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Now 'political Islam' draws fire
By Ehsan Ahrari

Spin meiesters of the American media are busy conjuring up a new twist for an old phrase, "political Islam", that is reported to be gaining a "seductive voice" among Muslim masses. And that twist appears to be "our war is with political Islam". Political Islam will be the new target of verbal barrages and even military attacks of the United States. It is given a high visibility in an essay in the New York Times of October 26. Briefly defined as "stridently anti-Western and anti-modern", political Islam, according to that essay, "portrays itself as the strongest ideological counter to democracy and capitalism". A sociologist from Williams College is quoted as saying that political Islam comprises ".... a fanatical group, a fringe element that have been able to command the media and have been able to propagate a series of fantastic world images and a series of fantastic conspiracy theories".

However, like most current writings on Islam, the description of political Islam tends to over-extrapolate about its extremist aspects or capabilities, without much emphasis on the fact that there is also a significant support for democracy in the Muslim world, and that Muslims consistently make a very important distinction between the policies of the US administration of President George W Bush and their overall respect and, indeed, admiration and preference for what the US stands for as a country. These distinctions are important because they explain that Bush's "hot war" in the world of Islam has intensified anti-Americanism. The Bush administration might not be fully aware of the "cold war" it is waging against Muslim countries through its constant use of such phrases as "civilizational clash", "enemies of civilization", or "evildoers". This fledgling cold war might be lasting in the sense that it is becoming a sharp two-edged sword. Islamists are also attacking the US through the use of similar phrases.

As the US occupation of Iraq is facing an uphill battle due to worsening security situation - a fact that even Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld has acknowledged in a recently leaked memo to his top Pentagon aides - the Bush administration was also jolted by the derisive remarks made against Islam by an Evangelical Christian uniformed officer, Lieutenant-General William "Jerry" Boykin, who heads the hunt for, among others, Osama bin Laden. At the same time, there is a continued astonishment in the US about the intensity of Muslim anger worldwide. Even Bush is reported to have expressed his "surprise" by the depth of suspicion that moderate religious leaders expressed during his recent brief meeting with him in Indonesia. He is reported to have asked his aides, in dismay, "Do they really believe that we think all Muslims are terrorists?"

In the course of human development, the global community is going through a phase in which we only seem to understand, empathize, and feel the pain of our own losses, failures, miseries, and get elated by our own feelings of happiness or victories, but not those of others. In an information age, perhaps, only by living in these imaginary cocoons that we learn to feel good about our own morality, religious faiths, and even get carried away by our own righteousness. At the same time, we seem to be compelled by some inexplicable urge to berate others' morality and faith.

Western civilization is demonstrably smug about the superiority of its own current material being and looks down on the Islamic world because of its economic and military downtroddenness. The Islamic world, on its part, is finding refuge in a different type of "feel good" environment. It does not have any doubt regarding the righteousness of its own faith. On the contrary, there is such a powerful feeling of correctness and completeness of Islam that there has been little support for ijtihad (religious reformation). Even though the absence of a widespread support for ijtihad is a problem created largely by the Sunni religious establishment, the Sunni populace should also be blamed for going along with it. Therein lies part of the blame for the politico-economic backwardness of the world of Islam.

Like all faiths, Islam needed periods of internal debates, and series of reformations to challenge the notion of fusion of sacred and temporal authorities into one. Instead, the door of ijtihad was closed a long time ago. That tradition continues. Today, instead of having internal debates about the urgency of ijtihad, Muslim countries are being pulled in the direction of obscurantist Islamists who wish to take their societies back to the seventh century, the days of the aslaf (pious ancestors). For the Islamists, religious piety is eminently preferable over economic development, as if they are mutually exclusive.

Anger toward the US is not related to Muslim backwardness, but it has become a source of Muslim resentment in the post-September 11 era. This is an era when Islamists and the US came face to face. This is an era when the Bush administration has defined the parameters of a larger struggle in which it is fighting with religious extremism. It cannot afford to lose this fight, for its defeat may mean victory for the forces of obscurantism in the world of Islam. The West cannot remain unaffected by such a tragedy.

The US, at least the current administration, is not exactly an entity whose certain post-September 11 actions are as free of blame for Muslim acute criticism, if not fury, as its officials pretend them to be. How should a Muslim differentiate between the US policies to fight terrorism and the US Patriot Laws - that are closely identified with its most ardent proponent, the Christian fundamentalist Attorney-General of the US, John Ashcroft - that are so single-mindedly focused on non-citizen Muslim youths residing in this country and visiting it? I fully recognize the need to be vigilant and the primacy of the security of the US; but there is also a need of equal significance for outlawing racial profiling, or viewing followers of Islam with suspicion because of their faith. In the post-September 11 era the great American tradition of respect for privacy - one of the cornerstones of democracy - is systematically being eroded.

While it should be noted that the US has been much more conscious of being fair toward Muslims than its European counterparts, from the perspectives of citizens of Muslim countries, the Bush administration has unfairly focused, not on Islam, but certainly on Muslims. That focus has resulted in severe restrictions on granting educational visas for young Muslims to visit the US to get higher education. It bears repeating that there is the need for security filters to make sure that potential terrorists do not slip through. However, one can still balance US national security with the necessity of allowing Muslim students to enroll in educational institutions. If Muslim countries were to make progress in an increasingly globalized world, they should be able to educate their youths in the US and other Western countries. Modern education has become an important tool to fight the forces of obscurantism in Muslim countries.

I am sure Bush has not read a latest publication entitled, "Arab Human Development Report 2003", written under the auspices of the United Nation's Human Development Program. It states that the extreme security measures in the US and other Western European countries in the post-September 11 era diminished "the welfare of Arabs and Muslims living, studying or traveling abroad, interrupting cultural exchanges between the Arab world and the West and cutting off knowledge requisition opportunities for young Arabs".

Muslims don't know what to make of the current militarism of the Bush administration toward their world. They have watched the US policies of blindly supporting tyrannical and autocratic rule in their native countries during the Cold War years and even until September 11. Immediately thereafter, they heard from Bush that his administration's policy toward their countries was transformed. And that transformation will be brought about by implementing the Bush doctrine of preemption and regime change. If the US invasion of Iraq were a standard for the application of that doctrine, then it would be implemented in the future by using misinformation and even disinformation as rationales for regime change.

As the Senate inquiry regarding the quality of intelligence that was used to invade Iraq is coming to surface, Muslims all over the world have no choice but to think that minds in Washington were made up to topple Saddam Hussein's regime regardless of whether he possessed weapons of mass (WMD) destruction at the time of the invasion. In other words, the chief US objective was regime change, and the reason for doing so was the brutal nature of his regime, not the possession of WMD or the purported imminent use of those weapons, as claimed by both Bush and the British Prime Minister Tony Blair prior to the Iraqi invasion. Both American and British peoples were lied to in terms of offering the reasons for invading Iraq.

Why should even the American people believe any future rationale that their government offers for bringing about any more regime change in Muslim regions in the coming months or years? And if the American people should not believe their government about that issue, why shouldn't Muslims believe that military invasion of Iraq or any other country in the future would be part of a larger war against Islam? Someone in Washington ought to be paying a lot of attention to these highly contentious issues, rather than just showing their dismay or by asking such seemingly naive questions as, "why do they hate us?" or "why do Muslims think the war on terrorism is really a war against Islam?"

The world of Islam needs moderation and moderate Islamic democratic governments. However, such systems can only be established from within. Perhaps the newest and most significant measure the international community ought to consider is the imposition of sanctions on all autocratic regimes for democratic change. I know that it is a difficult proposition to materialize, since no measure of that nature will be passed in the UN General Assembly, where autocratic regimes have a large presence. At the UN Security Council, all permanent members, save the US and the UK, will veto such a measure.

Of the two potential supporters of such a measure, the latter has an iniquitous legacy of being an imperial power. As such, it also bears at least partial responsibility for the absence of democracy in its former Muslim colonial possessions, and is not on solid grounds now for arguing for democracy. The US, by invading Iraq, is perceived by a very large number of people in the world as the newest imperial power. As such, its own credentials of claiming to be the latest advocate for democratic change are tainted. The need of our time is moral leadership for the promotion of moderation and eradication of autocratic rule if Muslim polities are to make true progress toward modernization and industrial development. The US has the potential to be a moral force. Muslims are sure that the Bush administration does not.

While the Bush administration is aspiring to transform the Muslim Middle East, it has remained a strong supporter of the regimes of Central Asia, whose record of tyrannical rule and political repression has already been a target of regular and intense criticism, soon after they became independent in the early 1990s, by such groups as Amnesty International, Transparency International, Human Rights Watch and International Crisis Group. That strong support emanates from the newly-formulated nexus between the US and at least three Central Asian republics - Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan - that have agreed to base US forces in order to fight Bush's "war on terrorism". In Central Asia, pragmatism drives America's foreign policy, while the autocratic regimes continue to brutalize their citizenry.

Thus Muslims are still faced with the dilemmas of how to democratize their respective countries at a time when their collective sense of humiliation at the hands of the US, their anger at their brutal, highly corrupt, nepotistic (witness how many dictators are grooming their sons to take over the dictatorships all over the Muslim world, and how many have already succeeded in doing so), and economically inept regimes is also at an all time high.

For Muslims all over the world, how to bring about democratization of their polities is a question that constantly begs for practical answers. Any qualitative change of that nature is likely to be violent, unless it is gradual and closely managed. Even then, there is no guarantee that forces of violence will not overwhelm the forces of change at some stage. Besides, which current Muslim autocratic regime is willing to systematically remove itself from office? Imagine the intricacy of the Muslim dilemmas for democratic change. What strategy is to be adopted; where to start; which leader should become the next Mikhail Gorbachev of the Muslim world? It is hard to expect that type of an about-face from crusty leaders like Hosni Mubarak of Egypt, Mahathir Mohamad of Malaysia or Muammar Qaddafi of Libya.

The newly-arrived dictators or kings - such as Bishara Assad of Syria, Mohammad VI of Morocco or King Abdullah of Jordan - may have the potential, but they are too dependent on the old autocratic order of their fathers for their own survival to be challenging it at this time in their careers. Even if they were to take a bold move toward democratization, there is no telling whether they would succeed, or the old order would replace them with another young leader with an autocratic bent of mind. Even where the young autocrats are at the helm, the old order remains as the greatest impediment to democratic change. But that is not the end of the Muslim tragedy. Mubarak is reported to be grooming his son, Jamal, for succession in Egypt, and Qaddafi has plans for his son, Saif al-Islam, to be his successor in Libya. President Haider Aliev's son Ilham has already become prime minister of Azerbaijan.

Is an outside power expected to play an important role in bringing about democratic change for Muslim countries? After invading Iraq, the US has lost whatever credibility it had as an advocate for democracy worldwide. As the staunchest supporter of Israel in the Middle East, the US was resented by the Muslims in the pre-September 11 era. In the post-September 11 era, the current administration did nothing to alleviate the Palestinian resentment of America. Bush even urged the Palestinians to elect a leader other than Yasser Arafat. It spoke volumes about his notion of democracy for the Palestinians.

The alternative, in the estimation of a large number of Muslim youths, is reliance on Islam. Thus, "Islam is the solution" has remained a powerful slogan, and it gets support of a voluble portion of the populace in several Muslim countries. However, considering the fact that Islamic government in Iran has not exactly been a shining example for emulation, one remains leery about any suggestion that Muslims really want to see the creation of Islamic government in their countries. Muslims also know that mere slogans do not improve the economic lot of their countries or the plight of the Muslim ummah (community at large) in the global arena. They need specific measures for promoting political pluralism, institutionalizing political moderation, and improving their acute state of economic backwardness that has remained a hallmark of their societies for centuries. They also know that Western economic progress and political pluralism hold considerable promise for emulation. But there has not yet been an outcry for modernism in any Muslim country. Turkey, whose military has consistently shown a strong rejection of Islamism, has not emerged as a strong source of emulation for Muslim countries. In fact, I would argue that Turkey's tradition of secularism is viewed with suspicion in a number of Muslim countries. But if Turkey were to emerge as an economic power, its example will be given serious consideration.

The Jadidst tradition, that argued that there is no conflict between Islam and modernity, was never systematically pursued or promoted in any Muslim country. Its original resurgence in India became a victim of the mega-struggle for winning independence. Once the sub-continent was divided after independence in 1947, Jadidism was never pursued in Pakistan, which emerged as the spiritual heir to that tradition. Alas, the nefarious practice of military intervention in politics became the sine qua non of that country soon after its existence. Then emerged the Islamist regime of dictator Zia ul-Haq, who used Islamization to promote his autocratic rule over Pakistan. Islamization, as opposed to an enduring integration of Islam and modernism, became the battle cry in Pakistan. The US also did its own bit for Islamization in Pakistan during the 1980s, by promoting the militant version of Islam and jihad to win against its archenemy, the USSR, in Afghanistan. Islamic radicalism has remained a powerful force in Pakistan ever since.

The tradition of Jadidism also resurged in Central Asia, but was brutally suppressed by the Russian czars and then by the communist czars, both of whom were solely interested in subjugating the contiguous Islamic countries of Central Asia and the Transcaucasus region. Even after gaining independence after the implosion of the Soviet Union, Muslim countries in both those regions are still ruled by brutal and acutely anti-democratic regimes.

One always wonders how industrially and economically developed Muslim countries would have been today if Jadidism were to be systematically pursued as the intellectual basis for Islamic development and modernization. Considering the fact that economic pluralism creates a highly conducive environment for political pluralism, it can be argued that under those conditions, Muslim countries could have also become Islamic democracies.

There is a longing for democracy in the world of Islam, a fact that all critics of Islam should always remember. The Pew Research Center has demonstrated that Muslims in 44 countries of its survey "place high value on freedom of expression, freedom of the press, multiparty systems and equal treatment under the law". What is of equal significance is that in "religiously diverse countries", such as Nigeria and Lebanon, "Muslims generally favor keeping religion a private matter at the same rates as non-Muslims". That speaks volumes for the potential evolution of a politically pluralistic society in the world of Islam.

Yes, anti-Americanism has risen significantly in the Islamic part of the world; however, the media are terribly wrong in their ability to correctly identify it. What is off-handedly and in a cavalier manner called the rising spirals of anti-Americanism in the Muslim world these days, in reality is a rising anger toward the Bush administration and its policies toward Muslim countries. The US invasion of Iraq has highlighted for Muslims, rightly or wrongly, that the current administration is bent on waging military campaigns in the name of its "war on terrorism" to weaken Muslims - a charge long made by radical Islamists. Andrew Kohut of the Pew Research Center writes, " ... Majorities in seven of eight Muslim populations surveyed expressed worries that the US might become a military threat to their countries."

However, values that America stands for are consistently given favorable reception in Muslim countries. Kohut states, "While the postwar poll paints a mostly negative picture of the image of America, its people and policies, the broader Pew Global Attitudes survey shows wide support for the fundamental economic and political values that the Untied States has long promoted." He adds, "The postwar update finds that in most Muslim populations, large majorities continue to believe that Western-style democracy can work in their countries. This is the case in predominantly Muslim countries like Kuwait (83 percent) and Bangladesh (57 percent), but also in religiously diverse countries like Nigeria (75 percent)."

The modalities of the next phase of these hot and cold wars against Islamists or political Islam will be determined by two events. First, what happens to Iraq, and second, whether Bush is reelected in 2004.

If Iraq becomes a success story of democracy, then autocratic rulers will come under increased pressure from within either to pluralize their polities or enter the dustbin of history. Whether democratic change will come to the Middle East and the rest of the world of Islam depends on how willing those autocratic regimes would be in their reaction to popular demands for democratic change. If Iraq gets bloodier than it is now, then the US might be forced to pull out. Despite all the bravado, the Bush administration's capacity to absorb casualties in Iraq is not infinite. However, if the US were to withdraw, Islamists will have a free hand not only in their attempts to establish the kind of government they want, but also in terms of using their presence in Iraq to topple surrounding regimes. Thus, the current move toward the involvement of the global community in the reconstruction of Iraq is a positive one, and should be pursued with full vigor.

If Bush were reelected, the US presence in Iraq would still be of a short duration. In all likelihood, the US would not want to remain in charge of Iraq for a long period of time. If Bush is defeated in 2004, his successor will have to redefine the rules of America's future presence in Iraq. A lot will also depend on what is happening in that country's neighborhood.

Considering the fact that America's cold war against Islamists or even Muslims is of a rhetorical nature, a considerable amount of a cooling off period is needed for reflection and reexamination. If the source of Muslim anger is their politico-economic plight, remedial programs can be developed. The problems of societal development, no matter how obdurate, are still resolvable. However, if this cold war is about the superiority of one religion over the others - and I for one believe that it is not the case - then we are in for a several long hard winters of "civilizational clashes".

Ehsan Ahrari, PhD, is an Alexandria, Virginia, US-based independent strategic analyst.

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Oct 31, 2003



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