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Small arms: Fuel for many fires
By David Isenberg

A study released earlier this month by a private group says the production of small arms is more widely distributed around the world than previously thought. The study, Small Arms Survey 2002, by the Graduate Institute of International Studies in Geneva, says that the estimated total global stockpile of small arms and light weapons has risen this year to at least 638 million, significantly higher than the 2001 estimate of at least 551 million, and about 60 percent of them are legally held by civilians.

It also says that civilians purchase more than 80 percent of the eight million new weapons manufactured worldwide every year. Small arms include pistols, hunting rifles and machine guns; and also light weapons, such as shoulder-fired rocket launchers and mortars.

The study puts the value of global trade in small weapons at US$4-5 billion a year. It says about 80-90 percent of the trade is legal. It also found a general decrease in the stockpiles of small weapons held by insurgent groups.

Small arms and light weapons proliferation has been an issue of increasing concern in Asia for many years. Many of the current problems date back to the 1980s when the US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) gave over $2 billion in light weapons to mujahideen groups in Afghanistan fighting the Soviet invasion between 1979 and 1989.

Some countries have emerged as gun havens for black market arms traffickers. For example, many of the rebel groups in foreign countries, such as the Tamil Tigers in Sri Lanka, Free Aceh Movement from Aceh in Indonesia, breakaway Chakma rebels in southeastern Bangladesh, ethnic rebel groups from the southeast Himalaya and northeast states of India, and the New Mon State Party, the Karen National Union, the Karenni Progressive Party, and the Shan State Army in Myanmar continue to order secondhand supplies and war weapons from gunrunners along the borders of Thailand.

Asia is also one of the most active regions for maritime illicit arms trafficking. Patrolling the vast waterways and islands has proved a daunting task for the region’s navies and coastguards. Insurgent groups use anything from commercial ocean freighters to fishing boats to deliver small arms.

President George W Bush has offered the Philippine government over $100 million worth of excess military equipment - including helicopters and transport planes and 30,000 M16 rifles - to fight various armed groups. One of these armed groups, Abu Sayyef, a Muslim secessionist group involved in kidnapping for ransom, is alleged to have had links with al-Qaeda, the group accused of being behind the 11 September attacks in the USA.

At a recent "Regional Seminar on Implementing the UN Program of Action on Small Arms and Light Weapons," held in Manila to try to address the proliferation of firearms, a UN-funded study found that two out of every 40 Filipinos own unregistered firearms. Such weapons were used in 46 major conflicts fought in the 1990s, which claimed the lives of four million people. Of those, 90 percent were civilians and 80 percent of these were women and children.

Other key findings from the Small Arms Survey include:

  • Nearly seven million commercial firearms were produced worldwide during 2000.
  • Total estimated annual worldwide production of small arms and light weapons and ammunition has increased to approximately $7.4 billion, including both commercial and military-style firearms.
  • More than 1,000 companies worldwide are involved in some aspect of small arms production. Nearly half of them are located in Europe or the CIS, and 92 of them, or 8 percent, are in the Asia-Pacific region.
  • At least 98 countries produce, or have the capacity to produce small arms and/or ammunition. Twenty of them, constituting 21 percent of the total, are in the Asia-Pacific region.

    From the Asian perspective one of the striking findings of the study is that even though Asia suffers greatly from the small arms proliferation it produces relatively little. The study notes that there is uncertainty about the current production of some of the Asian countries listed, such as Bangladesh and Cambodia.

    The most prominent producer in Asia is China. The major small arms producing company in China is the state-owned China North Industries Group Corporation (also known as NORINCO. In the 1990s its combined sales of military and civilian products averaged about $2 billion annually. However weapons account for only 20 to 30 percent of overall production. In July 1999 NORINCO was divided into China South Industries Group Corporation (CSG) and China North Industries Group Corporation (CNGN). CSG will refocus almost entirely on civil production while CNGN will be the new weapons producer and will produce most of China’s small arms, apart from some small PLA factories.

    The study estimates that at its peak the Chinese military inventory probably totaled at least 27 million firearms, probably the biggest in the world.

    It also found the firearms are rapidly becoming more plentiful in Chinese society. One striking example was the comparison of confiscation of illegally traded firearms in China and the United States. The US government confiscates an average of 34,000 illicitly traded firearms every year. In the winter of 2000-1, police in the province of Guangxi raided 60 illegal firearms factories and seized 240,000 illicit 'guns, moulds, and tools' in this one province.

    In other words, the entire United States, with some 240 million publicly owned firearms, confiscates from illegal trafficking only 15 percent as many guns as a single Chinese province. China has 34 provinces, independent municipalities and autonomous regions. As the study notes, "It is hard to resist the conclusion that China’s gun market is growing at a rate virtually without precedence elsewhere."

    (©2002 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)
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    Jul 27, 2002



     

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