of the US Trade Representative issued this year, "China applies a series of measures that, by allowing for refunds, reductions or exemptions from taxes and other payments, appear designed to subsidize exports of manufactured goods or support the purchase of domestic over imported equipment."

In March, China terminated a central-bank program that allowed a group of large exporters to take advantage of discounted loans. The US had challenged the program, saying it was a prohibited export subsidy, and requested WTO dispute-settlement consultations. The loan program was one of many export-encouragement activities that the US identified as possible violations of WTO rules.

State subsidies aimed at increasing exports is a controversial issue.

Countries are inventive in devising various camouflaged measures of export amplification to avoid the "subsidy" stigma. Sometimes it takes years for WTO experts to attest that subsidization actually took place. The WTO has a number of mechanisms to

Continued 1 2 


Lifting the hood on the car industry (May 19, '07)

 
 



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