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     Mar 13, 2007
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Europe is not the sum of its parts
By Spengler

remembered that the "Romantics" took their name from Rome. Their object was to renew the medieval Church. When Napoleon invaded the rest of Europe with a mass popular army, the other nations of Europe responded by creating mass armies. German nationalism was born at the Battle of Leipzig in 1813, when all Germany stood on the same field for the first time since the Thirty Years' War - but this time on grounds of sovereignty, not religion.

Ethnically defined nationalism led Europe into World Wars I and II, from which it has not recovered, and from whose wounds it yet



might die. Europe's secular nationalism stands in contrast to popular sovereignty on a Christian foundation in the United States - but it was not just "the people", but what Abraham Lincoln called an "almost-chosen people" that made this possible.

For reasons I have detailed elsewhere, I believe that the European concept of universal empire was doomed to failure. [2] But I have certain sympathy for those who defended it against Richelieu's alternative. European is a tragedy in which all the protagonists deserve a measure of sympathy, for they are all too human - in this respect I have a sympathy for the human predicament of Muslims, as well. In Hamlet or Wallenstein, one does not hiss at the villain and cheer at the hero, but rather tries to strike the right balance of empathy and detachment. I have no sympathy for Richelieu, but rather a grudging admiration. His long duel with his Spanish counterpart, the Count-Duke of Olivares, was the ultimate exercise in cunning applied to modern statesmanship.

As secular entities, the nations of Europe will go their separate ways to perdition. As their demographics shift, they will fall one by one to Muslim majorities.

Even as a practical matter in the relative short term, a European government cannot work. Consider a simple example: Only 15% of Germany's population is at the age of household formation, and real housing prices have fallen by 2% during the past 10 years. By contrast, 23% of Ireland's population is at the age of household formation, and real home prices have risen by about 15% in the past 10 years, according to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. The OECD shows that there is a trend line across its member states between these two variables. Demographics are significant for home prices, although other factors are important. Now, suppose the EC should consider subsidies to families with young children to purchase homes. In effect it will tax Germans to support Irishmen. Or suppose it should consider a wealth tax to support pensions - in that case it would tax the capital gains on the homes of Irishmen to support Germans.

The US constitution must deal with such regional problems continuously, but they are easily solved through free movement of people through the country. Even with mobility of labor it is much harder for a German to become an Irishman than for a Hoosier to become a Tar Heel (ie, move from Indiana to North Carolina).

To recapture Europe means re-creating the faith. It is hard to imagine that the Roman Catholic Church might re-emerge as Europe's defining institution. The European Church is enervated. But I do not think that is the end of the matter. As I argued last month, Russia has become the frontier between Europe and the Islamic world and, unlike Europe, is not prepared to dissolve quietly into the ummah. [3] Pope Benedict's recent pilgrimage to Turkey, it must be remembered, only incidentally dealt with Catholic relations with Islam; first of all it was a gesture to Orthodoxy in the form of a visit to the former Byzantium, its spiritual home.

Franz Rosenzweig, that most Jewish connoisseur of Christianity, believed that the Church of Peter (Rome) and the Church of Paul (Protestantism) would yield place to the Church of John (Orthodoxy) - that the churches of works and faith would be transcended by the church of love. If Europe has a future, it lies in an ecumenical alliance of Catholicism, Orthodoxy, and at least some elements of Anglicanism.

For the time being, Europe's constitution will be stillborn. But Europe is not yet dead. Russia is the place to watch, and the quiet conversation of Catholicism is the still, small voice to listen for.

Notes
1. The sacred heart of darkness, Asia Times Online, February 11, 2003.
2. Why Europe chooses extinction, ATol, April 8, 2003, and The Laach Maria monster, ATol, June 1, 2005.
3. Russia's hudna with the Muslim world, ATol, February 21.

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