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    China Business
     Sep 28, 2007
The supersizing of China's shoppers
By Olivia Chung

HONG KONG - Foreign-owned mega-marts such as US-based Wal-Mart, France's Carrefour, the United Kingdom's Tesco, and RT-Mart of Taiwan are successfully exporting a new shopping culture to China, with their market share now accounting for about 60% in major Chinese cities.

TNS Worldpanel (China) said the leading superstores in China now are foreign-invested players and their share of the country's 15 largest cities accounted for 60.6% in the first half of 2007, up



from 57.5% in the first half of 2006.

Jason Yu, regional account-development director for TNS Worldpanel (China), said the foreign-based jumbo-marts are expanding more aggressively than their Chinese counterparts, and there is plenty of room particularly in China's second-tier (medium-sized) and third-tier (small) cities for more.

Yu said he expects the foreign operators will maintain their dominance for at least the next two or three years.

According to TNS Worldpanel, which measures household consumption in 20 of China's provinces and municipalities, the superstores increased their share by value in the grocery sector in the country's 15 largest cities from 28.5% in 2005 to 29.8% in 2006. The share in these large municipalities and provincial capital cities - known as first-tier cities - has continued to increase this year, reaching 30.1% in the first half of 2007.

Yu predicts that the stores will reach a 35% share by the end of the decade - compared with the 19.7% seen in 2001.

The mega-marts' success is also cutting into the Chinese supermarket (groceries and produce only) sector, which has seen its market share by value drop from 28.4% in 2001 to 19.1% in the first half of 2007.

TNS data also show that the number of visits consumers make each year to supermarkets has declined since 2005 or even earlier, while the number for the superstores has risen over the same period.

Yu said China's fast-growing middle class has happily adapted the one-stop-shopping philosophy created by the likes of Wal-Mart and Carrefour.

"The superstores are taking hold in China thanks to the lure of low prices, convenient one-stop shopping, accessible locations and the integration of other retail facilities such as restaurants, cinemas and coffee houses that can turn a shopping trip into a day out for China's shoppers," he said.

According to a recent estimate by the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, based on total private savings of 17 trillion yuan (US$2.26 trillion), a middle class of 200 million people is emerging in China. Middle-class households are those with annual income between 60,000 and 500,000 yuan.

"On average, China's middle-class consumers visit superstores every 10 days, making for a frequent-shopping pattern that mega-mart owners can bank on for a predictable revenue stream," Yu said. TNS attributed their popularity to "everyday" low-price strategies, one-stop shopping, and convenient locations, for which some of the stores offer free shuttle-bus service.

It's no wonder, then, that Carrefour, the largest retailer in Europe, recently opened its 101st store in mainland China, while Wal-Mart struck a $1 billion deal in February to take over Chinese rival Bounteous Co, which operates 101 superstores in 34 Chinese cities under the Trust-Mart brand, by 2010.

"We won't reveal our expansion plan," said Aurelie Launay of Carrefour. "All I can say is that Carrefour will open between 20 and 25 new hypermarkets this year," as it did in 2006.

Yu said that as of mid-2007, the mega-marts had made their biggest impact in Shanghai, where they accounted for more than 45% market share of the grocery sector in terms of value.

"They have had a stronger presence in Shanghai, due probably to the development of modern trade as a whole, shopper affluence, and an open attitude toward the one-stop shopping format. The rapid urbanization of Shanghai in recent years also gives room for superstore expansion into new residential community," he said.

TNS said the stores are dominating Shanghai (37.9% share in mid-June), Shenzhen (37.2%), Guangzhou (35.5%) and Chengdu (33.8%).

Among the foreign-based companies leading the growth in China's mega-mart industry are Wal-Mart/Trust-Mart, Carrefour, Tesco and RT-Mart, with their market shares in the first half of 2007 reaching 4.7%, 4.4%, 2.7%, and 2.2% respectively in total grocery spending on the mainland, as measured by TNS.

"The fact that even the market leader does not command a share above 5% reflects the current fragmented nature of the grocery trade, with supermarket, convenience stores, department stores, traditional grocery stores, specialty stores, wholesale market, etc all competing for consumers. Regional differences in retailing also add to the complexity of the competitive environment," said Yu. "At the same time, it points to a significant market opportunity arising from future market consolidation, which we believe will be inevitable."

He said expansion into second- and third-tier cities is highly likely.

"A few international hypermarket operators are already looking into expanding into second- and third-tier cities, and numerous retailers are beginning to offer higher margin departments such as textiles, fresh food, and their own labels," he said. "The mega-mart channel is a nascent industry, whose turning point is still to come as the lack of competition. So in second-tier cities it's an opportunity for further development."

However, Yu predicted that the country's grocery sector will not be dominated by foreign giants in the next 20 or even 30 years because of intense competition and regional differences within the vast country.

"Except Shanghai, Beijing and other major cities in China, Wal-Mart and Carrefour have one or two stores in many cities, so it's very hard for them to become national players," he said.

The challenges the foreign stores face in China include how to differentiate themselves (aside from prices) to build store loyalty, how to adapt to the Chinese culture and shopping habits, and how to grow the more profitable non-food businesses such as textile, appliances, books and compact discs.

Olivia Chung is a senior Asia Times Online reporter.

(Copyright 2007 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us about sales, syndication and republishing.)

 


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