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    China Business
     Apr 9, 2008
Page 2 of 2
China makes breakthrough on energy
By Jianjun Tu

loopholes of China’s intellectual property protection system not only hurt foreign companies but also reduce the incentive of Chinese enterprises to invest in research and development of advanced technologies.

Furthermore, Beijing needs to be aware of the risk of being too technologically aggressive. In August 2004, Shenhua Group, China's largest coal producer, started the construction of the country's first industrial scale direct coal liquefaction plant in Inner Mongolia, which would eventually process 15 million tonnes of coal to produce five million tonnes of oil products (Financial Journal, November 8, 2007). Since Shenhua's engineering adventure has not gone through the same rigorous scaling up

 

experiments practiced by most Western companies, the affirmative support by the government for such types of projects is debatable, especially when a national coal-to-oil strategy directly contradicts with Beijing's energy conservation goal.

While coordinating energy and environment development is highlighted as one of the key development policies, climate change has been given unprecedented emphasis. The white paper not only defends China's position of not accepting legally binding GHG emissions targets with a lengthy paragraph, but also places "comprehensive control of GHG emissions" as the highest environmental priority ahead of "fighting ecological destruction and environmental pollution" for the first time.

After China released its much-anticipated National Climate Change Strategy on June 4, 2007, the recent change of Beijing's environmental priority clearly demonstrates that China will act proactively to address the increasing pressure from the international community on this global environmental issue (China Brief, June 27, 2007).

Ironically, the rejection of the Kyoto Protocol by the United States provided a perfect opportunity for China to excuse itself from a more concrete commitment other than harnessing auxiliary benefits from energy intensity-based reduction initiatives. In comparison, the white paper promises that China will introduce regulation that is more stringent accompanied by enforcement for fighting local environmental issues such as ecological destruction, air/water contamination, vehicle emissions and energy project development.

Deepening energy system reform is considered an intrinsic requirement of China's energy development. The government started to deregulate the energy industry in the late 1990s, but major state energy companies today are still too powerful to be tamed by regulators. For instance, historically, CNPC had focused mainly on oil and gas exploration and production while Sinopec had primarily engaged in downstream activities such as refining and distribution. Beijing always needed to subsidize at least one of them when oil prices were tightly regulated, so one objective of restructuring these companies is to reduce the heavy subsidy by the government.

However, while both CNPC and Sinopec enjoy the monopoly status of their upstream operations and earned record-high profit in recent years, they cut production at their refineries to minimize economic losses whenever they perceive that the price limit of oil products set by the government is too low. Unsurprisingly, the hard lessons learned from recent diesel oil shortages clearly suggest that China has an urgent need to 1) introduce more competition to the energy industry; and 2) advance price mechanism reform to make the operations of state energy companies subject to market rules.

International energy cooperation
The white paper states that China regards strengthening international cooperation a key component of its energy reform, and expresses the intention to further open its energy industry by forging closer ties with the rest of world. Nevertheless, to prosper in the Chinese market, foreign companies should memorize the caveat: China's primary intention is to introduce foreign advanced technology, management experience and people of technical expertise. While China increasingly relies on international trade to fuel its booming economy, its support for major state energy companies' direct overseas investment will be further strengthened according to the white paper.

Moreover, realizing the importance of regional stability for global energy security, China calls the international community to work collaboratively with the country to maintain regional stability, especially in the oil producing and exporting countries.

Smoothly merging China's energy industry into the global market imposes a major challenge for the government, and accommodating the country's increasing presence is also unlikely an easy task for the outside world.

To deal with China's emergence as a major energy player, two views dominate the policy debate: one, a hostile attitude, which is evident in the US Congress' vehement objection to China's unsuccessful bid to buy Unocal in 2005; and two, engaging China. While continuous hostility towards China certainly guarantees retaliation sooner or later, the resulting backfire is likely to become intolerable even for countries like the United States as China quickly gains political clout in the international sphere through multilevel engagement with third-country suppliers.

Therefore, cooperating with China should serve the interests of the international community better; a good example is the IEA's continuous dialogue with China on energy-related issues.

In the process of building a prosperous society that benefits all Chinese, energy has a significant bearing on the country's sustainable development. To address its tremendous energy challenges, Beijing is investing in any global solution. Similarly, understanding China's energy circumstances is the first step to engaging the country in international cooperation to ensure it plays by the rules. Finally, though China's national energy strategy has been laid out in its first energy white paper, it is in its best interest to continuously refine its energy policy in the years to come, ideally, with substantial help from the international community.

Notes
1. Full text available here.
2. National Bureau of Statistics, China Statistical Yearbook 2007.
3. China Electricity Council, 2006 Statistical Report of China’s Electricity Industry.
4. National Bureau of Statistics, China Statistical Yearbook 2007; British Petroleum, World Energy Statistical Review 2007.
5. US EPA, Air Emissions Summary through 2005; State Environmental Protection Administration (various years) China Environment Yearbook.
6. Click here.
7. China Coal Industry Association.
8. International Energy Agency, World Energy Outlook 2007.
9. National Bureau of Statistics, China Statistical Yearbook 2007; British Petroleum, World Energy Statistical Review 2007; World Bank, World Development Indicators online.

(This article first appeared in The Jamestown Foundation. Used with permission.)

(Copyright 2008 The Jamestown Foundation.)

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