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    China Business
     Dec 15, 2007
China triumphant after US talks
By John Ng

HONG KONG - China called them "fruitful" and "a complete success". The United States, led by a more muted Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, saw the progress as merely "moderate". In either case, the two sides concluded the third round of the Sino-US Strategic Economic Dialogue (SED) in Beijing on Thursday by wrapping up 31 agreements covering topics from financial services to food safety. They now have six months to lay the groundwork for the next round.

On possibly the two most contentious issues facing the countries, they agreed to resolve the issue of their lop-sided trade



balance through negotiations, but China refused to yield to US pressure to increase the speed of appreciation of the yuan.

On other topics, China promised to allow qualified foreign-invested companies in the country, including banks, to issue yuan-denominated A shares and yuan bonds, pending feasibility studies. Analysts say this is a reiteration of China's position to honor its commitment on entry to the World Trade Organization to gradually open its financial sector and give foreign investors "national treatment".

The Chinese stock market plunged on Thursday partly on investors' fears that the move could sharply increase the supply of shares, although analysts said a more immediate cause of the fall was growing concern that the central bank would soon increase interest rates, after the People's Bank of China (PBoC) governor said the central bank was studying the possibility. The Shanghai Composite Index shed 144.5, or 2.7%, to close at 4,985.

China has yet to set a timetable for opening its stock market to overseas companies. Analysts say it will take time for the government to make the necessary clarifications and revisions to regulations. According to existing laws, only joint-stock companies incorporated in China can go public on the Shanghai or Shenzhen bourses. Foreign enterprises in China may also need to undertake restructuring to meet the requirements for going public or issuing bonds.

To join the WTO, China committed itself to gradually giving foreign-invested firms "national treatment", that is, treating them in the same manner as domestic companies. To do this, Beijing will revoke privileges such as lower income tax at present enjoyed by overseas companies.

Over past several years, China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) officials have repeatedly said they are considering allowing foreign-invested firms in the country to go public, pending feasibility studies. Most recently, Li Zheying, a senior official with the Ministry of Commerce, said at a public function that his ministry supported having foreign firms list on the domestic stock market and that several ministries were revising relevant regulations.

CSRC officials have also repeatedly said they were studying the possibility of letting Hong Kong-listed "red chip" firms make A-share initial public offerings. Red chips are Chinese, mostly state-owned, enterprises incorporated and listed overseas but whose business operations are in China. They include China Mobile, the country's largest mobile-phone operator, and CNOOC, China's biggest offshore oil producer, which have both publicly said they are preparing for A-share initial public offerings.

China will need to revise its Securities Law and Corporate Law to make it possible for domestic listings by red chips, but the "return" of these companies could also mean the opening of the market to all enterprises incorporated outside the country, which would be a major advance for its securities industry.

The Chinese government, led in the SED talks by Chinese Vice Premier Wu Yi, was making an apparent response to US calls that China should open its financial markets further to overseas entities. The move, however, could also ease pressure on the yuan to appreciate, as foreign companies that sold shares and bonds in the country would thereby cut their their need to exchange funds from overseas into the local currency.

During the SED dialogue, the countries agreed on specific steps for foreign companies to enter China's financial service industry, according to Xinhua News Agency.

Foreign-invested companies including banks will be allowed to issue yuan-denominated stocks and bonds, while mutual funds administered by Chinese banks will be allowed to invest in the US stock market, according to a statement from the US government. This creates new opportunities for US firms in a variety of securities business, said the statement.

China will resume licensing of new joint-venture securities companies and allow foreign securities firms to expand their operations in the country to include brokerage, proprietary trading and fund management. Several foreign firms, including some US firms, are already in advanced stages of establishing new joint ventures, the statement said, without elaborating.

Shortly before the dialogue, China raised to US$30 billion from $10 billion the quotas in its qualified foreign institutional investor (QFII) scheme, which allows foreign mutual funds to invest in the country's stock market.

A statement from the Chinese side said the policies should be carried out in accordance with relevant prudential regulations, according to Xinhua. China said it would complete a feasibility study of foreign equity participation in the banking sector by the end of 2008 and make relevant policy recommendations.

Paulson called the progress "moderate".

"We have made modest progress in the financial services area, expanding opportunities for global financial services companies to do business in China," he said in Thursday's closing speech. "Opening China's financial markets to foreign competition strengthens the financial backbone of the Chinese economy."

In return, the US government pledged to remain committed to applying national treatment to Chinese banks, broker-dealers and investment advisers, according to the joint fact sheet.

Paulson, who failed to persuade China to speed up the appreciation of the Chinese currency, said both sides agreed in principle on strengthening the yuan but "we have agreed we do not talk about how fast is fast". He had sought to convince Beijing that appreciation of the yuan was in China's own interest given the risks, such as overheating of the economy and inflation, the country faced with an undervalued currency.

Chinese Vice Minister of Commerce Chen Deming on Wednesday said bluntly that allowing the yuan to appreciate rapidly would cause fluctuations in the economy that would not be positive to the world.

The yuan climbed 0.85% last month, the biggest gain since the end of the dollar peg in June 2005. China widened the yuan's daily trading range on May 18 to 0.5% from 0.3%. It has gained about 12% since the peg ended.

Premier Wen Jiabao, during a meeting in the Great Hall of the People after the SED talks, which also covered product quality, environment and energy, described the latest dialogue as "fruitful". His country attached importance to the trade imbalances with the US, he said, adding it had taken a series of positive measures to reduce China's trade surplus.

"We also hope the US side will attach importance to our concerns, formulate open policies of trade and investment, lift limitations on China's exports and provide a fair environment for Chinese companies to invest in the United States," the premier said.

China's trade surplus rose 15% in November to $26.3 billion, the nation's third-highest monthly total, with a record $149.2 billion surplus with the US for the 11 months through last month.

During the dialogue, which Vice Premier Wu hailed as a "complete success", China and the United States also agreed to conduct extensive cooperation over a 10-year period to focus on technological innovation, adoption of clean technology and sustainable natural resources.

The fourth SED is scheduled to convene in Washington of the United States in June next year, according to Wu.

John Ng is a Hong Kong-based freelance journalist.

(Copyright 2007 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us about sales, syndication and republishing.) .


China eases markets before US meetings (Dec 12, '07)

US-China yuan debate needs new currency (Jul 26, '07)

A dialogue of the mute (May 23, '07)


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