Overseas
labor: mother's milk for poor nations
By John Berthelsen
On July 13, Abdus Sattar Laleka, Pakistan's federal minister for labor,
manpower and overseas Pakistanis, took the podium in Karachi to announce that
his government is seeking to "export" 200,000 professionals, skilled and
semi-skilled workers to jobs overseas - Pakistan's best and brightest.
Laleka
added that having 200,000 professionals and skilled workers overseas would
be better for Pakistan than building four dams and two highways in different
parts of the country, and that the money they send home would bring
employment and relief to 500,000 families.
Overseas workers are often written about because of their
vulnerability to exploitation and the misery they often endure. But there is
another story. While for the developed world they are a convenience, they are a
bonanza for the third world countries from which they originate, as Laleka in Pakistan
can attest. The funds flowing back from overseas workers are the third world's
second-largest source of development capital, behind foreign direct investment
but well outpacing either capital market flows or official development
assistance.
Although
it doesn't answer the pressing question of how badly Pakistan needs four
dams and two more highways - a lot - those 200,000 workers would join an ever-growing
torrent of manpower that flows ceaselessly from poor countries to rich,
with or without the sanctity of a visa, to do jobs nobody wants to do or
can't be bothered to get the education to do. The World Bank says about a
million people make it into the US legally every year, for instance - and
another half million illegally. The figures are about the same for Europe. Vast
numbers of them suffer at the short end of a hoe. But hundreds of thousands,
perhaps millions, are scientists, doctors, information technology workers and
engineers.
In 2001, according to the World Bank, remittance receipts from overseas workers
amounted to US$72.3 billion across the globe, vastly higher than total official
figures and representing an impressive 1.3 percent of world gross domestic
product (GDP). Even the World Bank's figure is almost certainly low. The
Multilateral Investment Fund at the Inter-American Development Bank estimates
the amount of money sent last year to Latin America from the US at more than
$32 billion alone. Workers from the Asia-Pacific region officially recorded
sending home $27 billion in 2002, according to the Asia Development Bank.
The top recipient of fund flows is India, with official totals of $10 billion
in 2001, much of it from highly skilled workers. Much more may move back into
India through the so-called hawala market and is difficult to trace. Some 48
percent of all "H-1B" visas awarded to professional workers in the United
States go to Indian doctors, information technology workers and scientists.
India accounted for 62.5 percent of the inflows to South Asia, while the
Philippines accounted for 58 percent of remittances to East Asia and the
Pacific in 2001. The money comes from Indians abroad, who pay dealers and give
them a code, often involving animals. Their families in India, armed with the
code, can pick up the cash from the dealer's agent and bypass low official
exchange rates.
In
fact, the United States leads the world in remittance payments, with foreign
workers sending back an official $28.4 billion, followed at a distance by Saudi
Arabia at $15.1 billion. The South Pacific island of Tonga leads the world in
sending workers abroad, according to the World Bank, with its overseas workers
earning 37.3 percent of its GDP - although its population is only about
135,000. A series of small, lightly populated states and extremely poor states
have similarly high numbers. The Philippines, with a population of 83 million,
has an astonishing 7 million people working overseas - more than 8.5 percent of
its population, who account for 8.9 percent of the country's annual GDP. It
could be lots more. While the World Bank estimates that Filipino workers
overseas send home a total of $6.4 billion a year, other estimates range far
higher.
Precise figures are difficult to determine, because many overseas workers like
to conceal as much of their earnings as possible from taxation. As an example,
while the Asia Development Bank believes overseas Pakistanis are sending home
$1.6 million annually, Shaukat Aziz, Pakistan's finance minister, believes that
figure is actually $6 billion, of which $1.2 billion comes through official
channels, $1.8 billion through State Bank purchases from open market and rest
for smuggling and capital flight.
There
may be questions whether exhortations like Laleka's are impoverishing the
knowledge base of the countries they leave behind. But in the Philippines,
politicians call overseas workers "modern-day heroes." Dilip Ratha, in a in a
2001 research paper titled "Workers' Remittances: An Important And Stable
Source of Development Finance" for the World Bank, finds workers' remittances
to be a virtually unalloyed plus, an important, stable source of external
development finance.
"Remittances
are often invested by the recipients, particularly in countries with
sound economic policies," Ratha writes. Developing country worries about a brain
drain are overblown, he writes, saying that "any output losses from immigration of
skilled workers may be more than offset by remittances and the positive network
effects on trade and investment".
However, there is a flip side to the coin. The Philippines has trained so many
nurses in its own colleges and universities and sent them overseas that it
faces a domestic nursing crisis, with less than one nurse for every 2,000
population. Nurses make $150 to $250 a month in the Philippines. They earn
$3,000 to $4,000 per month in the United States - so much that Filipino
doctors, who earn $300 to $800 a month at home, sometimes obtain credentials to
become nurses overseas.
Both the World Bank and the ADB don't see it as a waste, however. "Remittances
augment the recipient individuals' incomes and increase the recipient country's
foreign exchange reserves, Raha writes. "If remittances are invested, they
contribute to output growth, and if they are consumed, then they also generate
positive multiplier effects. Thus, remittances offset some of the output losses
that a developing country may suffer from emigration of its highly skilled
workers."
Too often, however, these overseas workers are like a slim, articulate,
confident 23-year-old Filipina who torched her way through university in
Tacoma, majoring in pre-law and graduating as a National Merit Scholar by the
time she was 20. Today, the woman, who prefers to remain unnamed, is doing
laundry in a luxury flat in Hong Kong's Discovery Bay, sending money home to
put her two sisters through college. Her dreams to become a lawyer are on hold.
Likewise, a woman whom we will call Flora Gomez is minding children in a flat
in Singapore, despite the fact that she was an accountant in a bank in the
Philippines.
Hong Kong is thronged by as many as 200,000 domestic workers, 158,000 of whom
are Filipinas. A startling 31.9 percent have completed college or university,
61 percent have finished secondary school. Nonetheless, 94.4 percent are
engaged in elementary occupations like domestic workers. Despite their high
level of education, only 4.4 percent are managers or professionals. The rest
are wasting their educations as nannies because they make so little in their
own country. Anecdotal evidence indicates they tend to invest in the same
things - jeepneys, the ubiquitous, colorful, home-grown buses that choke the
country's highways, or property.
These overseas workers face various attempts across the globe to restrict their
movement, especially when economic conditions turn downward. In the US at the
moment, with the IT sector in disarray, various attempts - backed by labor
unions - are being made to limit their access in the US Congress. They are not
expected to make much headway given the Bush administration's antipathy to
labor unions and its philosophical orientation towards relaxed immigration
rules. As transportation improves and rich people in rich countries like less
and less to do real work, the trend across the world should continue, which
should allow Laleka to breathe easier.
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