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    China Business
     Jun 2, 2007
SPEAKING FREELY
The dangers in talking to China
By William R Hawkins

Speaking Freely is an Asia Times Online feature that allows guest writers to have their say. Please click here if you are interested in contributing.

During the week leading up to the second US-China Strategic Economic Dialogue (SED), held in Washington from May 22-23, a coalition of financial-services trade associations formed to support economic cooperation with China.

Calling their group Engage China, they ran ads promoting the



slogan "China's growth, America's opportunity". The ads ran online and in print media from May 16-23. Engage China includes the American Bankers Association, the American Council of Life Insurers, the American Insurance Association, the Council of Insurance Agents and Brokers, the Bankers' Association for Finance and Trade, the Financial Services Forum, the Financial Services Roundtable, the Investment Company Institute, and the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association.

The first SED took place in Beijing last December, having been initiated by US Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson to calm trade tensions with China. Paulson is the former chief executive officer of Goldman Sachs, a very active investment bank in China. He made a fortune helping build Chinese economic strength and has shown no desire to confront the monster he helped to create.

A central issue is Beijing's manipulation of the exchange rate of its currency, the yuan. Economists have estimated that the yuan is undervalued by as much as 54%, according to a recent survey by the Congressional Research Service. The US Congress requires the Treasury to determine whether foreign countries set exchange rates for the purpose of "gaining unfair competitive advantage in international trade". Such a finding would require the treasury secretary to initiate negotiations on an "expedited basis" for the purpose of eliminating the unfair advantage. Paulson has refused to find Beijing guilty of this charge, saying only that the yuan is "misaligned" with the US dollar.

So instead of negotiations, Paulson is engaging China in a "dialogue" that no one expects will change Beijing's behavior in any meaningful way. That is why Paulson's old comrades from Wall Street want to support the SED. They are all heavily involved in trying to profit from Chinese expansion and do not want any confrontations between Beijing and Washington.

A more accurate slogan, however, would be "China's growth, America's peril". While corporations see the gains from trade and investment in terms of profit, Beijing uses its gains in industrial capacity, capital and technology to rise as a major power in world politics - with an agenda hostile to the interests of the United States. At every danger point around the globe, be it Iran, North Korea, Sudan, Venezuela, Cuba, Myanmar, Zimbabwe or Central Asia, China is on the opposite side of the United States. It is this "strategic" aspect that is missing from the Strategic Economic Dialogue.

Two days after the SED concluded, the US Defense Department issued its annual report to Congress on "The Military Power of the People's Republic of China". The new Pentagon report repeats what was said in the 2006 Quadrennial Defense Review, that China "has the greatest potential to compete militarily with the United States and field disruptive military technologies that could over time offset traditional US military advantages". The 2007 Military Power report discusses the economic foundations of China's rise as a global power:
Sources for PLA [People's Liberation Army] modernization include domestic defense expenditures, indigenous defense industrial developments, and foreign technology acquisition ... Beijing seeks a wholly indigenous defense industrial sector. China's defense industries benefit from foreign direct investment and joint ventures in the civilian sector, technical knowledge and expertise of students returned from abroad, and state-sponsored industrial espionage - all of which are driven by the performance of the economy. China's economic growth has enabled Beijing to invest ever increasing resources in its defense sector over the past 15 years.
Economic globalization, based on transnational corporations and free trade, cannot survive in a world still beset by geopolitical rivalries where the distribution of wealth, technology and productive capacity are key elements in the balance of power. Thus major business interests seek to deny that such dangers exist as they lobby against any restrictions on their commercial operations.

National Foreign Trade Council (NFTC) president (and a Commerce Department official during the administration of US president Bill Clinton) William Reinsch has been lobbying his former department against tightening export controls on sales of dual-use technology to China. He argues that security restrictions "undermine US competitiveness", by which he means the ability of certain corporations to make money selling the Beijing regime whatever it wants, regardless of the consequences. The NFTC membership consists of major transnational corporations and banks whose top priority is "advocating public policies that foster an open international trade and investment regime".

The NFTC may have provided the model for Engage China when it created USA*Engage in 1997 to oppose economic sanctions against rogue states. An early concern was to protect the military dictatorship in Myanmar, which is heavily backed by China. On May 9 this year, USA*Engage and NFTC joined other trade associations to urge the US Senate to reject legislation that would "impose broad, unilateral US sanctions resulting from foreign entities doing business with Iran". The Business Roundtable, the National Association of Manufacturers, and the US Chamber of Commerce were among the co-signers.

Yet US sanctions, especially closing down Iran's access to foreign financial institutions, have been particularly successful in putting pressure on the Tehran theocratic regime. That Iran is supporting terrorism across the Middle East - including acts against US troops in Iraq - and is developing nuclear weapons does not seem to bother these leaders of Big Business.

But it should bother the American people and their representatives in Washington. Though everyone acknowledges that national security should trump private interests in international affairs, the necessary governmental oversight is often lacking or skirted by unscrupulous traders and their lobbyists. And the revolving door between government officials and corporate executives has done more to erode the ethical duties of public service than to instill in the business community any sense of patriotic purpose. There is nothing equivalent to the Chinese strategic concept of "comprehensive national power" motivating US policymakers to reject the blandishments of corporate-sponsored engagement campaigns.

No wonder Chinese Vice Premier Wu Yi, who led Beijing's delegation at the SED, called the event "a complete success".

William R Hawkins is senior fellow for national-security studies at the US Business and Industry Council in Washington, DC.

(Copyright 2007 William R Hawkins.)

Speaking Freely is an Asia Times Online feature that allows guest writers to have their say. Please click here if you are interested in contributing.


China wants dialogue, US just wants more (May 26, '07)

A failure to communicate (May 26, '07)


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