Global Economy

Earth Summit: Asia drowned out again
By Alan Boyd

SYDNEY - Another Earth Summit has ended with a whimper, and Asia again ruing a lost opportunity to influence trade and environment issues.

As in Rio de Janeiro a decade earlier, developing Asia in particular lacked a consensus voice or even a common forum in this week's reprise in Johannesburg, which ended on Wednesday night. Aside from an occasional outburst by the Group of 77, the agenda of the World Summit for Sustainable Development was shaped by Northern industrial economies, with the more representative European nations playing the foil to predictable US dominance.

Not for the first time, Asian negotiators found themselves on opposing sides. Japan surprisingly broke its US shackles by giving guarded support to the Kyoto protocol on emission controls, but was otherwise the cheerleader for US positions on energy, poverty and biodiversity.

It might not have mattered if the issues were not so critical to Asian interests. The underlying premise of both summits was that the richer nations should do more to help poorer Asian, African and South American states close the wealth gap. But the evident conclusion, after a week of meandering and largely fruitless discussion on 150 wildly different issues, was that the poor would have to wait a little longer. At least until they could find some way of grasping the initiative themselves.

They have already been waiting 30 years, since the Conference on Human Environment in Stockholm established the United Nations Environment Program (UNEP) as an ambitious vehicle for redistributing global resources. In typical plodding bureaucratic fashion, it would be another decade before the UNEP would hold its first high-level meeting and a further 10 years before the UN could convene the Rio Conference on Environment and Development - quickly given the media sobriquet of Earth Summit.

In between, the so-called Brundtland Commission on Environment and Development issued a landmark document with the hopeful title of "Our Common Future" that proposed a blueprint for sustainable Third World development. That none of its key recommendations has been fully implemented says much for the breadth of the North-South divide, with advanced nations unwilling to risk politically sensitive concessions during a downward economic cycle and the Third World lacking leverage to force the issue.

Another reason is lack of motivation: none of the various UN covenants on climate change, biodiversity, pollution, poverty eradication and trade is binding, even after ratification by the respective governments.

Asia's big stake in the summits has been the prospect of enhanced access to the domestic markets of North America and Europe, and of a reversal in the declining trend of direct international development aid.

The former would be achieved through reductions in US and European Union production subsidies - especially for agriculture - that would allow the Third World to meet the competitive threat of trade globalization. But the tradeoff would be improved corporate and public-sector governance, which would open the door more widely to the same Western countries. Washington also wanted bigger Third World commitments to reduce greenhouse gases before it would endorse the Kyoto protocol.

China, Russia and the Group of 77 delivered a stunning setback to the US, with the help of Canada, by announcing their eleventh-hour acceptance of the Kyoto document, and thus paving the way for its formal adoption after three years of deadlock. But they needed EU help to do it, and were under considerable moral pressure to take the lead in reducing pollution. Of the five biggest global producers of toxic carbon emissions, four - China, Russia, Japan and India - are either partly or wholly in Asia.

Kyoto was achieved without any further Asian concessions on governance or greenhouse gases. But it might well turn out to be a hollow victory, as developing nations allowed their mistrust of US intentions on globalization to obscure some important potential gains.

While the governance focus was on corruption, business transparency and the rule of law, it also touched on the issue of corporate behavior abroad, and making foreign investors accountable for their actions. India has been trying since 1984 to hold senior Union Carbide executives responsible for the calamitous Bhopal toxic chemicals leak, which killed more than 3,000 in its immediate aftermath and thousands more in subsequent years.

In the event, the covenant was watered down to a mild exhortation for the private sector to "behave responsibly", and did not carry any legal backing that Bhopal might have been able to use, though it will still be referred to the UN General Assembly for further debate.

Similarly, Asia might have found economic benefit from taking a more courageous stand on pollution and biodiversity, given that this continent is in the frontline of the battle to save the environment.

The UNEP warned last month that a three-kilometer-thick cloud of pollution hanging over South Asia, believed to consist of ash, acids, aerosols and other particles, could radically alter rainfall patterns and threaten the livelihoods of millions. It may eventually link up with a smaller cloud drifting out from China and some Asian republics in Russia that is thought to mostly be caused by factory pollution and the haze from millions of wood stoves.

In Southeast Asia, seasonal smoke emissions from forest fires are causing health problems for millions of people in Indonesia, Malaysia, Brunei, Singapore, Thailand and the Philippines, and accelerating the loss of forests. About 20 percent of the world's rain forests are in Southeast Asia, 35 percent of its mangrove forests and 30 percent of its coral reefs. According to the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), the annual deforestation rate is 1.04 percent, compared with a world average of 0.23 percent, though environmental groups believe this is a gross understatement.

Johannesburg delegations were asked to reignite two flagging accords from Rio - the Convention on Biological Diversity and the Climate Change Convention - under which rich countries would somehow compensate the poor for being more careful with their natural resources. Another Rio document, the Statement of Principles on Forests, set down guidelines for the conservation and exploitation of natural forests.

But none of these conventions took into account the devastating impact of the 1997-98 East Asian economic crisis, and the end of the decade-long growth in more advanced countries, which forced a reality check on budgets. Exports of timber and other natural resources became a lifeline for beleaguered countries such as Indonesia and Malaysia, which not only lost their foreign capital inflows but also had to defend governance and legal systems against charges of mismanagement.

The EU and US found a political justification for making development aid more conditional upon improved trade and investment access, and eventually cut their spending altogether as economic growth slowed at home. Instead of honoring a 1992 pledge to give 0.7 percent of their income in the form of Third World aid, most advanced nations are now giving around 0.3 percent, and sometimes as little as 0.1 percent.

A related commitment in 2000 to halve the proportion of the world's population who live on less than US$1 a day by 2015 is also viewed as redundant: at least a billion Asians are directly affected.

There was agreement in Johannesburg on the need to reduce by half the 2.4 billion people living without clean water and sanitation by 2015, but as always there was a quid pro quo with Western countries. Washington and Canberra only dropped their opposition in return for major concessions on a separate set of targets for achieving substantial progress in developing renewable energy forms by 2015.

Instead of a framework for phasing out fossil fuels and hydro-electric power, delegates agreed on a sanitized wording that actually expanded the list of permissible energy types to include oil and gas, while also allowing the Third World to burn more wood.

The US and EU also prevailed on the subject of trade subsidies, which was arguably the issue of most importance to Asia. Delegates reaffirmed their opposition to supports that might distort export prices, while carefully skirting any mention of the subsidies that are most vital to US and European economic interests.

It could have been so different if Asian nations had been able to project a third tier of pressure on the two Western blocs.

They had ample time to shape the agenda, with a women's summit in Beijing in 1995, the Kyoto gathering on climate change in 1999, another women's meet in Beijing a year later and the World Youth Forum in Dakar that same year. As a prelude to Johannesburg, regional meetings were held in South Asia, East Asia and North Asia. But instead of formulating a unified stance, Asians presented four different perspectives, though there was commonality on the point of enhanced trade access.

ASEAN made a submission to Johannesburg, but only in an unofficial capacity. Likewise, the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) caucus stayed carefully on the sidelines, perhaps in acknowledgement of its split loyalties between the Northern and Southern members.

The Group of 77 has 19 continental Asian members, a dozen more in the Middle East or central Asia and nine more in the Pacific, but suffers from similar regional biases. Currently under Venezuelan control, it is preoccupied with Israeli military excesses, the future Palestine state, US intentions regarding Iraq and the prickly issue of women's rights in Muslim states.

Given the development gaps that are opening up within Asia, most analysts agree that it is naive to expect that one representative viewpoint will emerge on the best course to sustainable development.

Nevertheless, there appears little justification for the most populous region in the world being the most impotent on the world stage, even if we exclude the far smaller, but usually more vocal, African states.

As environmentalists noted in Johannesburg, the pollution cloud that is spreading over the continent is showing no political favors and makes no allowance for wealth disparities. And nor, they say, should Asia's leaders.

(©2002 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)


 
Sep 6, 2002



 

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