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    China Business
     Apr 25, 2008
China tax cut reverses shares plunge

BEIJING - Shares listed in China jumped almost 10% on Thursday, giving a benchmark index its biggest gain in more than six years, after the Chinese government cut the stamp tax on stock trading to boost an equities market that had fallen 50% from its record high on October 16 last year.

The tax cut to 0.1%, announced after the close of trading on Wednesday and effective the next session, reversed an increase from that level to 0.3% imposed on May 30 last year when the government was seeking, ineffectually, to cool a market that almost doubled last year.

The Shanghai Composite Index gained 9.3%, its strongest showing since October 2001, to close at 3,583.03. The benchmark had surged 4.15% higher on Wednesday before the

 

tax cut announcement. Earlier in the week it had sunk to less than half its October record high.

The CSI 300 Index, a benchmark for yuan-denominated shares traded in both Shanghai and Shenzhen, climbed 9.3% on Thursday, after a decline of almost 40% this year made it after Vietnam the world's second-worst performing benchmark.

The tax cut, widely expected, was only the latest in a number of steps taken by the government to boost investor sentiment following months of heavy sell-offs. The stamp duty will still apply to both sides of a trade.

China at the end of last year tripled to US$30 billion the amount overseas institutions are allowed to invest in yuan-denominated stocks and bonds, then in February permitted the creation of new mutual funds, ending a five-month freeze.

Most recently, the securities regulator last week ordered shareholders looking to sell more than 1% of a stock to do so in single block trades, to keep the transactions off the open market. The action was targeted particularly at shareholders holding large amount of stocks under lock-up periods that are coming up for expiry. Such lock-up periods are often imposed on strategic investors holding shares in companies when they are listed.

Analysts said that measure was aimed at easing concerns that large amounts of such shares would flood the market and sink prices further. Any further declines would further erode the holdings of the country's retail investors, who have turned to the stock market in large numbers to earn better returns than the negative real interest rates offered by banks. Losses by 346 mutual funds, which many people use as investment vehicles, reached 647.5 billion yuan (US$93 billion) in the first quarter, eight times the amount of the three months ended December, according to TX Investment Consulting.

"If such shares were all traded on the [open-market] bid trading system, trading would not be efficient as the volume would be restricted by the buying interest on the secondary market," a China Securities Regulatory Commission spokesman said in a statement. "The trading would also exert huge pressure on share prices and twist the pricing mechanism.

"The move will help ease pressure on the secondary market ... and to stabilize investors expectations on the reduction of the holdings of such shares."

Li Feng, an analyst at Galaxy Securities, said a sustained market rebound was expected this quarter on low valuations, easier liquidity, and first-quarter earning results that should show a minimum of 30% profit growth.

Wednesday's tax cut showed the government's desire to see a stable market and would help to restore investor confidence, said Qiu Yanying, an analyst at TX Investment Consulting Co. "Confidence in a recovery is more important than fund injections. After earlier panic and irrational selling amid a breakdown in confidence, it was hard for the market to return to normal."

Li of Galaxy Securities said: "It was no longer a question of investment, but confidence.

Any further delays in the tax cut could have triggered heavy losses and if made later could have been less effective, Qiu said, pointing to the fall in the Shanghai Composite Index to below 3,000 points in Tuesday trade before closing at 3,147.79.

"Three thousand points is an important threshold for both regulator and investors, and a sustained decline below the mark could be disastrous to investor confidence and trigger further selling."

Analysts and academics, including Cao Fengqi, head of Peking University's finance and securities research center, said a prolonged fall in share prices would hurt consumer spending, an increasingly important driver behind the country's economy as exports growth slows on signs of a US recession.

"Further market declines could have a huge negative impact on the economy," Cao said.

Growth in China's economy slowed to 10.6% in the first quarter from 11.2% in the previous three months.

(Asia Pulse/Xinhua)


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