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    Front Page
     Jul 9, 2005
SPEAKING FREELY
A twist in the 'war on terror'
By Aruni Mukherjee

Speaking Freely is an Asia Times Online feature that allows guest writers to have their say. Please click here if you are interested in contributing.

Instead of celebrations at winning the 2012 Olympics Games hosting bid, London sank into turmoil on the morning of July 7 as the "war on terror" came home, weaving deadly dreams for the British people.

The bombing of the underground transport system and a double-decker bus in London, which resulted in at least 37 deaths and nearly 700 injuries, was supposedly carried out by a group associated with the dreaded name of al-Qaeda. Whatever the facts, the symbolic significance, besides the terrible human and material tragedy, cannot be ignored.

While the leaders of the world's most powerful country planned to determine the fate of Africa and the world environment in the Group of Eight summit at Gleneagles, Scotland, this attack has thrown it into disarray. It shows that the terrorist have the capability to carry out sophisticated and simultaneous attacks in the heart of the Western world, on the doorsteps of world's corridors of power. New York, Madrid and now London. By targeting the important cities of the countries which were most active in the allied operations in Iraq and Afghanistan, surely a point is being made as well.

What will be the immediate and long-term significance of the attacks? At the time of writing this article, Britain's MI5 and MI6 intelligence agencies seem to have had no prior warnings about this specific attack. British intelligence had long shown an attack on the isles as inevitable since September 11, 2001. The attacks on British consulates in Yemen and Istanbul had given further hints, but still Thursday's attack went unintercepted.

To be fair to Scotland Yard and other agencies, it is entirely ludicrous and impractical to even consider security checks for every individual using the public transport in London. Therefore, a leeway for terrorists has, is and will always remain. The more important point is that no arrests have been made till date, and past experience shows that the most effective counter-terrorism operations rely on early arrests when the perpetrators try to clear out from the affected area.

The reaction from the British and global political heavyweights throws more light on the prospective outcome of this debacle. A visibly shocked and defiant British Prime Minister Tony Blair promised to do "all he can" to "confront and defeat" the perpetrators of these attacks. A more passionate Ken Livingston, the mayor of London, challenged the jihadis that "however many you kill, you will fail".

These were strong responses, suggesting that stern action may follow against some of the "suspect" countries in the Middle East, and perhaps even Pakistan. The more brazen and perhaps typical of such responses were those by President George W Bush and Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, both of whom insisted that the "civilized world" must not yield to such arm-twisting by extremists.

An important aspect of these reactions is the adamant insistence on ensuring that such response is not targeted towards Muslims per se, but only towards their extremist brethren. Immediately on hearing of the attacks, the Archbishop of Canterbury made a public announcement that complemented the condemnation of the attacks by the Muslim Council of Britain. To prevent mass xenophobia, cynicism and perhaps even racism against Muslims in Britain and elsewhere, even Blair and Livingston included an insistence on maintaining communal harmony in their statements.
Amid all the war cries of "we shall prevail" by Blair, shadow home secretary and prime minister aspirant David Davies raised an important question. He appealed against surrendering the fundamental beliefs on which modern Western society is built on in view of these attacks. For that he argued would be a victory for the terrorists - they would have managed to change the way in which the British people live. This is bound to add fire to the already heated debate on identity cards in the House of Commons.

When it boils down to it, the word "civilization" seems to hold the key to unraveling the complicated web of possible post-attack reaction by the West. Rice termed this attack a "war against the ideals" of Western civilization. Blair termed it "an attack on civilized people" and insisted with confidence that "our values will long outlast theirs". The bells of the "clash of civilizations" predicted by Samuel Huntington seem to be ringing loudly in this discourse.

America and Britain will find it frustrating and hopeless to try and negotiate with the terrorist organizations. For one, it will be hard to sell to the public back home, which has seen soldiers (and now civilians) , die in the war against these same terrorists. For another, the positions of these extremist organizations are rather inflexible, for the slightest of compromise will render their legitimacy as vanguards of Islam futile. Both would rather have a settlement on entirely their terms, or none at all. This will make the likely scenario for further conflict in the Middle East even more probable.

The attacks on a controversial perhaps-to-be-built temple site in Ayodhya, India on July 5 were possibly conducted by a Pakistan-based terrorist outfit. No one knows for sure, but it was perhaps the minor ripples of a terror tsunami that was to be unleashed in London two days later. When India mobilized its army in response to the attack by extremist groups on its parliament in 2001, America preached restraint. Will it do the same to its most valued ally? Unlikely.

For America, the attacks will ensure closer British collaboration in future operations in the Middle East and elsewhere, as Blair will probably rise in the popular ratings, as most leaders do in a crisis.

We all live in an increasingly inter-connected world where turmoil in one part affects those in another. Markets fluctuated not only in London, but also throughout Europe in view of the London bombings. The preferable solution would be a multilateral and peaceful one, but these attacks in London will harden attitudes on both sides and might deal a mortal blow to that ideal.

Aruni Mukherjee is based at the University of Warwick, UK and takes a deep interest in the political economy of the Indian sub-continent. He is originally from Kolkata, India.

(Copyright 2005 Aruni Mukherjee)

Speaking Freely is an Asia Times Online feature that allows guest writers to have their say. Please click here if you are interested in contributing.



UK knew it was coming (Jul 8, '05)

London under attack (Jul 8, '05)

Stiff upper lip (Jul 8, '05)

 
 



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